Dr Sean Weaver, Principal, Carbon Partnership sean@carbonpartnership

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Global Issues: A Forest Story From An Educator-Practitioner. Enviroschools National Hui Rotorua , November 2012. Dr Sean Weaver, Principal, Carbon Partnership sean@carbonpartnership.co.nz www.carbonpartnership.co.nz. Global Issues: A Forest Story From An Educator-Practitioner. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Dr Sean Weaver, Principal, Carbon Partnership sean@carbonpartnership.co.nzwww.carbonpartnership.co.nz

Global Issues: A Forest Story From An Educator-

PractitionerEnviroschools National HuiRotorua, November 2012

Global Issues: A Forest Story From An Educator-

Practitioner

Cut greenhouse gas emissions

Learn to live with a different climate

Be an international role model

Cut greenhouse gas emissions

Cut greenhouse gas emissions

Historical carbon emissions with two potential pathways for the future

Currently

predicted path

Historical Emissions

Towards Tripling CO2 Concentrations

Avoid Doubling CO2 Concentrations

Flat path

2012 2062

Bill

ions

of t

ons

carb

on e

mitt

ed p

er y

ear 14

7

1962

Cut greenhouse gas emissions

Historical carbon emissions with two potential pathways for the future

Currently

predicted path

Historical Emissions

Towards Tripling CO2 Concentrations

Flat path

2004 2054

Bill

ions

of t

ons

carb

on e

mitt

ed p

er y

ear 14

7

1954

Avoid Doubling CO2 Concentrations

Cut greenhouse gas emissions

Historical carbon emissions with two potential pathways for the future

Historical Emissions

2004 2054

Bill

ions

of t

ons

carb

on e

mitt

ed p

er y

ear 14

7

1954

Cut greenhouse gas emissions

Cut greenhouse gas emissions

Cut greenhouse gas emissions

Cut greenhouse gas emissions

Cut greenhouse gas emissions

Cut greenhouse gas emissions

Cut greenhouse gas emissions

Cut greenhouse gas emissions

Bill

ions

of t

ons

carb

on e

mitt

ed p

er y

ear

14

7

2012 2062

Cut greenhouse gas emissions

Bill

ions

of t

ons

carb

on e

mitt

ed p

er y

ear

14

7

2012 2062

Currently

predicted path

Towards Tripling CO2 Concentrations

Avoid Doubling CO2 Concentrations

Flat path

7 Billion Tons carbon per year over 50 years

Emissions to be avoided

The Stabilisation Wedges concept turns an overwhelming Herculean Challenge

into seven monumental tasks

Stabilisation Triangle

Cut greenhouse gas emissions

Bill

ions

of t

ons

carb

on e

mitt

ed p

er y

ear

14

7

2012 2062

Currently

predicted path

Towards Tripling CO2 Concentrations

Avoid Doubling CO2 Concentrations

7 ‘Wedges’ are needed to build the

Stabilisation Triangle

1 ‘Wedge’

Avoids 1 Billion tons of carbon emissions

per year by 2062

The Stabilisation Wedges concept turns an overwhelming Herculean Challenge

into seven monumental tasks

Flat path

Emissions to be avoided

The Stabilisation Wedges concept turns an overwhelming Herculean Challenge

into seven monumental tasks

Stabilisation Triangle

Cut greenhouse gas emissions

Bill

ions

of t

ons

carb

on e

mitt

ed p

er y

ear

14

7

2012 2062

Currently

predicted path

Towards Tripling CO2 Concentrations

Avoid Doubling CO2 Concentrations

7 ‘Wedges’ are needed to build the

Stabilisation Triangle

1 ‘Wedge’

