Ублажување на климатските промени · department of energy, power...

DEPARTMENT OF ENERGY, POWER ENGINEERING AND ENVIRONMENT

Ублажување на климатските

промени

Трендови и перспективи

Prof.dr.sc. Neven Duić

Power Engineering and Energy Management ChairDepartment of Energy, Power Engineering and EnvironmentFaculty of Mechanical Engineering and Naval Architecture

University of Zagreb, Croatia

SBUR workshop, Skopje, 21.9.2017

DEPARTMENT OF ENERGY, POWER ENGINEERING AND ENVIRONMENT

BUSINESS AS USUAL ENERGY USE

TIME

EFFICIENCY RESOURCES & REDUCED USE

SUSTAINABLE ENERGY RESOURCES

UNSUSTAINABLE ENERGY RESOURCES

EN

ER

GY

RE

QU

IRE

ME

NT

S

Blair Hamilton, Managing energy demand, 2009

DEPARTMENT OF ENERGY, POWER ENGINEERING AND ENVIRONMENT

LCOE – various technologies

DEPARTMENT OF ENERGY, POWER ENGINEERING AND ENVIRONMENT

Denmark – 42%

Ireland16 – 27% Curaçao, Portugal16 – 25%

Uruguay16 – 23% C. Verde, Cy.16, Spain – 20%

Nicaragua – 19% Aruba, Germany16 – 16%

Costa Rica, Romania – 13% Sweden, UK16 – 12%

Lithuania16 – 11% Austria16, EU16 – 10%

Estonia, India16, Netherlands16 – 9%

Brazil16, Greece16, Poland16, Turkey16 – 7%

Austria, Belgium16, Canada16, Italy16, Morocco, US16 – 6%

Australia16, Croatia, Honduras, N. Zealand – 5%

Bulgaria16, China16, Finland16, France16, Mex.16, Tunis., World – 4%

Chile16, Jamaica14 – 3%

Dominican R, Hungary, Latvia, Lux., Macedonia, Norway16 – 2%

Czechia, Egypt, Japan, Ukraine – 1%

hard

easy

Wind share in electricity demand 2015/16

DEPARTMENT OF ENERGY, POWER ENGINEERING AND ENVIRONMENT

PV revolution

Solar share in electricity demand 2016Honduras – 10%

Italy – 9%

Germany, Greece – 7%

Cyprus, EU, Belgium, Bulgaria – 4%

Australia, Czech Rep., Japan, Romania, Spain, UK

– 3%

World, Denmark, France, Slovakia, Slovenia – 2%

Austria, China, Malta, Netherlands, Pakistan,

Portugal, US – 1%

Croatia, Hungary, India, Lux. – 0.5%

DEPARTMENT OF ENERGY, POWER ENGINEERING AND ENVIRONMENT

Power sector developments

Global installed generation capacity net change, 2016 [GW]Source: Source: Bloomberg New Energy Finance,

http://fs-unep-centre.org/sites/default/files/publications/globaltrendsinrenewableenergyinvestment2017.pdf

DEPARTMENT OF ENERGY, POWER ENGINEERING AND ENVIRONMENT

Go-live!

NWE+CWE price

coupling on

February 4, 2014

75% of European

power marketES+PT connected in

May 2014

IT+SI connected in Feb

2015

DEPARTMENT OF ENERGY, POWER ENGINEERING AND ENVIRONMENT

Surplus heat today in Europe

DEPARTMENT OF ENERGY, POWER ENGINEERING AND ENVIRONMENT

DEPARTMENT OF ENERGY, POWER ENGINEERING AND ENVIRONMENT

EV chargers