GETTING TO WHERE YOU WANT TO GO€¦ · 1990 to 2005-2009 *Linguistically isolated households are...

July 2013 Prepared by: Manuel Pastor, Jennifer Ito, Jared P.

Sanchez, Madeline Wander, and Anthony Perez

GETTING TO WHERE YOU WANT TO GO:

DEMOGRAPHY, ECONOMY, AND THE REGION

MERCED

MERCED BHC SITE BOUNDARIES

Prepared by USC PERE | July 2013 | 3

Changing Demographics

35%

26% 23%

54%

40% 35%

57%

47% 43%

40% 54% 61%

32%

45% 52%

25%

32%

36%

17% 12% 9%

8% 7% 7% 9%

11% 12%

6% 5% 5%

5% 3% 3%

7% 6% 6%

3% 3% 3% 4% 3% 5%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

1990 2000 2005-09 1990 2000 2005-09 1990 2000 2005-09

Merced BHC Site Merced County California

% o

f P

op

ula

tio

n

Population by Race/Ethnicity

1990 to 2005-2009

Other

American Indian

or Alaska Native

African American

or Black

Asian or Pacific

Islander

Latino

White

Source: PERE analysis of 1990 and 200 Census data and 2005-2009 ACS data, at the block group level.

Prepared by USC PERE | July 2013 | 5

22.7%

35.0%

42.5%

61.2%

52.1% 36.1%

9.4% 7.0%

12.5%

4.5% 3.5% 6.0%

2.9% 3.8% 4.9%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

Merced BHC Site Merced County California

% o

f P

op

ula

tio

n

Population by Race/Ethnicity

2005-2009

Other

American Indian or

Alaska Native

African American or

Black

Asian or Pacific

Islander

Latino

White

Source: PERE analysis of 2005-2009 ACS data, at the block group level.

Prepared by USC PERE | July 2013 | 6

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

1990 2000 2005-09

Proportion of People of Color

1990 to 2005-2009

Merced BHC Site

Merced County

California

Source: PERE analysis of 1990 and 2000 Census data, and 2005-2009 ACS data, at the block group level.

Prepared by USC PERE | July 2013 | 7

54%

46% 43%

64%

55% 49%

70%

62% 60%

34% 45% 49%

25%

34% 40%

17%

22% 24%

8% 8% 6%

4% 4% 4% 6% 9% 9%

4% 2% 2% 8% 7% 7% 6% 7% 7%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

1990 2000 2005-09 1990 2000 2005-09 1990 2000 2005-09

Merced BHC Site Merced County California

Household Language

1990 to 2005-2009

Other language only

Asian language only

Spanish language

only

English Only

Source: PERE analysis of 1990 and 200 Census data and 2005-2009 ACS data

Prepared by USC PERE | July 2013 | 8

16% 15%

17%

10%

12%

14%

8%

10% 11%

0%

10%

20%

30%

1990 2000 2005-09 1990 2000 2005-09 1990 2000 2005-09

Merced BHC Site Merced County California

% o

f LI H

ou

se

ho

lds

Percent of Households that are Linguistically Isolated

1990 to 2005-2009

*Linguistically isolated households are those that in which no one age 14 years and over speaks English only or speaks English "very well" (if they speak a non-English language).

Source: PERE analysis of 1990 and 2000 Census data, and 2005-2009 ACS data, at the block group level.

Prepared by USC PERE | July 2013 | 9

Immigrant Integration

29.9% 24.7% 26.8%

70.1% 75.3% 73.2%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

Merced BHC Site Merced County California

% o

f P

op

ula

tio

n

Population by Immigration Status

2005-2009

Non-foreign born

Foreign born

Source: PERE analysis of 2005-2009 ACS data, at the tract level.