Avoids 1 Billion tons of carbon emissions

per year by 2062

The Stabilisation Wedges concept turns an overwhelming Herculean Challenge

into seven monumental tasks

Flat path

Emissions to be avoided

The Stabilisation Wedges concept turns an overwhelming Herculean Challenge

into seven monumental tasks

Stabilisation Triangle

Cut greenhouse gas emissions

Bill

ions

of t

ons

carb

on e

mitt

ed p

er y

ear

14

7

2012 2062

Currently

predicted path

Towards Tripling CO2 Concentrations

Avoid Doubling CO2 Concentrations

The Stabilisation Wedges concept turns an overwhelming Herculean Challenge

into seven monumental tasks

Flat path

Stabilisation Triangle

Energy efficiency

Cut greenhouse gas emissions

Bill

ions

of t

ons

carb

on e

mitt

ed p

er y

ear

14

7

2012 2062

Currently

predicted path

Towards Tripling CO2 Concentrations

Avoid Doubling CO2 Concentrations

The Stabilisation Wedges concept turns an overwhelming Herculean Challenge

into seven monumental tasks

Flat path

Stabilisation Triangle

Fossil Carbon

Management

Bill

ions

of t

ons

carb

on e

mitt

ed p

er y

ear

14

7

2012 2062

Currently

predicted path

Towards Tripling CO2 Concentrations

Avoid Doubling CO2 Concentrations

The Stabilisation Wedges concept turns an overwhelming Herculean Challenge

into seven monumental tasks

Flat path

Stabilisation Triangle

Biofuels, Hydrogen

Cut greenhouse gas emissions

Bill

ions

of t

ons

carb

on e

mitt

ed p

er y

ear

14

7

2012 2062

Currently

predicted path

Towards Tripling CO2 Concentrations

Avoid Doubling CO2 Concentrations

The Stabilisation Wedges concept turns an overwhelming Herculean Challenge

into seven monumental tasks

Flat path

Stabilisation Triangle

Renewable electricity

generation

Cut greenhouse gas emissions

Bill

ions

of t

ons

carb

on e

mitt

ed p

er y

ear

14

7

2012 2062

Currently

predicted path

Towards Tripling CO2 Concentrations

Avoid Doubling CO2 Concentrations

The Stabilisation Wedges concept turns an overwhelming Herculean Challenge

into seven monumental tasks

Flat path

Stabilisation Triangle

Greater share of renewables

Cut greenhouse gas emissions

Bill

ions

of t

ons

carb

on e

mitt

ed p

er y

ear

14

7

2012 2062

Currently

predicted path

Towards Tripling CO2 Concentrations

Avoid Doubling CO2 Concentrations

The Stabilisation Wedges concept turns an overwhelming Herculean Challenge

into seven monumental tasks

Flat path

Stabilisation Triangle

50 fold expansion of wind energy

Cut greenhouse gas emissions

Bill

ions

of t

ons

carb

on e

mitt

ed p

er y

ear

14

7

2012 2062

Currently

predicted path

Towards Tripling CO2 Concentrations

Avoid Doubling CO2 Concentrations

The Stabilisation Wedges concept turns an overwhelming Herculean Challenge

into seven monumental tasks

Flat path

Stabilisation Triangle

Forest Management

Cut greenhouse gas emissions

Forest Management

REDD+

This is what I do

REDD+

Introduction To REDD+What is ?

What’s new about REDD+ ?What can we do ?

What’s the big deal ?

Reducing Emissions from Deforestation and Degradation

Introduction To REDD+What is ?

Reducing Emissions from Deforestation and Degradation

Reducing Emissions from Deforestation and Degradation

CO2

Carbon Removals

Carbon Stored

Carbon Emissions

Sugar

Oxygen

CWood

CO2

Reducing Emissions from Deforestation and Degradation

CO2

CO2

“Tap”“Drain”

Carbon Removals

Carbon Stored

Carbon Emissions

Forest Carbon

Reducing Emissions from Deforestation and Degradation

CO2

CO2

“Drain”“Tap”

Carbon Removals

Carbon Stored

Carbon Emissions

Forest Carbon

Reducing Emissions from Deforestation and Degradation

CO2

“Drain”CO2

“Tap”

Carbon Removals

Carbon Stored

Carbon Emissions

Forest Carbon

Reducing Emissions from Deforestation and Degradation

CO2

CO2

“Drain”“Tap”

