György Seres: Bases of military system modeling Universal model of military system

György Seres:

Bases of military system modeling

Universal model of military system

I developed a model I developed a model for study of military for study of military

system, system, ( like an old model creator ( like an old model creator

))

Universal model Universal model of military systemof military system

Military system can be a system of any level, from a military alliance

to a digital warrior.• Alliance, • national armed forces, • branches, • weapon systems,• military vehicles, • etc.

Universal model Universal model of military systemof military system

Military system

Universal model Universal model of military systemof military system

Alliance, national armed forces, ...

military vehicles, ... digital warrior

Inputs of military system are • requirements,• conditions,• influences,• resources

from its EnvironmentOutputs are• attributes,• capabilities,• signals, • reactions,• losses

to its Environment

Universal model Universal model of military systemof military system

PurposeMilitary systemEnvironment

Attributes, capabilities, signals, reactions, losses

Requirements, conditions, influences, resources

Inputs Outputs

Universal model Universal model of military systemof military system

I begin describing of I begin describing of system from its system from its

environmentenvironment . . Why Why ? ?Think about Napoleon’s war against Russia, Think about Napoleon’s war against Russia,

Hitler’s war against the Soviet Union, war Hitler’s war against the Soviet Union, war of France and USA against Vietnam, or of France and USA against Vietnam, or wars of Arabic States against Israel !wars of Arabic States against Israel !

– Outcome of these wars did not mirror the Outcome of these wars did not mirror the power ratio, because attackers paid no power ratio, because attackers paid no enough attention to environmental enough attention to environmental influences –- Russian Winter, Vietnam influences –- Russian Winter, Vietnam Jungle, patriotism of the people, or help Jungle, patriotism of the people, or help of the Diaspora.of the Diaspora.

Environment Environment of military systemof military system

Environment’s subsystems are:• Friendly

– Command, – cooperative, – logistics.

• Enemy– Attack, – defense.

• Neutral– Geographical,– political – climatic,– meteorological, – daytime, – etc.

PurposeMilitary systemEnvironment

Environment Environment of military systemof military system

Friendly

Neutral

Enemy

Command, cooperative,

logistics

Geographical, political,

meteorological, etc.

Attacker/defender

I continue describing of I continue describing of system with its purpose . system with its purpose .

Why ?Why ?Think about the Iraq wars of President Think about the Iraq wars of President

Bush senior and junior!Bush senior and junior!– The US took no notice of political The US took no notice of political

environment when defined the environment when defined the purpose of the Second Gulf War - purpose of the Second Gulf War - reactions of dominant powers of the reactions of dominant powers of the EU or Russia, and neighboring EU or Russia, and neighboring Islamic States, or domestic force of Islamic States, or domestic force of different Islamic groups.different Islamic groups.

Purpose of military systemPurpose of military system

Purpose of military systems can be determinated by its environment (excluding terrorist military systems, which determinate own purpose itself)

• Survival• Result

Determined by friendly environment result can be:

– deterrent,– threat, – victory,– defense, – intelligence,– destroy,– occupation, – extortion,– etc.

Main result of military systems Main result of military systems must be determined by friendly must be determined by friendly

environment environment

Determined by neutral environment result can be :

– surviving a desert storm,– surviving a snow, – surviving a sea storm– etc.

… … bbut purpose can be ut purpose can be determinatedeterminatedd also also by neutral by neutral

environmentenvironment

Determined by enemy environment result can be:

– Camouflage, – retreat,– etc.

… … also purpose can be also purpose can be determinatedeterminatedd by enemy by enemy

environmentenvironment

PurposeMilitary systemEnvironment

PurposePurpose of military systemof military system

Survival

Result

Camouflage, retreat, etc.

Survival of weather storm, etc.

Friendly

Neutral

Enemy

Losses

Deterrent, threat,victory, destroy,

defense, intelligence,occupation,

extortion,, etc.

Dr. György SeresDr. György Seres

drseres@jata.org

http://www.jata.org/drseres/