Energy and Climate Change:The Context

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Energy and Climate Change:The Context. Richard A. Meserve Carnegie Institution 1530 P St., NW Washington, DC 20004 202-387-6404 rmeserve@ciw.edu. Fossil fuels drove most of the growth & were almost 80% of supply in 2000. Direct measurements of CO 2 show continued rise. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Energy and Climate Change:The Context

Richard A. MeserveCarnegie Institution

1530 P St., NWWashington, DC 20004

202-387-6404rmeserve@ciw.edu

World Energy 1850-2000

050

100150200250300350400450500

1850 1875 1900 1925 1950 1975 2000

Year

EJ/y

ea

r

Gas

Oil

Coal

Nuclear

Hydro +

Biomass

Fossil fuels drove most of the growth & were almost 80% of supply in 2000.

Atmospheric CO2 measured at Mauna Loa, Hawaii.

Source: NOAA Climate Monitoring and Diagnostic Laboratory

Direct measurements of CO2 show continued rise

Concentration reached 380 ppmv in 2005

Fossil-fuel origin of most of the increase is confirmed by reduction in C-14 concentration.

The last 400 and next 100 years of global temperature

Mid-range scenarios are heading for T‘s last seen 30 million years ago.

World CO2 Emissions by Region (Mt of CO2)

Source: IEA, 2006

CO2 Data

Source: IEA, 2006

CO2 Emissions

(Mt of CO2)

Population(million)

CO2/Pop

(t CO2/capita)

GDP(billion 2000$)

CO2/GDP

(kg CO2/2000$)

World 26583 6352 4.18 35025 0.76China 4769 1303 3.66 1904 2.50India 1102 1080 1.02 581 1.90United States

5800 294 19.73 10704 0.54

OECD 12911 1164 11.09 27698 0.47

World Energy 1850-2000

050

100150200250300350400450500

1850 1875 1900 1925 1950 1975 2000

Year

EJ/y

ea

r

Gas

Oil

Coal

Nuclear

Hydro +

Biomass

Fossil fuels drove most of the growth & were almost 80% of supply in 2000.

Source: IEA, 2006

Regional Shares of Crude Oil Production

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