Gospodjinacki_-_SHP_Investment_Opportunitie

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HYDRO 2007Granada, Spain, 15-17 October 2007

SHP Investment Opportunities in EEC

Slovenian Small Hydropower AssociationMarko Gospodjinački, president member

OPENING THOUGHT

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A view from Mars

SERBIA

MONTENEGRO

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Numbers

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km2Potential Exploited

W vs WMW GWh No. GWh/km2 MW GWh No. GWh/km2

Slovenia* 20.273 180 700 n/a 0,035 85 270 400 0,013

14,1%

Croatia 56.542 180 720 699 0,013 29 116 10 0,002

BiH 51.129 450 1575 250 0,031 33,82 195 17 0,004

Serbia 88.528 450 1500 850 0,017 13 45,5 2 0,001

Montenegro 13.812 231,72 644 70 0,047 9 21,4 7 0,002

Macedonia 25.333 255,5 1103 403 0,044 45 136 11 0,005

255.617 1.567,22 5.542 2.272 0,022 214,82 783,9 447 0,003

SLOVENIA

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Precipitation map

SLOVENIA

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Age of SHPUAP Premium LTMP (=UAP – Premium)

€ cents € cents € cents

New (< 5y) 6,16 2,40 3,75

> 5 years 5,85 2,28 3,57

> 10 years 5,54 2,16 3,38

Water rights

Concession

Procedure Annual Fee

Durationyears

Application* 3 % 30+

UAP … Unified Annual Price

LTMP… Long-Term Market Price

* … followed by public tender

POTENTIAL180 MW10

2030

40 50 6070

8090

1000Technically Exploitable Hydro Potential

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CROATIA

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Water map

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CROATIA

POTENTIAL180 MW

Water rightsConcession

Procedure Annual Fee

One-time fee

Durationyears

0 – 5 MW Public Tender 1 % > 5x

annual fee 30

5 – 20 MW Public Tender 1 % > 10x

annual fee 60

Support System

12 years& inflation

- 0,13 €c/kWh to

LC

Single buyer – Market Operator

PPO Installedpower MWh Price

€ cents

YES

< 1 MW 9,24

> 1 MW

≤ 5.000 9,24

5.000 – 15.000 7,36

> 15.000 5,62

1020

3040 50 60

7080

90

1000Technically Exploitable Hydro Potential

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BOSNIA AND HERZEGOVINA

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Federation of BiH

Water rightsConcession

Procedure Annual Fee Durationyears

0 – 5 MW Public Tender n/a 30 max

Support System*

Single buyer – Elektroprivreda BiH

PPO Feed-in Price € cents

YES YES, 80% of the price for households 4,1

* … Only < 5 MW

POTENTIAL450 MW10

2030

40 50 6070

8090

1000Technically Exploitable Hydro Potential

SERBIA

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Water map

SERBIA

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Water rightsConcession

Procedure Annual Fee Durationyears

0 – 10 MW Public Tender n/a 30

Support System

Single buyer – Elektroprivreda Srbije

PPO Feed-in Price

NO NO negotiated

POTENTIAL450 MW10

2030

40 50 6070

8090

1000Technically Exploitable Hydro Potential

MONTENEGRO

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MONTENEGRO

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Water rights*Concession

Procedure Annual Fee Durationyears

0 – 10 MW Public Tender 2 % + 30

Support *System

Single buyer – Elektroprivreda CG

PPO Feed-in Price

YES YES 6,7

POTENTIAL231 MW

* … System is in preparation

1020

3040 50 60

7080

90

1000Technically Exploitable Hydro Potential

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MACEDONIA

MACEDONIA

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Water rightsConcession

Procedure Annual Fee Durationyears

0 – 2 MW Public Tender* 2 %

20+

2 – 10 MW 40

Support System

Single buyer – Elektrostopanstvo na Makedonia (ESM)

PPO Feed-in Price

YES YES 4,5 – 12,0

POTENTIAL255 MW10

2030

40 50 6070

8090

1000Technically Exploitable Hydro Potential

*16.3.-16.6.07Cond. - 500 €/kW in 2006

- 3% of investment =perf.security- Upfront fee 43,5-72 €/kW

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61,6

92,37

41

0

76

65

104,67

96,75

60,16

40,70

64,00

45,80

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

Slovenia Croatia BiH Serbia Montenegro Macedonia

€/MWh

Feed-in vs. Households (€/MWh)Feed-in Households

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Specific Potential GWh/km2/ySlovenia; 0,035

Croatia; 0,013

BiH; 0,031

Serbia; 0,017

Montenegro; 0,047

Macedonia; 0,044

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SHP Potential in MW

Serbia; 450

BiH; 450

Croatia; 180

Slovenia; 180Macedonia;

255,5

Montenegro; 231,72

POTENTIAL1.567 MW 5.542 GWh

New capacities on … Mars ;)

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Slovenian Small Hydropower Association

Thank you for your attention!