HISPANIC PROFILE 2010 Implications for the Assemblies of God Daniel R. Sánchez, Ph.D

HISPANIC PROFILEHISPANIC PROFILE

20102010

Implications for theImplications for the

Assemblies of GodAssemblies of God

Daniel R. Daniel R. Sánchez, Ph.D.Sánchez, Ph.D.

SOURCESSOURCES

This presentation is based following sources:This presentation is based following sources:

1. The Pew Hispanic Center1. The Pew Hispanic Center

2. The U.S. Census Bureau2. The U.S. Census Bureau

3. The Brookings Institution3. The Brookings Institution

4. The Center on Urban Metropolitan Policy4. The Center on Urban Metropolitan Policy

5. Hispanic American Religious Cultures5. Hispanic American Religious Cultures

6. Daniel Sánchez, PhD Thesis, Oxford 6. Daniel Sánchez, PhD Thesis, Oxford

7. Books & Articles7. Books & Articles

REALITY # 1REALITY # 1

The Hispanic American The Hispanic American population continues to population continues to

grow exponentiallygrow exponentially

Since 1980 The Hispanic Since 1980 The Hispanic Population Has TripledPopulation Has Tripled

15 MILLION 15 MILLION (1980)(1980)

46 MILLION 46 MILLION (2008)(2008)

((Source: Pew Hispanic CenterSource: Pew Hispanic Center

Hispanics Projected to Triple Hispanics Projected to Triple Again Again

Population in millions

Source: Pew Hispanic Center population estimates & projections (2008).

Change in Hispanic PopulationChange in Hispanic Population From 2000 has grown by almost 1.5 million a yearFrom 2000 has grown by almost 1.5 million a year

2008Population

2000Population

Change2000 to 2008

% Change2000 to 2008

Total 46,822,476 35,204,408 11,617,996 33.0 %

Hispanic Births Exceed Immigrants Hispanic Births Exceed Immigrants from 2000;from 2000;

Percent Foreign-Born Has Percent Foreign-Born Has PEAKEDPEAKED

Source: Pew Hispanic Center population estimates & projections (2008). *Not Hispanic.

Hispanic Growth by BirthsHispanic Growth by BirthsExceeded Growth by ImmigrationExceeded Growth by Immigration

2008 Population

2000 Population

Percent 2008 Percent 2000

Native Born 28,985,169 21,072,230 61.9% 59.9%

Foreign Born 17,837,309 14,132,250 38.1% 40.1%

Total 46,822,471 35,204,480 100.0% 100.0%

Even if immigration were to stop,Even if immigration were to stop,Hispanics would grow by Hispanics would grow by

1 Million a year1 Million a year2008Population

2000Population

Change2000 to 2008

Growth2000 to 2008

Total 46,822,476 35,204,408 11,617,996 Almost 1.5 million a year

Native Born 28,985,169 21,072,230 7,912,939 Almost a million a year

Foreign Born 17,837,307 14,132,250 3,705,057 Almost half a million a year

QUESTIONQUESTION

If the Hispanic If the Hispanic Population is multiplying, Population is multiplying, are we multiplying in the are we multiplying in the number of converts and number of converts and

churches?churches?

REALITY # 2REALITY # 2

Hispanics continue to Hispanics continue to spread spread throughout the throughout the country faster than any country faster than any

