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7/31/2019 Leadership Case Study-Israel-Palestine Negotiations
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Negotiating in the
Not-so Holy LandLeadership Challenges
Professor Nick Pratt, Colonel, USMC Retired
Former Director, Middle East Field Office (Jerusalem)
Office of the Special Envoy for Middle East Regional Security
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The NarrativesIsraeli & Palestinian
The Holocaust
May 14, 1948 -Independence
The State: Israel
The Israeli Identity
The Right of Return
The 67 War
The Dichotomy
Perceptions
There were no such thing as Palestinians. When was there an independentPalestinian people with a Palestinian state? Golda Meir, PM
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The NarrativesIsraeli & Palestinian
The Holocaust
Al-Nakba, TheCatastrophe"
The State: Israel The Palestinian
Identity
The Right of Return
The Occupation
The Dichotomy
Perceptions
"Jews do not constitute a single nation with an identity of its own." Art. 20, PLO Charter
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Goals: Security vs. SovereigntyObstacles to Progress
Israels Lack of StrategicPerspective
Skepticism of Israeli SecurityEstablishment
Israels Disregard for USNational Security Interests
Asymmetric Warfare
Poor PA Leadership
Effort vs. Results Focus
Economic and ROL Crisis Domestic Politics Mistrust and Misunderstanding
The Old City:
Sacred to the three Abrahamic religions
Israeli policy has focused on defeating the manufactured goods of terror (i.e. terrorist
operations), while the factory of terror remains alive and fully capable of reproducing the
ideolo that fuels terrorist o erations. US Intelli ence Officer
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Economic Distress in the oPT:Depression of 1929
Gap Show No Sign ofClosing Just Increasing
Loss of Hope
Political
Economic
Todays oPT Economy
World Bank-the GreatDepression of 1929*
50%+ Unemployment
2/3 Live Below Poverty LineDavies J-curve
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Domestic Politics:
Nuff Said
=#31
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Areas A and B(Oslo Accords)
149 Israeli settlements,
100 outposts and landcultivated by Israelis
Israeli military closed areasand 48 military bases
Nature Reserves
West Bank Barrier andAreas between the Barrierand the Green Line
Roads primarily used bythe settlers
Closures
The effect of the closures
Fragmentation of the WestBank
Checkpoints
Tunnels(As of March 2007)
Please wait while
slide is loading
Miles
0 105
The Iron Ca e
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The Nightmare Scenario:
A Palestinian-Israeli Intifada
Relations expiring since 66
64% deny Israels right to exist
11% support the use of
violence or 140k. if we dont take the future
into our own hands, the GOIwill keep taking away our land,
our homes and our honor. the question is not if the
Arab sector will explode, but
when. Prof. Eli Rekhes
The 11% and there are more.
Senior DOS Official
An Israel where 1/5 of citizens feel disenfranchised from the most basic elements
of national identity cannot create a healthy society and not a viable one.
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USA/SEMERS
Israel & the PA
Life AS A Special Envoy
SEMERS
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