New Achieving carbon efficient transport - UCL · 2009. 5. 22. · Conclusions: Towards Optimised...

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The reality of creating sustainable communities2nd December, London

Dr Robin HickmanHalcrow Group

Achieving carbon efficient transport

VIBAT LondonVISIONING AND BACKCASTING FOR TRANSPORT IN LONDON

Objective: mapping the pathways towards a 60% reduction in CO2 emissions in the transport sector in London by 2025 and 80% by 2050

A range of policy packages

Level of application

Target achieved/ achievable?

The Backcasting Approach

Baseline and projection

Alternative image(s) of the futureBackcastingAppraisal, costing, optimum pathways

Achieving Carbon Efficient Transport

The VIBAT Policy Packages

EnablingMechanisms?

Carbon rationsOil price sensitivities

London: The Baseline (Transport Only)

TC-SIM London

Local Version 03

Web Version 03

C:\tcsim\tcsim_version_02\tcsim_65

http://www.vibat.org/vibat_ldn/tcsim3/tcsim.html

Conclusions: Towards Optimised Packaging

Much debate – but little action – transport sector needs to URGENTLY ACCELERATE its effortsSome cities, such as London, providing a lead[80%] target is very ambitious: major change required; the scale of which is being underestimatedWide range of policy packages available – all require a successful applicationBehavioural and lifestyle changes difficult to engenderFurther work:

Different contexts (India, North America ..)Educational tool – BA, BSc and MA CO2 quantification, synergiesPolicy packaging and pathwaysInternational air & shippingPolitical and public acceptance

Appraisal - not just CO2; wider quality of life aspects

VIBAT-Delhi

VIBAT-Victoria (Canada)

www.vibat.org

ABUNDANCEDr Robert Bielr.biel@ucl.ac.uk• Use of community gardens• Practical surveys of cultivable space• Actual cultivation• Practical permaculturetraining• YouTube UCLurbanbuzz

DEI-DEMONSTRATIONProf. Stephen Gages.gage@ucl.ac.uk• Reducing heat loss in buildings• Zero carbon mechanisms and sensors for automatically opening and closing shuttershttp://www.pachube.com/feeds/1044

CLOVIS

John Kelseyj.kelsey@ucl.ac.uk• Knowledge sharing events between regeneration teams of local authorities• Social sustainability usually weak • One size does not fit all for stakeholder engagement; context is everything

www.urbanbuzz.org

The reality of creating sustainable communities2nd December, London

THANK YOUDr Robin Hickman

Halcrow Group

Achieving carbon efficient transport

Reserve slides if web not available

Techno-Optimist “AMBITIOUS”

Techno-Optimist “REALISTIC”

Complacent Car Addict

Concerned Realist

The International Air Problem