previous immigrant previous immigrant groupgroup

1212

1313

1414

1515

Hispanic PopulationHispanic PopulationBy States - 2008By States - 2008

State Hispanic Population

Total Population % Hispanic

California 13,434,896 36,756,661 36.6

Texas 8,815,582 24,326,974 36.2

Florida 3,846,267 18,328,340 21.0

New York 3,232,360 19,490,340 16.6

Arizona 1,964,625 6,500,180 30.2

Illinois 1,961,843 12,901,564 15.2

New Jersey 1,424,069 8,682,661 16.4

Colorado 993,843 4,939,456 20.1

New Mexico 895,150 1,984,356 45.1

Georgia 780,408 9,685,744 8.1

Hispanic PopulationHispanic PopulationBy States - 2008By States - 2008

State Hispanic Population

Total Population % Hispanic

North Carolina 678,032 9,222,414 7.4

Nevada 672,393 3,600,167 25.9

Washington 642,959 6,549,224 9.8

Pennsylvania 588,950 12,484,297 4.7

Massachusetts 556,573 6,497,967 8.6

Virginia 556,002 7,769,089 6.8

Connecticut 424,191 3,501,252 12.1

Oregon 417,152 3,790,060 11.0

Michigan 408,695 10,003,422 4.1

Maryland 372,650 5,633,597 6.6

Hispanic PopulationHispanic PopulationBy States - 2008By States - 2008

State Hispanic Population

Total Population % Hispanic

Utah 323,938 2,736,424 11.8

Indiana 322,148 6,367,792 5.1

Ohio 296,059 11,485,910 2.4

Wisconsin 286,058 6,376,792 5.1

Oklahoma 278,676 3,642,361 7.7

Kansas 268,964 2.802,134 9.6

Tennessee 234,868 6,214,888 3.8

Minnesota 217,551 5,220,393 4.0

Missouri 182,059 5,911,605 3.1

South Carolina 177,999 4,479,800 4.0

Hispanic PopulationHispanic PopulationBy States - 2008By States - 2008

State Hispanic Population

Total Population % Hispanic

Idaho 159,257 1,523,816 10.5

Arkansas 155,309 2,855,390 5.4

Louisiana 152,781 4,410,796 3.5

Nebraska 147,968 2,855,390 5.4

Alabama 128,586 4,661,900 2.8

Iowa 124,030 3,021,557 4.1

Rhode Island 120,662 1,050,788 11.5

Hawaii 108,663 1,288,198 8.4

Kentucky 100,366 4,269,245 2.4

Delaware 62,506 873,092 7.2

Hispanic PopulationHispanic PopulationBy States - 2008By States - 2008

State Hispanic Population

Total Population % Hispanic

Mississippi 56,632 2,938,618 1.9

D.C. 51,260 591,837 8.7

Wyoming 43,385 532,668 8.1

New Hampshire 39,123 1,315,809 3.0

Alaska 37,420 686,293 5.5

Montana 31,093 967,440 3.2

South Dakota 22,420 804,195 2.8

West Virginia 21,400 1,814,468 1.2

North Dakota 13,634 641,481 2.1

Maine 12,700 1,316,456 1.0

Vermont 6,651 621,270 1.1

2121

2222

QUESTIONSQUESTIONS

1. What are the areas across the country 1. What are the areas across the country where we urgently need more evangelistic where we urgently need more evangelistic efforts and churches to reach Hispanics?efforts and churches to reach Hispanics?

2. Do we have a population to church 2. Do we have a population to church ratio? (e.g., 1 church per __ persons)ratio? (e.g., 1 church per __ persons)– One area 1:500; another area 1: 2,00)One area 1:500; another area 1: 2,00)

3. What strategy do we have to reach 3. What strategy do we have to reach them?them?

REALITY # 3REALITY # 3

There is significant diversity There is significant diversity in the Hispanic populationin the Hispanic population ((Source: Pew Hispanic Center, Roberto Suro and Jeffery S. Source: Pew Hispanic Center, Roberto Suro and Jeffery S.

Passel, Passel, The Rise of the Second GenerationThe Rise of the Second Generation, October, 2003), October, 2003)

GENERATIONAL DIVERSITYGENERATIONAL DIVERSITY

GenerationGeneration Total PercentTotal Percent (In Millions) (Of Hispanic Pop) (In Millions) (Of Hispanic Pop)

11stst 14.214.2 4040

22ndnd 9.9 9.9 2828

33rd+rd+ 11.311.3 3232

(Source: Pew Hispanic Center, Roberto Suro and Jeffery S. Passel, (Source: Pew Hispanic Center, Roberto Suro and Jeffery S. Passel, The The Rise of the Second GenerationRise of the Second Generation, October, 2003), October, 2003)

PROJECTIONSPROJECTIONS

GenerationGeneration20002000 20102010 20202020 %% %% %%

11stst 4040 3838 3434

22ndnd 2828 3232 3636

33rd+rd+ 3232 3030 30301. Until 2020 the 11. Until 2020 the 1stst generation will be the largest generation will be the largest

2. The 32. The 3rdrd generation will remain about one third generation will remain about one third

3. From 2020 on, the 23. From 2020 on, the 2ndnd generation will be the largest generation will be the largest

LINGUISTIC DIVERSITYLINGUISTIC DIVERSITY

GenGen SpanishSpanish BilingualBilingual EnglishEnglish DominantDominant DominantDominant

11stst 72%72% 24%24% 4%4%

22ndnd 7%7% 47%47% 46%46%

33rd+rd+ 0%0% 22%22% 78%78%

CHALLENGESCHALLENGES

1. Reaching and discipling the 1. Reaching and discipling the immigrant generation primarily immigrant generation primarily utilizing the Spanish languageutilizing the Spanish language2. Reaching and discipling the 2. Reaching and discipling the 22ndnd and 3 and 3rdrd generation with bi- generation with bi-lingual and English-dominant lingual and English-dominant strategiesstrategies

