Met brief for Fri Feb 28 26 Feb 11 AM Rennie Selkirk with Karen R., Lenny P and Lynn H

Met brief for Fri Feb 2826 Feb 11 AM

Rennie Selkirk with Karen R., Lenny P and Lynn H.Quote of the day: (NOAA): “The system is sheared and remains rudderless just drifting in the general wind current.”

WINDS and CLOUDS! • Through flight period, qualitative agreement among models on wind & lo ctr• But location of circulation center critical • Guam windy but main concern is ceiling and showers• Convective rainbands a possibility

wind cloud cover (base) precip

Fri takeoff3 AM (2717) ENE 20-25 BKN 020

TEMPO OVC 010Occasional

-SHRA

midflight 10 AM – 3 PM

Landing (17 hrs)5-9 PM (2807-11)

Maybe a couple kts

moreunchanged unchange

d Slight chc TS

Current IR: 2132 UT 25 Feb

Center of low-level circulation still near Chuuk

Current WV: 2332 UT 25 Feb

Sounding: observed, forecast

Cloud cover conditions Friday take off similar to current

Tue PM

Take off FRI

GFS surface fcststakeoff / landing

Fri 4 AM Fri 10 PM

Winds marginal; occasional showers

NAVGEM surface fcstsTakeoff

Winds NE 20-25 kts; occasional showers

NAVGEM surface fcstLanding Fri 10 PM

Winds freshening 2-3 kts; occasional showers