MEDIAN STUDENT GROWTH ANALYSIS December 2014 Center for Educational Effectiveness: Greg Lobdell...

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MEDIAN STUDENT GROWTH ANALYSIS

December 2014

Center for Educational Effectiveness: Greg Lobdell

Office of Student and School Success, OSPI: Sue Cohn

www.k12.wa.us/assessment/StudentGrowth.aspx

OSPI Student Growth Percentile Training

1. Review the OSPI SGP Website2. Open your school’s CEE

Median Student Growth Analysis – Section 2

3. Open your Student and School Success Action-Planning Handbook: Data Reflection Protocol – State Assessments (Appendix B.4)

Before We Begin

You will use these during this short presentation.

Data Reflection Protocol

Understanding Median Student Growth Analysis

What the data can tell us andquestions to consider

Next Steps with your teams Contact Information

“Pause and reflect”: When you see these in the PPT, you can pause this presentation to reflect on what you see in your data!

Bill Wagner / The Daily NewsMonticello “Success Night”

AgendaIntended Audience: Superintendents, Principals,

Leadership Teams, Success Coaches, and Educational Service District Leaders

Before beginning your review of these data, please reflect on your preliminary thoughts aboutstudents’ growth in your school.

One or more of the following thought-starters may be helpful.

– I assume…– I predict…– I wonder…– My questions/expectations are influenced by…

See Appendix B.3 in the Action Planning Handbook, or, National School Reform Website at: http://www.nsrfharmony.org/free-resources/protocols/a-z

Pause and Reflect #1

Action-Planning Process

• Section 2 of the Student Performance data in the Comprehensive Data Package and Services

Median Student Growth Analysis

• Student Growth Percentile or SGP: Describes a student’s growth compared to other students with similar prior test scores (“academic peers”)– E.g. Student-A: SGP=64 and Student-B: SGP=37

• Compared with students with similar past scores, Student-A grew more than 64% of the students in the state

• Compared with students with similar past scores, Student-B grew more than 37 percent of the students (or 63% of the students grew more than Student-B).

Student Growth Percentile - Refresher

• The Median (middle) of all students in your school at this grade level and content area

• Summarizes SGPs by district, school, grade level, etc.• E.g. Consider a school with 7 students in a grade

Median SGP - Refresher

Student SGP

Student-A 23

Student-B 28

Student-C 34

Student-D 45

Student-E 54

Student-F 76

Student-G 84

Median SGP for this school in this grade is 45.

3 students above and 3 students below

Each page contains 4 sets of charts• All Students

• Students with Disabilities

• ELL Students

• Low Income Students

Median Student Growth Analysis: Page Layout

• Median SGP for School and District for 4 years– Shows your school

and your district• Percentage of

students showing High, Typical, and Low Growth

Median SGP Data Presented in 2 Ways

46

36 37

60

48 48 46

50

0102030405060708090

100

2011 2012 2013 2014

Median Student Growth PercentileGrade 5: Reading | Low-Income Students

ABC Elem ABC School District

Copyright © Center for Educational Effectiveness, Inc., 2014.

32%44% 46%

33%

45%

42%27%

29%

23%15%

27%39%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

2011 2012 2013 2014

Growth ProfileGrade 5: Reading | Low-Income Students

Low Typical High

Copyright © Center for Educational Effectiveness, Inc., 2014.

• Data are missing for MSP, HSPE, and EOC if…– Number of students assessed is < 10– Data are suppressed (“Enhanced Suppression”). In

July 2014, OSPI implemented a process to suppress data in certain cases even if count is > 10 students.

• Schools participating in the Smarter Balanced Assessment pilot testing in spring of 2014 won’t have MSP data in Reading and Math for grades 3-8.

“Missing data” in Charts

School’s data are missing for the entire subgroup; school probably has less than 10 students in each year.

Missing Data Example - Missing Subgroup

#N/A

#N/A

47

66

38 40 41

45

0102030405060708090

100

2011 2012 2013 2014

Median Student Growth PercentileGrade 4: Reading | ELL Students

ABC Elem ABC School District

Copyright © Center for Educational Effectiveness, Inc., 2014.

Data are missing for 2011 and 2012 in the ELL group; school probably had less than 10 students in those years and population is now growing.

Missing Data Example: Data for Some Years

• Look at the top charts on each page of your report.

• Across the 4 years, do you see improvement? Declines in the data? Or are data staying flat?

• Are there differences between Reading and Math?

• What else do you need to know?

Pause and Reflect #2

• Strong (positive) improvement over time

Interpretation Hint: Evidence of Improvement

50

60

73

80

62

53

57

46

0102030405060708090

100

2011 2012 2013 2014

Median Student Growth PercentileGrade 5: Math

ABC Elem ABC School District

Copyright © Center for Educational Effectiveness, Inc., 2014.

31% 32%

13% 7%

44%32%

30%34%

24%36%

57% 59%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

2011 2012 2013 2014

Growth ProfileGrade 5: Math

Low Typical High

Copyright © Center for Educational Effectiveness, Inc., 2014.

• Increase in the percentage of students showing high growth

• Significant decrease in percentage of students showing low growth

Interpretation Hint: Evidence of Gap Closure

48 51 53 55

55

45

51 530

102030405060708090

100

2011 2012 2013 2014

Median Student Growth PercentileGrade 4: Reading

ABC Elem ABC School District

Copyright © Center for Educational Effectiveness, Inc., 2014.

41

55

61

68

38 40 41

45

0102030405060708090

100

2011 2012 2013 2014

Median Student Growth PercentileGrade 4: Reading | ELL Students

ABC Elem ABC School District

Copyright © Center for Educational Effectiveness, Inc., 2014.

• ALL STUDENTS chart shows acceptable growth (around 50 median SGP)

• ELLs show strong improvement in growth; this implies significant gap closure since they show higher growth.

All Students ELLs

• Look within each page of your report.

• What evidence do you see of gaps closing in your school?

• What else do you need to know?

Pause and Reflect #3

TriangulationSection 1: ProficiencyAre students getting to proficiency? Are we shrinking the percentage at Level-1?

Section 2: GrowthAre students growing? Are ELL, SWD, or Low-income subgroups catching up?

Section 3: ELLAre ELLs reaching English proficiency? What do we see with Former-ELLs?

Data around:– School and district strengths– Evidence-based programs and

services– Barriers

See Student and School Success Action-Planning Handbook

Deepening Your Understanding

Next Steps

Incorporating Perceptual Data in Data Reflection Protocol

Perceptual Data

Next Steps

• OSPI Student Growth Percentile Training: www.k12.wa.us/assessment/StudentGrowth.aspx

• Office of Student and School Success

(360) 725-4960 or www.k12.wa.us/StudentAndSchoolSuccess

Andy Kelly: andrew.kelly@k12.wa.us

Travis Campbell: travis.campbell@k12.wa.us

Craig Shurick: craig.shurick@k12.wa.us

Sue Cohn: sue.cohn@k12.wa.us

• Center for Educational Effectiveness Greg Lobdell: Data analysis & data usage: greg@effectiveness.org Jennifer Jones: Operations and Report Delivery: jennifer@effectiveness.org

Contact Information

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