Carbon Removals

Carbon Stored

Carbon Emissions

Forest Carbon

Reducing Emissions from Deforestation and Degradation

CO2

CO2

“Drain”“Tap”

Carbon Removals

Carbon Stored

Carbon Emissions

Forest Carbon

Reducing Emissions from Deforestation and Degradation

CO2

CO2

“Drain”“Tap”

Carbon Removals

Carbon Stored

Carbon Emissions

Forest Carbon

Reducing Emissions from Deforestation and Degradation

CO2

CO2

“Drain”“Tap”

Carbon Removals

Carbon Stored

Carbon Emissions

Introduction To REDD+What is ?

What’s new about REDD+ ?What can we do ?

What’s the big deal ?

What’s the big deal ?

What’s the big deal ?

Cropland Forest

-10

-5

0

5

10 300

250

200

150

1000 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450

Temp

CO2ppm

Age 100,000 years b.p.

Climate and atmospheric history of past 400,000 years from the Vostok ice core, Antarctica

400Current CO2 concentration

500CO2 concentration at 2100 (lower end projections)

-10

-5

0

5

10 300

250

200

150

1000 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450

Temp

CO2ppm

Age 100,000 years b.p.

Climate and atmospheric history of past 400,000 years from the Vostok ice core, Antarctica

400Current CO2 concentration

500CO2 concentration at 2100 (lower end projections)

-10

-5

0

5

10 300

250

200

150

100

0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450

Temp

CO2ppm

Age 100,000 years b.p.

400Current CO2 concentration

500

CO2 concentration at 2100 (lower end projections)

-10

-5

0

5

10 300

250

200

150

1000 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450

Temp

CO2ppm

Age 100,000 years b.p.

400Current CO2 concentration

500CO2 concentration at 2100 (lower end projections)

600

700

CO2 concentration at 2100 (upper end projections)

Global Warming

Safe level for CO2

350ppm

Impacts

Sea level rise

Cyclone intensity

Flooding

Drought

Ocean acidification

Biodiversity decline

International economy

Population growth

World oil prices

Food security

Cross cutting issues:

Safe level for CO2

350ppm

Global Warming

Impacts

Sea level rise

Cyclone intensity

Flooding

Drought

Ocean acidification

Biodiversity decline

International economy

Population growth

World oil prices

Food security

Cross cutting issues:

Safe level for CO2

350ppm

Global Warming

Sea level rise

Cyclone intensity

Flooding

Drought

Ocean acidification

Biodiversity decline

Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)

Fourth Assessment Report (AR4 2007) (AR5 due 2013)

Three volumes:

1. Scientific Basis

2. Impacts, Adaptation, Vulnerability

3. Mitigation of Climate Change

Each Volume has:

• Summary for policy makers

• Technical summary

• Full Report

There is also a Synthesis Report

Impacts

Sea level rise

Cyclone intensity

Flooding

Drought

Ocean acidification

Biodiversity decline

International economy

Population growth

World oil prices

Food security

Cross cutting issues:

Safe level for CO2

350ppm

Global Warming

Impacts

Sea level rise

Cyclone intensity

Flooding

Drought

Ocean acidification

Biodiversity decline

International economy

Population growth

World oil prices

Food security

Cross cutting issues:

Safe level for CO2

350ppm

Global Warming

Dr Bob Watson, co-Chair MEA

and establish the scientific basis for actions needed to

enhance the conservation and sustainable use of

ecosystems.

Sea level rise

Cyclone intensity

Flooding

Drought

Ocean acidification

Biodiversity decline

Millennium Ecosystem Assessment

Called for by United Nations Secretary-General Kofi Annan in 2000 in his report

to the UN General Assembly, We the Peoples: The Role of the United Nations in

the 21st Century. Kofi Annan, ex UN Secretary GeneralThe goal was to assess the

consequences of ecosystem change for human well-being

Sea level rise

Cyclone intensity

Flooding

Drought

Ocean acidification

Biodiversity decline

Millennium Ecosystem Assessment

Ecosystem Services

“Environment” : a place for the production of ecosystem services.The flow of these services is dependent on the health of the ecosystems that produce them.