Prepared by USC PERE | July 2013 | 11

21.8% 16.2% 15.0%

8.1%

8.4% 11.8%

70.1% 75.3% 73.2%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

Merced BHC Site Merced County California

% o

f P

op

ula

tio

n

Population by Non-Foreign Born and Citizenship of Foreign Born

2005-2009

Non-foreign born

Naturalized

Non-citizen

Source: PERE analysis of 2005-2009 ACS data, at the tract level. Source: PERE analysis of 2005-2009 ACS data, at the tract level. Source: PERE analysis of 2005-2009 ACS data, at the tract level.

Prepared by USC PERE | July 2013 | 12

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

1990 2000 2005-09

Proportion of Immigrants

1990 to 2005-2009

Merced BHC Site

Merced County

California

Source: PERE analysis of 1990 and 2000 Census data, and 2005-2009 ACS data, at the tract level.

Prepared by USC PERE | July 2013 | 13

72% 74% 70% 71%

44% 44%

4%

3%

8% 8%

2% 2%

8% 7%

9% 8%

11% 11%

23% 13% 14% 10%

15% 15%

4% 3% 5%

5% 6%

0%

25%

50%

75%

100%

2000 2005-09 2000 2005-09 2000 2005-09

Merced BHC Site Merced County California

Country/Region of Origin for Immigrants

2000 & 2005-2009

Other

Middle Eastern

Australia

Pacific Islander

African

South Central Asian

Southeast Asian

East Asian

European

Other Carribean

Cuban

South American

Central American

Mexican

Source: PERE analysis 2000 Census data and 2005-2009 ACS data.

Prepared by USC PERE | July 2013 | 14

Prepared by USC PERE | July 2013 | 15 Source: GeoLytics Census CD 1980 in 2000 Boundaries, and US Census Bureau. Data is mapped on 2000 Census tracts

Prepared by USC PERE | July 2013 | 16 Source: GeoLytics Census CD 1990 Long Form in 2000 Boundaries, and US Census Bureau. Data is mapped on 2000 Census tracts

Prepared by USC PERE | July 2013 | 17 Source: Census 2000, and US Census Bureau. Data is mapped on 2000 Census tracts

Prepared by USC PERE | July 2013 | 18 Source: 2009 ACS 5 year Summary File, and US Census Bureau. Data is mapped on 2000 Census tracts

Geography of Change

Prepared by USC PERE | July 2013 | 20 Source: GeoLytics Census CD 1980 in 2000 Boundaries, and US Census Bureau. Data is mapped on 2000 Census tracts

Prepared by USC PERE | July 2013 | 21 Source: GeoLytics Census CD 1990 Long Form in 2000 Boundaries, and US Census Bureau. Data is mapped on 2000 Census tracts

Prepared by USC PERE | July 2013 | 22 Source: Census 2000, and US Census Bureau. Data is mapped on 2000 Census tracts

Prepared by USC PERE | July 2013 | 23 Source: GeoLytics 2010 Summary File SF1, and US Census Bureau. Data is mapped on 2000 Census tracts

Prepared by USC PERE | July 2013 | 24 Source: GeoLytics Census CD 1980 in 2000 Boundaries, and US Census Bureau. Data is mapped on 2000 Census tracts

Prepared by USC PERE | July 2013 | 25 Source: GeoLytics Census CD 1990 Long Form in 2000 Boundaries, and US Census Bureau. Data is mapped on 2000 Census tracts

Prepared by USC PERE | July 2013 | 26 Source: Census 2000, and US Census Bureau. Data is mapped on 2000 Census tracts

Prepared by USC PERE | July 2013 | 27 Source: GeoLytics 2010 Summary File SF1, and US Census Bureau. Data is mapped on 2000 Census tracts

Prepared by USC PERE | July 2013 | 28 Source: GeoLytics Census CD 1980 in 2000 Boundaries, and US Census Bureau. Data is mapped on 2000 Census tracts

Prepared by USC PERE | July 2013 | 29 Source: GeoLytics Census CD 1990 Long Form in 2000 Boundaries, and US Census Bureau. Data is mapped on 2000 Census tracts

