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John KeelingSVP, Community Intelligence
The Motley Fool
Motley Fool CAPSInvestors helping investors beat the market
MAN vs. MACHINE
GARRY KASPAROV DEEP BLUE
Goldcorp and Crowdsourcing
Goldcorp CEO Rod McEwen
Motley Fool Co-founders, David and Tom Gardner
OUR GOLDCORP CHALLENGE
INCREASING THE YIELD
WHAT OUR INVESTORS WANT
Overwhelmed by the glut of stock research data.
Want unbiased stock advice. 3 out of 4 people seek out stock or broker recommendations
from friends and family because they feel they are their only trusted source.
Looking for tomorrow’s blue chips. 35% of all listings have no analyst coverage 50% of the covered universe has 2 analysts or fewer Coverage has declined 15% since 2002
Generally not interested in games. Consider managing real world portfolio is a better use of time
versus “portfolio games.” Games are perceived as having little value as a research tool.
Investors Are:
HOW CAPS WORKS
HOW CAPS WORKS
HOW CAPS WORKS
HOW CAPS WORKS
HOW CAPS WORKS
HOW CAPS WORKS
HOW CAPS WORKS
A QUICK LOOK AT CAPS
“... every 15 seconds, another pick...”
WHERE IS CAPS NOW?
“... twice as much as any other analyst-driven rating service on the planet...”
WHERE IS CAPS NOW?
#1: MHS Medco Health Solutions, Inc.
CAPS TOP 5: February 4, 2008
#4: GRP Grant Prideco, Inc.
#5: LAYN Layne Christensen Company
#3: MEA Metalico, Inc.
#2: TNE Tele Norte Leste Participacoes SA (ADR)
COMMUNITY INTELLIGENCE WORKS!!!
Beta: Returns:5 Star: 1.0 5 Star: 27.9%4 Star: 0.92 4 Star: 19.3%3 Star: 0.89 3 Star: 10.7%2 Star: 0.91 2 Star: (1.2%)
1 Star: 0.96 1 Star: (16.6%) SPY: 1.0 SPY: 8.5%
Changing Market Conditions
-25.000%
-20.000%
-15.000%
-10.000%
-5.000%
0.000%
5.000%
10.000%
15.000%
10/1/200710/8/200710/15/200710/22/200710/29/200711/5/200711/12/200711/19/200711/26/200712/3/200712/10/200712/17/200712/24/200712/31/20071/7/20081/14/20081/21/2008
5 Long/1 Short
5 Star
4 Star
3 Star
2 Star
1 Star
SPY
•Increased correlation to market trends during the downtown.
•5-Star stocks declining more than SPY benchmark.
•5-Star / 1-Star Long/Short Index outperforming
CAPS Performance Since Launch
Returns of Star Indices
-20.0000%
-10.0000%
0.0000%
10.0000%
20.0000%
30.0000%
40.0000%
11/1/200612/1/20061/1/20072/1/20073/1/20074/1/20075/1/20076/1/20077/1/20078/1/20079/1/2007
10/1/200711/1/200712/1/20071/1/2008
Date
5 Star
4 Star
3 Star
2 Star
1 Star
SPY
Beta: Returns:5 Star: 1.03 5 Star: 12.3%4 Star: 0.99 4 Star: 8.8%3 Star: 0.96 3 Star: 1.9%2 Star: 0.96 2 Star: (6.6%)
1 Star: 0.87 1 Star: (11.6%) SPY: 1.0 SPY: 0%
CAPS AND OUR BUSINESS
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