"Human activity is putting such strain on the natural functions of Earth that the ability of the planet's ecosystems to sustain future generations can no longer be taken for granted.”

“The challenge of reversing the degradation of ecosystems while meeting increasing demands for their services can be partially met but these involve significant changes in policies, institutions and practices that are not currently under way.”

Key Findings

Sea level rise

Cyclone intensity

Flooding

Drought

Ocean acidification

Biodiversity decline

International economy

Population growth

World oil prices

Food security

Millennium Ecosystem Assessment

Ecosystem Services

“Environment” : a place for the production of ecosystem services.The flow of these services is dependent on the health of the ecosystems that produce them.

Ecosystems = ecological infrastructure requiring investment and maintenance

Ecological infrastructures often produce services at a lower cost than engineering infrastructures

TEEB

The Economics of Ecosystems and Biodiversity

TEEB helps to justify public and private sector investments in looking after the place

E.g. Payment For Ecosystem Services

Impacts

Sea level rise

Cyclone intensity

Flooding

Drought

Ocean acidification

Biodiversity decline

International economy

Population growth

World oil prices

Food security

Cross cutting issues:

Safe level for CO2

350ppm

Global Warming

Impacts

Sea level rise

Cyclone intensity

Flooding

Drought

Ocean acidification

Biodiversity decline

International economy

Population growth

World oil prices

Food security

Cross cutting issues:

Safe level for CO2

350ppm

Global WarmingDebt Financing

Modern banks have a 10:1 liability to cash

reserve ratio (or worse)

$100 deposit generates $1,000 in loans

Over 90% of the money in circulation is borrowed

The global economy must grow by the interest

rate for the financial system to remain stable

But I’m not

growing

Impacts

Sea level rise

Cyclone intensity

Flooding

Drought

Ocean acidification

Biodiversity decline

International economy

Population growth

World oil prices

Food security

Cross cutting issues:

Safe level for CO2

350ppm

Global Warming

Impacts

Sea level rise

Cyclone intensity

Flooding

Drought

Ocean acidification

Biodiversity decline

International economy

Population growth

World oil prices

Food security

Cross cutting issues:

Safe level for CO2

350ppm

Global WarmingApprox 5 born every second

Approx 2.5 die every second

Approx 2.5 added to World Population every second

6,000 every hour

150,000 every day

64 million every year

Impacts

Sea level rise

Cyclone intensity

Flooding

Drought

Ocean acidification

Biodiversity decline

International economy

Population growth

World oil prices

Food security

Cross cutting issues:

Safe level for CO2

350ppm

Global Warming

Impacts

Sea level rise

Cyclone intensity

Flooding

Drought

Ocean acidification

Biodiversity decline

International economy

Population growth

World oil prices

Food security

Cross cutting issues:

Safe level for CO2

350ppm

Global Warming

Impacts

Sea level rise

Cyclone intensity

Flooding

Drought

Ocean acidification

Biodiversity decline

International economy

Population growth

World oil prices

Food security

Cross cutting issues:

Safe level for CO2

350ppm

Global Warming

= Quite Big ProblemGlobal Warming

Solution? = Reduce Emissions

Sources? = Approx 80% Fossil Fuels

Approx 20% Forests

Kyoto Protocol

UNFCCC REDD Agreement (still under negotiation)

(and other instruments already available)

Introduction To REDD+What is ?

What’s new about REDD+ ?What can we do ?

What’s the big deal ?

UNFCCC REDD Agreement (still under negotiation)

(and other instruments already available)

What’s new about REDD+ ?

New form of forest finance

Payment for Ecosystem Services

What’s new about REDD+ ?

