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Fundacja Bellona Polska
Energy Independence Policy
Polish CCS Road Map
Page 2
Team work
Fundacja Bellona Polska
Page 3
Consulted with major stakeholders
• Ministries
• Industry
• R&D
Fundacja Bellona Polska
Page 4
Presentation to stakeholders - Warsaw
Fundacja Bellona Polska
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Presentation
• Shorter version of the presentation given to the Polish
Parliamentary Energy Commission
Fundacja Bellona Polska
Page 6
Fundamental questions:
• Is CCS really necessary? And what for ?
• What are Polish conditions for CCS?
• How to introduce CCS in Poland?
Fundacja Bellona Polska
Page 7
Polish Energy Policy 2030 challenges
Dynamic energy market in Poland:
• What will the energy demand be in the future?
• Energy sector transformation
• Energy efficiency role
• Change in energy mix in Poland – more contribution from gas
• How will energy demand change in other countries?
– access to oil and gas
– fuel prices
Fundacja Bellona Polska
Page 8Fundacja Bellona Polska
Poland – production capacity development based on fossil fuels and biomass (2011-2020) [MW], Bellona 2010
Expected energy investments in the Polish energy
production by 2020 program
Page 9Fundacja Bellona Polska
Polish energy investment by 2020
program
Page 10Fundacja Bellona Polska
NOTICE – clean coal technologies vs
CCS
CCS should not be confused with clean coal technologies which do
not solve the problem of extensive CO2 emission:
• conversion of coal into a different type of fuel (e.g. diesel oil)
• increase of coal burning process effectiveness (e.g. integrated
gas)
• coal purification (e.g. coals washing)
Page 11Fundacja Bellona Polska
Changes in the world
• The European Union treats climate change challenges seriously
• EU regulations related to Carbon Capture and Storage (CCS) has been
introduced in many States of the European Union – soon also in Poland
• Financing programs supporting CCS technology development has been
established
• CCS demonstration objects has been prepared – ca. 200 installations all
around the world whereas 10 installations in Europe
• Costs of CO2allowances will increase
• Costs of CO2 capture technology are decreasing
• Fossil fuels utilizations along with CCS will be one of the driving forces
leading to zero emission energy generation
Page 12Fundacja Bellona Polska
Why CCS in Poland
• Huge hard coal and lignite resources
• Chance for energy independence
• Opportunity for development of CCS large demonstration
project in Belchatów
• Perfect conditions for CCS storage (extensive saline formations)
• Qualified national team of geologists and geophysics
Page 13Fundacja Bellona Polska
Bełchatów
Page 14Fundacja Bellona Polska
Natural springs (Mafeta, Dychawka, Bulgotka) –
argument quoted by Ministry of Env.
Mofeta is a dry seepage of CO2 and the most beautiful spring is found near the town of Muszyna – in Złocko. The rusty yellow sorrel grow in harmony with the green marsh. Bubbles escapes from the riverbed of Złocki, hissing temptingly and leading in the direction of the Bulgotka. Dychawka is called the “Earth`s breath” – a hissing breath of wind escaping from the gorge. The seeping gas appears to be a 94% CO2 .
Page 15Fundacja Bellona Polska
Energy supply
Hard coal and lignite:domestic energy source
Gas : imported or Polish shalegas?
Energy efficiency isstill neglected in Poland
Page 16Fundacja Bellona Polska
Is it feasible? – main questions
• Demand and price
• Underground storage
• Transport and infrastructure
• Implementation of regulations
• Public support
• Financing
• Economics – costs and benefits
• The best moment to start is NOW
Page 17Fundacja Bellona Polska
CCS development – EP scenario
CCS
Page 18Fundacja Bellona Polska
Paths for Polish Energy Efficiency
Development
Path for Polish Energy Efficiency development inaccordance with EnergyPolicy in Poland
• Less energy is needed with energy efficiency investments
• Significance of the geographical location of hard coal and lignite
• Gas use development and reduction of coal use
Page 19Fundacja Bellona Polska
Modeling, emissions and costs
� Conservative assumptions concerning CO2 price
� Possible derrogationeffects not included
Page 20Fundacja Bellona Polska
Comprehensive model – many variables
Page 21Fundacja Bellona Polska
All scenarios give to the same conclusion –
CCS is the cheapest option
Page 22Fundacja Bellona Polska
Biomass and subtractive emissions
Page 23Fundacja Bellona Polska
Main conclusions
• Even in scenarios with a low CO2 price coal wits CCS is
ecnomically justified and cheaper than not applying CCS
• Large potential for carbon storage:• GeoCapacity UE, 2008. Assessment: salt formation 8299 Mt, hydrocarbon
deposit – 1021 Mt oraz CBM 295 Mt CO2
• R. Tarkowski: relates to the 37 salt formations located within Polish regions
where industry is most advanced
• Qualified and experienced national team of geologists • Geological research carried out since 1960s
• A chance to become the leader in this region
Page 24Fundacja Bellona Polska
Page 25
Energy supply – Polish Energy Policy by
2030
• What are Polish Energy Development’s directions?
• How to protect energy supply?• Renewable sources of energy
• Gas
• Hard and brown coal energy
• Nuclear energy
Fundacja Bellona Polska
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Final remarks
• For the moment the CCS Roadmap is the only complex, political
document for CCS in Poland
• Bellona Poland is the only NGO advocating for CCS
• Bellona has established a cooperation with main stakeholders
• Bellona is visible and recognised
Fundacja Bellona Polska
Page 27Fundacja Bellona Polska
POWER OF CHOICE
NORDIC SYNERGIESA CCS ROADMAP FOR POWER AND INDUSTRY
A FUTURE IN STOREA CCS ROADMAP FOR ROMANIA
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