Introduction and Descriptive Statistics - Vinjar Fønnebø

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 A DAY AT THE OFFICE

Mary is very short

What makes you say that she is short?

Meet Mary. She

is 12 years old.

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 Mary’s peers

 You think Mary should be like

everybody else.

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 Mary’s peers

 You compare Mary with everybody else

Is Mary’s height and ”everybody else’s”height all you know in order to make aconclusion?

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 Mary’s peers

NO, you also have an idea in your mind that

Mary’s height is farther away fromeverybody else than random variation

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 Mary’s peers

 You make an estimate that Mary is

more different than randomvariation should account for

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Formula:

Mary’s height

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Formula:

Mary’s height - Everybody else’s height

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Formula:

Mary’s height – Everybody else’s height

Random variation

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   A high figure leads you to think thatMary can not be like everybody else

 You start looking for a specific «reason»

for her low height, maybe a medicalcondition.

Mary’s height - Everybody else’s height

Random variation

Formula:

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Girls with Turner’s syndrome

Mary is not like everybody else. but she is like everybody else if you only comparewith other girls with Turner’s syndrome

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Girls with Turner’s syndrome

Mary is not like everybody else, but she is like everybody else if you only comparewith other girls with Turner’s syndrome

Mary’s height- Everybody else’s height

Random variation

for girls with Turner’s syndrome

for girls with Turner’s syndrome

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 Important!!!

THIS IS BASICALLY ALL THERE IS TO

STATISTICAL TESTINGREMEMBER, you do it every day just by«eye-balling»

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Formula:

Mary’s height – Everybody else’s height

Random variation

This measurement carries few difficulties

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Formula:

135 cm - Everybody else’s height

Random variation

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Formula:

135 cm - Everybody else’s height

Random variation

What is everybody else’s height?

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Formula:

ModeThe value occurring most often

Median

The middle value when all values are rankedMean

Sum of all values divided by number of values

!x/N = µ 

Measures of centrality:

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Formula:

If Mary’s peers are a statistical”population” of 10 twelve-year olds :

Measures of centrality:

10

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Formula:

135 cm - 154 cm

Random variation

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Formula:

135 cm - 154 cm

Random variation

What is random variation?

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Formula:

Difference between highest andlowest value: 162 cm - 147 cm =15 cm

#his is called RANGE

Utilizes only a small part of the

available information 

Measures of spread:147

151

151

152

153

154

155

156

159

162

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Formula:

Mean distance from the mean Measures of spread:

What is the value of this mathematical expression?

"( x #µ )

 N 

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Formula:

Mean distance from the mean: Measures of spread:

"( x #µ )

 N =

0

10= 0

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Formula:

Mean distance from the mean: Measures of spread:

Is it possible to ignore the sign?

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Formula:

 Absolute mean distance from themean: 

Measures of spread:

" | ( x #µ ) |

 N =

32

10= 3,2

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Formula:

Mean distance from the mean: Measures of spread:

Is there another way of getting rid ofthe sign?

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Formula:

Mean squared distance from themean: 

Measures of spread:

This is called:

VARIANCE

"( x #µ )2

 N =

166

10=16.6

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Formula:

 Variance is in this case expressed in cm2

This is not very practical when the meanheight is expressed as cm

Measures of spread:

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Formula:

Square root of the mean squareddistance from the mean: 

Measures of spread:

This is called:

STANDARD DEVIATION

"( x #µ )2

 N =16.6

 

"( x #µ )2

 N = 4.1

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Formula:

Measures of spread:

The STANDARD DEVIATION

carries the symbol

This is the measure of spread in a population

"( x #µ )2

 N 

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Formula:

135 cm - 154 cm

4.1 cm

Mary’s height is four and a half times furtheraway from the mean than the standarddeviation (random variation)

This value is called z

- 4.63SO WHAT??

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 Normal curve:

Histogram of the height of Mary’s peers

Most of the girls fall in the middle, a few further out.

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 Normal curve:

Histogram of the height of Mary’s peers

Most of the girls fall in the middle, a few further out.

-2 +2

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 Normal curve:

68.3%

95.4%

99.7%

-3 +3

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 Normal curve:

68.3%

95.4%

99.7%

-3 +3

The exact probability of

any number of standard deviations

from the mean can be calculated

and are given in statistical tables or in your

computer’s statistical packages.

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 Normal curve:

Histogram of the height of all Mary’s peersand Mary

Most of the girls fall in the middle, a few further out.Mary is way out there: The statistics agree with ourprevious «eye-balling»

-2 +2

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Yes, the principlesof statistical testing

arenot more than this.

Was that all?

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