Prepared by USC PERE | July 2013 | 30 Source: Census 2000, and US Census Bureau. Data is mapped on 2000 Census tracts

Prepared by USC PERE | July 2013 | 31 Source: GeoLytics 2010 Summary File SF1, and US Census Bureau. Data is mapped on 2000 Census tracts

Prepared by USC PERE | July 2013 | 32 Source: GeoLytics Census CD 1980 in 2000 Boundaries, and US Census Bureau. Data is mapped on 2000 Census tracts

Prepared by USC PERE | July 2013 | 33 Source: GeoLytics Census CD 1990 Long Form in 2000 Boundaries, and US Census Bureau. Data is mapped on 2000 Census tracts

Prepared by USC PERE | July 2013 | 34 Source: Census 2000, and US Census Bureau. Data is mapped on 2000 Census tracts

Prepared by USC PERE | July 2013 | 35 Source: GeoLytics 2010 Summary File SF1, and US Census Bureau. Data is mapped on 2000 Census tracts

Generational Trends

12% 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12%

Under 5 years

5 to 9 years

10 to 14 years

15 to 19 years

20 to 24 years

25 to 29 years

30 to 34 years

35 to 39 years

40 to 44 years

45 to 49 years

50 to 54 years

55 to 59 years

60 to 64 years

65 to 69 years

70 to 74 years

75 to 79 years

80 to 84 years

85 years and over

Age by Sex, California, 2005-09

Male

Female

Source: PERE analysis of 2005-2009 ACS data, at the block group level.

Prepared by USC PERE | July 2013 | 37

12% 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12%

Under 5 years

5 to 9 years

10 to 14 years

15 to 19 years

20 to 24 years

25 to 29 years

30 to 34 years

35 to 39 years

40 to 44 years

45 to 49 years

50 to 54 years

55 to 59 years

60 to 64 years

65 to 69 years

70 to 74 years

75 to 79 years

80 to 84 years

85 years and over

Age by Sex, Merced County, 2005-09

Male

Female

Source: PERE analysis of 2005-2009 ACS data, at the block group level.

Prepared by USC PERE | July 2013 | 38

12% 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12%

Under 5 years

5 to 9 years

10 to 14 years

15 to 19 years

20 to 24 years

25 to 29 years

30 to 34 years

35 to 39 years

40 to 44 years

45 to 49 years

50 to 54 years

55 to 59 years

60 to 64 years

65 to 69 years

70 to 74 years

75 to 79 years

80 to 84 years

85 years and over

Age by Sex, Merced BHC Site, 2005-09

Male

Female

Source: PERE analysis of 2005-2009 ACS data, at the block group level.

Prepared by USC PERE | July 2013 | 39

24%

36%

45%

33%

22%

40% 35%

32%

61%

58%

50%

60%

61%

56%

58% 59%

15%

6% 5% 7%

17%

5% 7% 10%

0%

25%

50%

75%

100%

White Latino Asian/Pacific

Islander

Black White Latino Asian/Pacific

Islander

Black

Merced BHC Site Merced County

Age Distribution by Race/Ethnicity

2005-2009

Greater

than 64

18 to

64

years

old

Less

than 18

Source: PERE analysis of 2005-2009 ACS data

Prepared by USC PERE | July 2013 | 40

50

55

60

65

70

75

80

85

90

95

100

1990 2000 2005-09

Dependency Ratio*

1990 to 2005-2009

Merced BHC Site

Merced County

California

Source: PERE analysis of 1990 and 2000 Census data, and 2005-2009 ACS data, at the block group level.

*The Dependency Ratio is the population above the age of 64 and below the age of 18 as a share of the working age population (ages 18-64).

