Daniel Kull Senior Disaster Risk Management Specialist

Daniel KullSenior Disaster Risk Management SpecialistGlobal Facility for Disaster Reduction and Recovery (GFDRR)World Bank

Geneva, 19 November, 2012

Defining a List of Climate Relevant Indicators:World Bank Experience

Categories of Indicators

• Climate

• Exposure to impacts

• Resilience

• GHG emissions & energy use

• National-level actions

• Carbon markets

Climate Indicators

Included:

•Temperature: historical averages, projected change

•Precipitation: historical averages, projected change

•Projected changes in hot & cold days/nights

Also Available:

•Geo-spatial historical climate data

•Future GCM and ensemble data

Mozambique example

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Exposure to Impacts

• Land and population below 5 meters• Population affected by droughts, floods, extreme

temperatures• Urban population• Fresh water access and irrigation• Poverty: less than $1.25/day• Health, malnutrition and disease incidence

Mozambique example

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Resilience

• Access to improved sanitation, water sources and electricity

• Cereal yields• Paved roads• Health workers per capita• Foreign direct investment (FDI) and

infrastructure investment• Ease of Doing Business ranking• Education completion level; male/female ratio

Mozambique example

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GHG emissions & energy use

• GHG emissions: total, per capita, per GDP/PPP• GHG contributions (sinks) from forestry and land

use• Energy use: per capita, per GDP

National Actions & Carbon Markets

• UNFCCC National Communication• Emissions reduction pledges• NAMA (Nationally Appropriate Mitigation Action)

submission• NAPA (National Adaptation Program of Action)

submission• Renewable energy target• CDM projects & reductions• Joint implementation projects (JI) and issued

emission reduction units (ERU)

Mozambique example

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Parting thoughts…

• National climate change statistics for standard tracking should allow at the minimum for a first level screening of a country's climate change risks and exposure.

• This is needed both for adaptation and mitigation.• For current adaptation efforts, disaster-related climate

change statistics are urgently needed to understand variability and current/future losses: GDP loss from extreme climate events, number of people affected, number killed, etc.

• Globally these could ultimately be utilized to monitor any potential Sustainable Development Goal(s) related to disaster management, resilience and/or climate change adaptation.

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