COUNTRY OF ORIGIN COUNTRY OF ORIGIN DIVERSITYDIVERSITY

Group Number Percent

Mexican 30,746,270 65.7

Puerto Rican 4,150,862 8.9

All other (Spanish/Hispanic)

1,77,278 3.8

Cuban 1,631,001 3.5

Salvadoran 1,560,416 3.3

Dominican 1.334,228 2.8

Guatemalan 985,601 2.1

Colombian 881,609 1.9

Spaniard 629,758 1.3

Honduran 607,970 1.3

Ecuadorian 590,602 1.3

Peruvian 519,349 1.1

Country of OriginCountry of Origin

Group Number Percent

Nicaraguan 351,704 0.8

Venezuelan 210,337 0.4

Argentinean 204,707 0.4

Panamanian 153,245 0.3

Chilean 127,747 0.3

Costa Rican 121,655 0.3

Bolivian 93,745 0.2

Uruguayan 60,730 0.1

Other Central American 43,352 0.1

Other South American 21,945 0.0

Paraguayan 18,365 0,0

Total 46,882,476 100

ASSIMILATION STAGE ASSIMILATION STAGE DIVERSITY DIVERSITY

Contributing FactorsContributing Factors

1. Schooling – From day one kids start learning 1. Schooling – From day one kids start learning English & about the American English & about the American CultureCulture

2. Media (Radio, TV, Movies, Music, etc.) 2. Media (Radio, TV, Movies, Music, etc.)

3. Peer Group – Classmates, friends 3. Peer Group – Classmates, friends

Assimilation Stage DiversityAssimilation Stage DiversitySocial Contacts & LanguageSocial Contacts & Language

Gen.Gen. Outside Outside

Contacts LanguageContacts Language

1st Few Spanish1st Few Spanish

2nd Some Bilingual 2nd Some Bilingual (Spanish dominant)(Spanish dominant)

3rd Many Bilingual 3rd Many Bilingual (English dominant)(English dominant)

4th Most English (only)4th Most English (only)

ECONOMIC STATUS ECONOMIC STATUS DIVERSITYDIVERSITY

22ndnd and 3 and 3rdrd generation generation Hispanics have made Hispanics have made

significant strides financially significant strides financially yet typically newly arrived yet typically newly arrived Hispanics have the most Hispanics have the most difficult time financiallydifficult time financially

Financial NeedsFinancial Needs

Some Hispanics Some Hispanics have great have great financial needsfinancial needs

1/3 of Hispanic 1/3 of Hispanic children live below children live below the poverty levelthe poverty level

Ministry ImplicationsMinistry Implications

Purchasing Power ProjectionsPurchasing Power Projections

The purchasing power of The purchasing power of Hispanics will grow from: Hispanics will grow from:

One trillion in 2008 One trillion in 2008

toto

2.5 trillion in 20202.5 trillion in 2020Stewardship implications? Church planting vision?Stewardship implications? Church planting vision?

REALITY # 4REALITY # 4

Hispanic Americans are the Hispanic Americans are the group with the largest group with the largest

percentage of children and percentage of children and young peopleyoung people

HISPANIC MEDIAN AGEHISPANIC MEDIAN AGE (27) (27)Source: Current Population Survey, March 2000

YOUTHYOUTH

““In America, one in five In America, one in five people under the age of people under the age of

18 is Hispanic.”18 is Hispanic.”

Source: D’vera Cohn, Washington PostSource: D’vera Cohn, Washington Post

GOSPEL RECEPTIVITYGOSPEL RECEPTIVITY

Hispanic children and youth Hispanic children and youth are generally more receptive are generally more receptive to the Evangelical Message to the Evangelical Message than their parentsthan their parents

Source: Pew Hispanic Center, 2002 National Source: Pew Hispanic Center, 2002 National Survey of Latinos, 53.Survey of Latinos, 53.

““Hispanic Churches In American Public Life”Hispanic Churches In American Public Life”Pew Center & Notre Dame U.Pew Center & Notre Dame U.