Prepared by USC PERE | July 2013 | 41

15.2%

23.5% 30.4%

66.5%

62.9% 48.9%

12.9% 7.7%

10.5%

4.8% 3.7% 6.4%

2.2% 3.9%

0%

25%

50%

75%

100%

Merced BHC Site Merced County California

% o

f A

ll Y

ou

th

Youth by Race/Ethnicity*

2005-2009

Other

African American or Black

Asian or Pacific Islander

Latino

White

* "Youth" includes everyone less than 18 years old Source: PERE analysis of 1990 and 2000 Census data, and 2005-2009 ACS data, at the tract level.

Prepared by USC PERE | July 2013 | 42

49%

44% 43%

30% 29% 29%

18% 19%

18%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

1990 2000 2005-09 1990 2000 2005-09 1990 2000 2005-09

Merced BHC Site Merced County California

% o

f Y

ou

th (

< 1

8 y

rs.

old

)

Youth in Poverty

1990 to 2005-2009

Source: PERE analysis of 1990 and 2000 Census data, and 2005-2009 ACS data, at the tract level.

Prepared by USC PERE | July 2013 | 43

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

1990 2000 2005-09 1990 2000 2005-09 1990 2000 2005-09

Merced BHC Site Merced County California

% o

f A

ge

Gro

up

Percent of Youth in Poverty by Age Group*

1990 to 2005-2009

< 5 yrs 6-11 yrs 12-17 yrs

* "Youth" includes everyone less than 18 years old Source: PERE analysis of 1990 and 2000 Census data, and 2005-2009 ACS data, at the tract level.

Prepared by USC PERE | July 2013 | 44

46.2%

33.1%

19.6%

45.6%

30.5%

18.2%

38.0%

23.1%

17.1%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

Merced BHC Site Merced County California

% o

f A

ge

Gro

up

Percent of Youth in Poverty by Age Group*

2005-2009

< 5 yrs 6-11 yrs 12-17 yrs

* "Youth" includes everyone less than 18 years old Source: PERE analysis of 1990 and 2000 Census data, and 2005-2009 ACS data, at the tract level.

Prepared by USC PERE | July 2013 | 45

Economic Indicators

52.7% 53.6% 51.6%

34.6% 35.5% 35.4%

21.4% 24.1% 22.9%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

1990 2000 2005-2009

% o

f P

op

ula

tio

n

Percent of Population Below 150 Percent Federal Poverty Line (FPL)*

1990 to 2005-2009

Merced BHC Site Merced County California

*Includes all persons living in households with household incomes below 150 percent of the FPL. Source: PERE analysis of 1990 and 2000 Census data, and 2005-2009 ACS data, at the tract level.

Prepared by USC PERE | July 2013 | 47

$33,502 $33,474

$30,063

$44,605

$47,167

$43,866

$0

$10,000

$20,000

$30,000

$40,000

$50,000

$60,000

1990 2000 2005-09

Median Household Income

1990 to 2005-2009

Merced BHC Site

Merced County

Source: PERE analysis of 1990 and 2000 Census data, and 2005-2009 ACS data, at the tract level. Data adjusted for inflation using the Consumer Price Index provided by California Department of Finance. Data in 2009 dollars.

Prepared by USC PERE | July 2013 | 48

$13,056 $13,277

$18,939 $17,994

$0

$5,000

$10,000

$15,000

$20,000

$25,000

$30,000

2000 2005-09

Average Per Capita Income

1990 to 2005-2009

Merced BHC Site

Merced County

Source: PERE analysis of 1990 and 2000 Census data, and 2005-2009 ACS data, at the tract level. Data adjusted for inflation using the Consumer Price Index provided by California Department of Finance. Data in 2009 dollars.

