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Loss of Control Inflight Accident Analysis

2

Global Aviation Accident Analysis

Global Aviation Accident Data 2010 – 2014 A total of:

415 accidents reported during this period: 409 accidents have been assigned an accident category

88 Fatal Accidents

86 accidents have been assigned an accident category 2,541 fatalities

3

Frequency of Total Accidents

4

94 92

75 81

73

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

Num

ber o

f Acc

iden

ts

Global Accidents per Year

Source: IATA GADM

Percentage of Total Accidents by Region

5

14%

18%

8%

18%

12%

8%

19%

3%

0%

2%

4%

6%

8%

10%

12%

14%

16%

18%

20%

22%

24%

AFI

ASPA

C

CIS

EUR

LATA

M

MEN

A

NAM

NAS

IA

Perc

enta

ge o

f Acc

iden

ts

Percentage of Total Accidents by Region

Source: IATA GADM

Frequency of Total Accident by Accident Categories

6

90

72

50

38 34 34 33 26

12 10 9 1

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

Runw

ay /

Tax

iway

Exc

ursi

on

Gea

r-up

Lan

ding

/ G

ear C

olla

pse

Gro

und

Dam

age

Loss

of C

ontr

ol In

-flig

ht

Cont

rolle

d Fl

ight

Into

Ter

rain

(CFI

T)

Har

d La

ndin

g

In-fl

ight

Dam

age

Tails

trik

e

Und

ersh

oot

Off

Airp

ort L

andi

ng /

Ditc

hing

Oth

er E

nd S

tate

Mid

-air

Colli

sion

Num

ber o

f Acc

iden

ts

Total Accidents by Category

Source: IATA GADM

Percentage of Global Accident Categories

7

22%

18%

12%

9% 8% 8% 8%

6%

3% 2% 2% 0%

0%

2%

4%

6%

8%

10%

12%

14%

16%

18%

20%

22%

24%

Runw

ay /

Tax

iway

Exc

ursi

on

Gea

r-up

Lan

ding

/ G

ear C

olla

pse

Gro

und

Dam

age

Loss

of C

ontr

ol In

-flig

ht

Cont

rolle

d Fl

ight

Into

Ter

rain

(CFI

T)

Har

d La

ndin

g

In-fl

ight

Dam

age

Tails

trik

e

Und

ersh

oot

Off

Airp

ort L

andi

ng /

Ditc

hing

Oth

er E

nd S

tate

Mid

-air

Colli

sion

Perc

enta

ge o

f Acc

iden

ts Percentage of Accident Categories

Source: IATA GADM

8

IOSA vs. Non-IOSA Accidents

9

IOSA vs. Non-IOSA Total Accident Rates

2.77 2.63

2.11 2.24 1.92

1.75 1.78

1.06

1.48

1.09

4.73 4.36

3.94

3.53 3.32

0.00

0.50

1.00

1.50

2.00

2.50

3.00

3.50

4.00

4.50

5.00

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

ACCI

DEN

T RA

TES

PER

MIL

LIO

N S

ECTO

RS

IOSA VS. NON-IOSA REGISTRY ACCIDENT RATE

All Accident Rate IOSA Registry Accident Rate Non-IOSA Registry Accident Rate

Source: IATA GADM

10

Aircraft Propulsion: Jet / Turboprop Hull Loss

Fatal Accidents by Categories

11

Accident Frequency and Survivability

12

13

LOC-I Accident Analysis

Loss of Control Inflight Accidents 2010 - 2014 There were a total of 415 commercial accidents during this period:

38 of these accidents were LOC-I 37 were fatal accidents Resulted in 1,242 out of 2,541 fatalities

14

Frequency of LOC-I Accidents per year

15

LOC-I Accident Rates

16

17

18

19

20

Jet aircraft were involved in 13 accidents

Turboprop aircraft were involved in 25 accidents

21

Aircraft Propulsion: Jet vs. Turboprop

22

Jet/Turboprop LOC-I Fatal Accidents

0.68 opposed to 0.09

23

Contributing Factors

Latent Conditions (deficiencies in...) Errors (related to…)

Flight Operations 24% Manual Handling / Flight Controls 29%

Safety Management 24% SOP Adherence / SOP Cross-verification 26%

Flight Ops: Training Systems 18% Intentional 16%

Regulatory Oversight 18% Unintentional 11%

Flight Ops: SOPs & Checking 13% Callouts 8%

Environmental Threats Undesired Aircraft States

Meteorology 37% Vertical / Lateral / Speed Deviation 21%

Icing Conditions 13% Operation Outside Aircraft Limitations 16%

Poor visibility / IMC 13% Unnecessary Weather Penetration 16%

Thunderstorms 13% Unstable Approach 11%

Lack of Visual Reference 11% Abrupt Aircraft Control 5%

Airline Threats Countermeasures

Aircraft Malfunction 37% Overall Crew Performance 32%

Contained Engine Failure/Powerplant Malfunction 24% Contingency Management 16%

Operational Pressure 8% Captain should show leadership 11%

Fire / Smoke (Cockpit/Cabin/Cargo) 5% Leadership 11%

Monitor / Cross-check 11%

24

25

Contributing Factors – Latent Conditions

26

Contributing Factors – Environmental and Airline Threats

27

Contributing Factors – Flight Crew Error

28

Contributing Factors – Undesired Aircraft State

29

LOC-I Accidents in MENA

LOC-I Accidents in MENA per Year

30

Contributing Factors in LOC-I: MENA Region

31

Meteorology and Aircraft Malfunction were cited as contributing factors