Large scale environmental solutions need to be financedE.g. US$2 Trillion in low and no carbon energy in next decade

New form of forest finance

Payment for Ecosystem Services

Large scale environmental solutions need to be financedE.g. US$2 Trillion in low and no carbon energy in next decade to peak in global GHG emissions

Green financ

e neede

d Public money

Private

money

New form of forest finance

Payment for Ecosystem Services

Performance-based payments for the delivery of forest conservation benefits that are:

1. Measurable

2. Verifiable3. Additional4. Permanent

1. Measurable

2. Verifiable3. Additional4. Permanent

Measurement Reporting & Verification

System (MRV)

1. Measurable

2. Verifiable3. Additional4. Permanent

Measurement Reporting & Verification

System (MRV)

Additionality Test (wouldn't have happened

anyway)

1. Measurable

2. Verifiable3. Additional4. Permanent

Measurement Reporting & Verification

System (MRV)

Instrument for Delivery of Incentive Payments

Legal & Socio-Economic Measures to Fix Causes of Deforestation/Degradation

Additionality Test (wouldn't have happened

anyway)

Instrument for Delivery of Incentive Payments

Income From This

Income From This

Wood/agriculture commodities sold in a market

E.g. carbon credit commodities sold in a market+ grant finance opportunities

What does PES look like ?

• Jobs• Economic development• Community well-being• Benefits from living

forests

for Ecosystem Services (PES)

Income From ThisE.g. carbon credit commodities sold in a market+ grant finance opportunities

This is what I do: I help rainforest owners make a living from Payments for Ecosystem Services (PES) instead of timber

Introduction To REDD+What is ?

What’s new about REDD+ ?What can we do ?

What’s the big deal ?

What can we do ?= Approx 80% Fossil Fuels

= Approx 80% Fossil Fuels

Approx 20% Forests

= Approx 80% Fossil Fuels

Approx 20% Forests

Positive messaging

Negative messaging

Enduring Relationships Need:

= Approx 80% Fossil Fuels

Approx 20% Forests

Focus on solution no less than of the time

Focus on problem no more than of the time

Effective Environmental Education And Communication

Strategies Need:

Bombarding people with problem data does not motivate them

Motivation comes with empowerment which comes from experiencing the act of fixing a problem

= Approx 80%Forests

Awareness

ValuesKnowledge

SkillsActions

Motivation comes with empowerment which comes from experiencing the act of fixing a problem

Focus on solution no less than of the time

= Approx 80%Forests

Motivation comes with empowerment which comes from experiencing the act of fixing a problem

Focus on solution no less than of the time

Focus on solution no less thanTurn ourselves into walking

s

Train others to be walking solutions

I hear and I forgetI see and I rememberI do and I understand

Motivation comes with empowerment which comes from experiencing the act of fixing a problem

Focus on solution no less thanTurn ourselves into walking

s

Train others to be walking solutions

Walking solutions master their art

through experience

Our job as educators is to provide experiences in the art of doing solutions

I also need the emotional intelligence to endure as a solutionist

… in the face of relentless challenges from people like me

Train others to be walking solutions

Self Confidence Courage Conflict Resolution

Assertive Compassion

To sustain this we also need a support community

Ekodō

Environmental practice as a martial art

In an interconnected world there are no

boundaries

This is global self defence

Self Confidence Courage Conflict Resolution

Assertive Compassion

Ekodō

Environmental practice as a martial art

This is global self defence

I am good enough

In an interconnected world there are no

boundaries

Self Confidence Courage Conflict Resolution

Ekodō

Environmental practice as a martial art

I am good enough

Self Confidence Courage Conflict Resolution

I can do this

Just as I amI am good enough

Right here Right now

Self Confidence Courage Conflict Resolution

My mind is open and inquisative

Self Confidence Courage Conflict Resolution

I don’t mind making mistakes

I respond well to encouragement

Constantly judging me gives

me anxiety

I learn best when it is fun

My best teachers help me discover

my own skills

My mind is open and inquisative

Self Confidence Courage Conflict Resolution

I don’t mind making mistakes

I respond well to encouragement

Constantly judging me gives

me anxiety

My best teachers help me discover

my own skills

I learn best when it is fun

Thanks for listening

Thanks for listening

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