Prepared by USC PERE | July 2013 | 49

23% 25%

11% 13%

8% 8%

34% 32%

28% 26%

22%

19%

63%

43%

38%

23%

13%

10%

45%

41%

31%

27%

22%

20%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

2000 2005-09 2000 2005-09 2000 2005-09

Merced BHC Site Merced County California

Percent Poverty by Race/Ethnicity

2000 & 2005-2009

White Latino Asian/Pacific Islander Black

Source: PERE analysis of 2000 Census data and 2005-2009 ACS data

Prepared by USC PERE | July 2013 | 50

20%

59% 55%

16% 15%

52%

32%

17%

28%

19%

11%

27% 29%

23%

17%

28%

39%

19%

18%

52%

36%

20%

24%

46%

12%

3%

15%

5%

19%

5%

27%

9%

0%

25%

50%

75%

100%

White Latino Asian/Pacific

Islander

Black White Latino Asian/Pacific

Islander

Black

Merced BHC Site Merced County

Educational Attainment by Race/Ethnicity

2005-2009

BA or

higher

Some

College

HS

Grad

Less

than

High

School

Source: PERE analysis of 2005-2009 ACS data

Prepared by USC PERE | July 2013 | 51

91%

83%

92%

84%

91% 85% 85% 86%

9%

17%

8%

16%

9% 15% 14% 14%

0%

25%

50%

75%

100%

White Latino Asian/Pacific

Islander

Black White Latino Asian/Pacific

Islander

Black

Merced BHC Site Merced County

Employment Status by Race/Ethnicity

2005-2009

Unemployed

Employed

Source: PERE analysis of 2005-2009 ACS data

Prepared by USC PERE | July 2013 | 52

26%

11%

23% 20%

34%

13%

34% 28%

20%

21%

30%

23%

15%

19%

19% 28%

26%

19%

22%

31% 25%

18%

24%

23%

18% 15%

12%

12% 3% 2%

10%

13%

3% 4%

14% 19%

23% 24%

13%

22% 17% 16%

0%

25%

50%

75%

100%

White Latino Asian/Pacific

Islander

Black White Latino Asian/Pacific

Islander

Black

Merced BHC Site Merced County

Occupation by Race/Ethnicity

2005-2009

Production

Construction

Farming

Sales

Service

Management/

Professional

Source: PERE analysis 2005-2009 ACS data.

Prepared by USC PERE | July 2013 | 53

82%

90% 68%

87%

48%

80%

42% 32%

63% 23%

44%

47% 42%

18%

10%

32%

13%

52%

20%

58% 68%

37%

77%

56%

53%

58%

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

4,000

4,500

Industry by Sex, 2005-2009

Female Male

2,481

1,855

2,459

585

2,371

766 622

575

1,089

4,069

1,365

563

864

Source: PERE analysis of 2005-2009 ACS data.

Prepared by USC PERE | July 2013 | 54

Housing Equity Indicators

44% 45% 41%

54% 59% 56% 56% 57% 58%

56% 55% 59%

46% 41% 44% 44% 43% 42%

0%

25%

50%

75%

100%

1990 2000 2005-09 1990 2000 2005-09 1990 2000 2005-09

Merced BHC Site Merced County California

Housing Tenure

1990, 2000 & 2005-2009

Renter

Owner

Source: PERE analysis of 1990 and 2000 Census data, and 2005-2009 ACS data

Prepared by USC PERE | July 2013 | 56

50%

39%

30% 27%

67%

48%

56%

40%

50%

61%

70% 73%

33%

52%

44%

60%

0%

25%

50%

75%

100%

White Latino Asian/Pacific

Islander

Black White Latino Asian/Pacific

Islander

Black

Merced BHC Site Merced County

Housing Tenure by Race/Ethnicity

2005-2009

Renter

Owner

Source: PERE analysis of 2005-2009 ACS data

Prepared by USC PERE | July 2013 | 57

4.1%

2.6% 3% 2.6%

1.1% 1%

5%

4%

5%

0%

2%

4%

6%

8%

10%

2005-09 2005-09 2005-09

Merced BHC Site Merced County California

Overcrowded Housing by Tenure

2005-2009

All Overcrowded Owner Overcrowded Renter Overcrowded

Source: PERE analysis of 2005-2009 ACS data

Prepared by USC PERE | July 2013 | 58

Health Equity Indicators

SOUTHWEST / EAST MERCED BHC

Source: California Health Interview Survey. CHIS 2009 BHC Health Profile. Los Angeles, CA: UCLA Center for Health Policy Research, 2011.