AffiliationAffiliation 11STST GenerationGeneration

22ndnd GenerationGeneration

33rdrd GenerationGeneration

CatholicCatholic 74%74% 72%72% 62%62%

EvangelicalEvangelical 15%15% 20%20% 29%29%

IMPLICATIONSIMPLICATIONS

1. Winning and discipling children1. Winning and discipling children

2. Winning and discipling youth2. Winning and discipling youth

3. Training teachers for both3. Training teachers for both

4. Training ministers of children, youth4. Training ministers of children, youth

5. Sensitizing pastors to this challenge5. Sensitizing pastors to this challenge

REALITY # 5REALITY # 5

Hispanics are showing more Hispanics are showing more receptivity to the evangelical receptivity to the evangelical message than ever before message than ever before

in the history of this countryin the history of this country

Hispanics and DenominationsHispanics and DenominationsPercent Catholic | Protes/Evan | Other Christian | Other Faiths | Secular

Hispanics’ Hispanics’ Views of Religious GroupsViews of Religious Groups

Percent Favorable | Unfavorable | No Opinion

Catholic Hispanics and Views Catholic Hispanics and Views of Other Religious Groupsof Other Religious Groups

Percent Favorable | Unfavorable | No Opinion

Evangelical Hispanics and Evangelical Hispanics and Views of Other Religious Views of Other Religious

GroupsGroupsPercent Favorable | Unfavorable | No Opinion

% of Hispanics Who Are % of Hispanics Who Are Born-Again or Evangelical Born-Again or Evangelical

ChristiansChristians

NATIONAL ORIGINNATIONAL ORIGIN& Religious Affiliation& Religious Affiliation

Country/AreaCountry/Area % Evangelical% EvangelicalCentral America Central America 29% 29% Puerto Rico Puerto Rico 29%; 29%; Cuba Cuba 20%20%South America South America 18%18%Mexico Mexico 16% 16% Dominican Republic Dominican Republic 15%; 15%; ““All other Hispanics” All other Hispanics” 38%.38%.

Latest PEW StudyLatest PEW Study

More than 50% More than 50% of Hispanics are seeking a of Hispanics are seeking a more direct and personal relationship with more direct and personal relationship with God God than what they find in their traditional than what they find in their traditional (Catholic) religious practices(Catholic) religious practices

Pew Hispanic Center, “Changing Faiths: Latinos and Transformation Pew Hispanic Center, “Changing Faiths: Latinos and Transformation of American Religion.” 2007of American Religion.” 2007

EVANGELISTIC IMPLICATIONSEVANGELISTIC IMPLICATIONS

The Hispanic fields are white unto harvestThe Hispanic fields are white unto harvest

The religious background of many The religious background of many Hispanics favorably predisposes them to Hispanics favorably predisposes them to the evangelical message if it is presented the evangelical message if it is presented in a positive, sensitive wayin a positive, sensitive way

Most of our church members need to be Most of our church members need to be trained on how to share the good news trained on how to share the good news with Roman Catholic friends.with Roman Catholic friends.

CONCLUSIONS CONCLUSIONS

1. Overall findings suggest the need 1. Overall findings suggest the need for new ways of thinking and for new ways of thinking and strategizing regarding the Hispanic strategizing regarding the Hispanic population in this countrypopulation in this countryExamples: K-Mart, Chase BankExamples: K-Mart, Chase Bank

(Source: Pew Hispanic Center/Kaiser Family (Source: Pew Hispanic Center/Kaiser Family Foundation, 2002 National Survey of LatinosFoundation, 2002 National Survey of Latinos

CONCLUSIONS CONCLUSIONS

2. Many Hispanic immigrants are already 2. Many Hispanic immigrants are already evangelical or are very evangelical or are very receptive to the receptive to the gospelgospel. .

This has significant implications for This has significant implications for evangelism and church planting among evangelism and church planting among Hispanics.Hispanics.

(Source: Pew Hispanic Center/Kaiser Family Foundation, (Source: Pew Hispanic Center/Kaiser Family Foundation, 2002 National Survey of Latinos2002 National Survey of Latinos

CONCLUSIONSCONCLUSIONS

3. Two processes – 3. Two processes – assimilation assimilation and and

immigrationimmigration – are taking place side-by- – are taking place side-by-side in the Hispanic communities, often side in the Hispanic communities, often within a single familywithin a single family

We need many Spanish-speaking as well We need many Spanish-speaking as well as bi-lingual churchesas bi-lingual churches

(Source: Pew Hispanic Center/Kaiser Family (Source: Pew Hispanic Center/Kaiser Family Foundation, 2002 National Survey of LatinosFoundation, 2002 National Survey of Latinos

CONCLUSIONSCONCLUSIONS

4. Because Hispanics are spreading 4. Because Hispanics are spreading throughout the country so rapidly we throughout the country so rapidly we desperately need many new Hispanic desperately need many new Hispanic churches in many cities and towns across churches in many cities and towns across America.America.

