MOKKA - Budapest University of Technology and...

Innovative Decision Support

Tools for Risk Based

Environmental Management

MOKKAHungarian National R&D Program

NKFP 3-020-05

Website of the project:

http://www.mokkka.hu

Supported organisations

– Aqua Concorde Water Analysis and Water Technology Ltd(Koordinátor cég)

– Budapest University of Technology and Economics (BME)

– RISSAC (MTA-TAKI)

– ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AND WATER MANAGEMENT RESEARCH INSTITUTENON-PROFIT COMPANY (VITUKI Kht.)

– VITUKI CONSULT Co.

– CycloLab Cyclodextrin R&D Laboratory Ltd (CycloLab)

– DigiKom Ltd (Digikom)

– Association of Environmental Enterprises (KSZGYSZ)

Overview

• Object of environmental

management

• Difficulties of

environmental decision

making

• Support provided by

MOKKA

Environmental management

• The environmental risks of an economical activity depend on

– activity and diligence of the company and

– wide range environmental consequents of activity,

– what depends on outer company factors.

• The risks of economical activity is theoretically uncertain so environmental management play „art of impossibility” (B. Wynne 1987.).

Role of environmental management - 1

• The environmental policy of

organisations is affected by

inner and outer effects

Role of environmental management - 2

The environmental management is getting stronger because of the rigor of environmental rules;

The role of risk

management is to

handle risk;

– recognise risk,

– Identify hazard,

– Decrease or

minimise risk,

– prevention (prevent

from ensue or

physical removal)

Role of environmental management - 3

• Wide range of objects– Fulfill the environmental regulations;

– Ensure the operation in competitive market

• Scope of duties:– Operate the early warning system (prepare and make

decision against results or prevention)

– Treat harms (emergency, persistent environmental pollution).

Decision mechanism

• Treat of environmental problems are non

programmable decisions (Simon, 1982.)

– Unique;

– Problems are unstructured;

– Steps have long-term effects.

– Decisions affect wide areas and many

people.

• It makes the tasks difficult.

Decision situation in

environmental

protection

• By new investment

ordered by law

• Change regulations

• Rules of authorities

• Treat emergencies

• Treat persistent

environmental harms

Forms of decision

making

(strategic decisions)

• Infrequent, rare

• Unstructured (or

unknown) problem

• Complex

• Unstable decision

• Many participants

Parameters of environmental

decisions - 1• Frequently set on irreversible or costly and hardly reversible

processes,

• Preparation needs long terms

• Execution is costly,

• Results are valuable only after years or decades,

• Methodology is weak because of the badly structured problem background,

• Information to solutions is poor and unreliable,

• Solution has to fit to more targets,

• There are a lot of non economical targets in many cases,

• The economical decisions are followed by conflicts because of many participants and targets

• Create more scenarios is necessary.

Parameters of environmental

decisions - 2

• The management can commit two kinds of

mistakes related to environmental

responsibility:

–Upper or overestimation of business

prospects of environmental challenges

in developing aspects in the future.

–Overrate or undervalue the boundaries

of the economical challenges.

Pitfalls of economical decisions

(treatment of polluted areas)

• The weakest links of decisions in the course of

remediation:

– Targets are indefinite

• Differences between targets of decision makers and

expectations of authorities;

• Uncertain knowledge at task assignment;

– Possibilities to take care on boundaries

• The strict compliance with the law is unconsidered to reality,

so the unsuccessful execution is determined;

– Decisions of authorities do not handle the principle of

gradation.

Aspects of DSS building

• To develop a DSS is

necessary to analyse the

elemental decision

situations and

mechanisms

– Points of

environmental

protection

– Points of policies

– Legal points

– Economical points

– Points of society

• The environmental protection has an important role in political decisions and affects the economical life.

• The environment policy has emerging influence in national economy and corporate governance.

• The treat of environmental problems and environmental protection are interdisciplinary. The legal and economical aspects have influence beside the environmental, natural, chemical and biological basis.

Objects of MOKKA

• Show harm reduction technologies –

focused on innovative technologies

/database/

• Operation of Decision Support System

(DSS)

• WEB-based operation

• Easy to understand

• Easy tu use

Bases of MOKKA DSS

Database

• Technology

• Technological

elements

• Examination

methodologies

(physical-chemical,

biological, ecotoxical)

Knowledge base

• Legal knowledge

• Examination

methodology

• Modeling

• Risk analysis

Target audience

• Market members,

• Law makers,

• Authorities,

• Managers,

• Contractors,

• Environment users

Thank You for your

attention!Zöldi Irma

i.zoldi@vituki.hu