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DPS Budget Presentation
John Arnold-DirectorGovernor’s Office of Strategic Planning and Budgeting
December 15, 2010
2
General Fund Ongoing Revenue and Expenditures before Solutions
5,000
6,000
7,000
8,000
9,000
10,000
11,000
12,000
13,000
14,000
FY 2002 FY 2003 FY 2004 FY 2005 FY 2006 FY 2007 FY 2008 FY 2009 FY 2010Est.
FY 2011Est.
FY 2012Est.
FY 2013Est.
FY 2014Est.
$ in
mil
lio
ns
Expenditures with ARRA & Rollover GF Expenditures GF Revenue
Assumptions: Revenue: Ongoing revenue does not include one time items such as fund transfer, asset sales, etc. Growth rates assumptions: FY10: -9.2%, FY11:7%, FY12 and 7%. Expenditure: Ongoing expenditure does not include rollover or ARRA. FY10 and FY11 estimated Expenditure from most current S&U, FY12 and beyond assuming 7% growth.
3
FY 2011 $600-720 million
FY 2012 $1.3-1.5 billion
4
5
AHCCCS All TXIX Capitation Member MonthsActuals Only
600,000
700,000
800,000
900,000
1,000,000
1,100,000
1,200,000
Jan-0
2
Jul-0
2
Jan-0
3
Jul-0
3
Jan-0
4
Jul-0
4
Jan-0
5
Jul-0
5
Jan-0
6
Jul-0
6
Jan-0
7
Jul-0
7
Jan-0
8
Jul-0
8
Jan-0
9
Jul-0
9
Jan-1
0
AHCCCS added approximately 167,000 members in FY 2010. OSPB projects they will add 54,000 in FY 2011
6
7
8
Budget Unit
Education (K-12)
Medicaid
Universities
Prisons
Debt Service
Other
TOTAL
(Millions)
$ 3,491.2
2,821.7
890.2
1,005.7
188.8
923.6
$ 9,321.3
Office of Governor Janice K. Brewer9
Medicaid numbers assume regular FMAP
10
On-Going General Fund Expenditures FY 2007 FY 2011 % ChangeEducation (K-12) 4,020.1$ 3,491.2$ -13.2%Medicaid 1,731.0$ 2,821.7$ 63.0%Universities 960.7$ 890.2$ -7.3%Corrections 896.8$ 1,005.7$ 12.1%Debt Service 108.7$ 188.8$ 73.8%Other Agencies 1,803.7$ 923.6$ -48.8%Total 9,520.9$ 9,321.3$ -2.1%*Medicaid assumes regular FMAP
FY 2008 FY 2011
Comparison of Appropriated Funding
In response to the state’s fiscal crisis, Governor Brewer and the Legislature have cut $2.2 billion in government spending, including the following:
Reduced personnel expenditures by 22 percent Reduced K-12 per pupil support by 18 percent Reduced University per pupil funding by 25 percent Reduced per capita correctional spending by 5.5
percent Reduced child care enrollees by 40 percent (20,000
children)
14
Budget Reductions (continued)
Reduced the number of families on cash assistance by 47 percent (16,644 families)
Reduced state benefits for the SMI population
Provided no inflation for health care providers for the last three years
Eliminated most non federally mandated Medicaid services
15
Office of Governor Janice K. Brewer16
Office of Governor Janice K. Brewer17
Office of Governor Janice K. Brewer18
In addition to spending reductions, Arizona has also:
Borrowed $2.1 billion Deferred $1.5 billion in current year
payments Raised taxes by 14.5 percent ($900
million)
19
In FY 2014• Prop 100 Sales Tax Expires• Federal Health Care Reform fully
implemented
Early Projection - $2 billion deficit
Office of Governor Janice K. Brewer20
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