(Source: “Latino Growth in Metropolitan America, ”The (Source: “Latino Growth in Metropolitan America, ”The Brookings Institution Center on Urban & Metropolitan Brookings Institution Center on Urban & Metropolitan Policy and the Pew Hispanic Center) Policy and the Pew Hispanic Center)

CONCLUSIONSCONCLUSIONS

5. The Hispanic population has tripled in 5. The Hispanic population has tripled in the last 35 years and will triple again in the the last 35 years and will triple again in the next 45 years.next 45 years.Have the number of Hispanic churches Have the number of Hispanic churches tripled? Will they triple in the future?tripled? Will they triple in the future?

(Source: Pew Hispanic Center/Kaiser Family (Source: Pew Hispanic Center/Kaiser Family Foundation, 2002 National Survey of LatinosFoundation, 2002 National Survey of Latinos

CONCLUSIONSCONCLUSIONS

6. There is a need for denominational 6. There is a need for denominational strategists to adapt quickly to vast change strategists to adapt quickly to vast change presents special challenges in metro areas presents special challenges in metro areas that started with small Hispanic that started with small Hispanic populations and have experienced populations and have experienced sudden, substantial growth.sudden, substantial growth.

(Source: “Latino Growth in Metropolitan America, ”The (Source: “Latino Growth in Metropolitan America, ”The Brookings Institution Center on Urban & Metropolitan Brookings Institution Center on Urban & Metropolitan Policy and the Pew Hispanic Center) Policy and the Pew Hispanic Center)

Hispanic ProfileHispanic Profile

1. The Hispanic population is growing 1. The Hispanic population is growing exponentially – (are we – in evangelism & exponentially – (are we – in evangelism & church planting?)church planting?)

2. Hispanics continue to spread 2. Hispanics continue to spread throughout the country – (where do we throughout the country – (where do we need churches the most?)need churches the most?)

3. There is significant socio-cultural 3. There is significant socio-cultural diversity among Hispanic (what’s our diversity among Hispanic (what’s our strategy to reach all segments?) strategy to reach all segments?)

Hispanic ProfileHispanic Profile

4. Hispanics have the largest % of children 4. Hispanics have the largest % of children and youth (what’s our strategy to reach and youth (what’s our strategy to reach and disciple them?)and disciple them?)

5. Hispanics are now more receptive to the 5. Hispanics are now more receptive to the Gospel message than ever before (what Gospel message than ever before (what are we doing to maximize our outreach to are we doing to maximize our outreach to them?) them?)

CHALLENGECHALLENGE

““The explosive growth of the Hispanic The explosive growth of the Hispanic population coupled with their population coupled with their unprecedented response to the Gospel unprecedented response to the Gospel requires that extraordinary measures requires that extraordinary measures be taken to bring in the harvest that the be taken to bring in the harvest that the Lord has placed before us.”Lord has placed before us.”

Source: Daniel SanchezSource: Daniel Sanchez

OUR RESPONSE OUR RESPONSE

HOW WILL LIFEWAY RESPOND HOW WILL LIFEWAY RESPOND

TO THIS CHALLENGE?TO THIS CHALLENGE?

ResourcesResources

To obtain additional copies of this To obtain additional copies of this presentation of purchase the book presentation of purchase the book Hispanic Realities Impacting America visit Hispanic Realities Impacting America visit the Church Starting Network website the Church Starting Network website www.churchstarting.net

You may contact Dr. Sanchez through his You may contact Dr. Sanchez through his e-mail address e-mail address dsanchez@swbts.edu

Or call Or call 817 454 9016817 454 9016

% of Hispanic Catholics % of Hispanic Catholics Who Are CharismaticsWho Are Charismatics

% of Hispanic Protestants % of Hispanic Protestants Who Are Pentecostals or Who Are Pentecostals or

CharismaticsCharismatics

% Who Say Religion is Very % Who Say Religion is Very ImportantImportant

% Who Attend Church Weekly% Who Attend Church Weekly

% Who Pray Daily% Who Pray DailyAmong those who belong to a particular religion

% Who Say Miracles % Who Say Miracles Still Occur Today as in Ancient Still Occur Today as in Ancient

TimesTimesAmong those who belong to a particular religion

% Who Say “Jesus % Who Say “Jesus Will Return to Earth in My Will Return to Earth in My

Lifetime”Lifetime”Among those who belong to a particular religion