• 33% of adults are

uninsured versus 27% in

Merced County & 22%* in

CA

• 34% of adults are insured

by private coverage /

employer versus 52%* in

Merced County & 61%* in

CA

• 9% of children are

uninsured versus 5% in

Merced County & CA * Denotes statistically significant difference from BHC site estimate.

Prepared by USC PERE | July 2013 | 60

Regional Economic Trends

78%

67%

80%70%

87%82%

94%

62% 63%

82%

9%27%

7%

10%

10%9%

2%

7%10%

7%

13%7%

12%20%

3%8%

4%

31%27%

12%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Merced County & Southwest Merced BHC Site

Educational Requirements for New Jobs in the Region &

Educational Attainment by Race/EthnicityPopulation 25+

(2008-2010)

Less than an Associates Degree Associates degree and/or occupational program Bachelors degree or higher

Educational

Requirements

(Projected, 2008-2018)

Educational Attainment

(2008-10)

Prepared by USC PERE | July 2013 | 62

OCCUPATIONS AND INDUSTRIES – MERCED COUNTY

Growth in Jobs and Earnings by Wage Level, 1990-2010

Prepared by USC PERE | July 2013 | 63

Industry

Average

Annual

Earnings

in 1990

($2010)

Wage

Category

Share of

Jobs,

1990

Share of

Jobs,

2010Utilities $49,478

Wholesale Trade $45,191

Management of Companies and Enterprises $40,816

Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services $40,221

Finance and Insurance $36,296

Transportation and Warehousing $35,486

Health Care and Social Assistance $34,878

Manufacturing $34,853

Mining $33,153

Construction $31,897

Information $31,650

Retail Trade $24,731

Real Estate and Rental and Leasing $21,254

Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing and Hunting $20,404

Other Services (except Public Administration) $19,532

Administrative and Support and Waste Management and Remediation Services$19,010

Education Services $13,808

Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation $13,049

Accommodation and Food Services $12,726

Low 40% 38%

High 13% 15%

Medium 47% 47%

OCCUPATIONS AND INDUSTRIES – MERCED COUNTY

Prepared by USC PERE | July 2013 | 64

EMPLOYMENT GROWTH – MERCED COUNTY

Industry Size, Pay, and Growth (Bubble size represents total employment in 2010)

Health Care/

Social Assistance

Retail Trade

Manufacturing

Agriculture/Forestry/

Fishing & Hunting

Mining

Construction

Administrative & Support/ Waste

Management & Remediation

Wholesale

Trade

Accommodation/Food

Transportation/

Warehousing

Finance/

Insurance

Professional/

Scientific/

Technical

Information

Other Services

(except Public Admin)

Real Estate

Management of Companies and

Enterprises

Education

Arts/Entertainment/Recreation

Utilities

-$30,000

$10,000

$50,000

$90,000

-80.0% -60.0% -40.0% -20.0% 0.0% 20.0% 40.0% 60.0% 80.0% 100.0%

An

nu

al A

ve

rage

Ea

rnin

gs (

$2

01

0)

Employment Growth (%), 2000-2010 Prepared by USC PERE | July 2013 | 65

LINKING COMMUNITIES

Neighborhood Index : Using 5 indicators subtracting each from their mean of the county they are in and then dividing by the standard deviation.

Help determine the combined effect of social factors that impact health and well-being, including poverty, unemployment, less than high school education, cancer risk, and premature births.

Prepared by USC PERE | July 2013 | 66

Prepared by USC PERE | July 2013 | 67 Source: 2009 ACS 5 year Summary File, U.S. EPA 2005 National-Scale Air Toxics Assessment, 2006 CA Automated Vital Statistics System Data is mapped on 2000 Census tracts