Coming to Terms with our Autonomic Futuremamund.com/talks/2016-12-apidays-autonomic/2016-12... ·...

Preview:

Citation preview

Coming to Terms with our

Autonomic Future

Mike Amundsen

API Academy / CA Technologies

@mamund

Prologue

Prologue

“Don’t worry, be happy!”

”The automation of factories has

already decimated jobs in

traditional manufacturing, and

the rise of artificial intelligence is

likely to extend this job

destruction…”

Stephen Hawking, 2016

The Second Machine Age: Work, Progress & Prosperity in a time of Brilliant Technologies —Erik Brynjolfsson, Andrew McAfee.

Autonomic, not Autonomous

“The autonomic nervous system is

a control system that acts largely

unconsciously and regulates

bodily functions such as the heart

rate, digestion, respiratory rate…”

Wikipedia

OpenStax College - Anatomy & Physiology, Connexions Web site.

“Ok, let’s get started…”

rrational

ears

“A new world has arisen:

the Rule of the Robots!”

-- Rossums’ Universal Robots, Karel Capek

http://observer.com/2015/08/stephen-hawking-elon-musk-and-bill-gates-warn-about-artificial-intelligence/

Karel Capek is best known for

his science fiction including the

play R.U.R. (Rossum's

Universal Robots), which

introduced the word robot.

We fear what we don’t understand.

“We are swift to attribute mental

states to entities with eyes and

movement patterns that look

goal directed…”

Eric Schwitzgebel

“Cute Ai an the ASIMO problem” -- http://schwitzsplinters.blogspot.fr/2015/07/cute-ai-and-asimo-problem.html

Robot-as-Menace [stories]

palled dreadfully and I

couldn't stand them.

Issac Asimov, 1982

Asimov’s Three Laws of Robotics

“Should we be afraid of robots?”

ild

nthusiasm

“Everybody will live only to

perfect themselves.”

-- Rossums’ Universal Robots, Karel Capek

“So, we’re good, right?”

aunting

ealities

“Terrible things may happen,

but that cannot be avoided.”

-- Rossums’ Universal Robots, Karel Capek

“Operatives” in the US (assembly, drivers, mining)

“Occupational changes during the 20th century”, Bureau of Labor Statistics, 2006

“Operatives” in the US (assembly, drivers, mining)

“Occupational changes during the 20th century”, Bureau of Labor Statistics, 2006

Clerical workers in the US (1900-2000)

“Occupational changes during the 20th century”, Bureau of Labor Statistics, 2006

Clerical workers in the US (1900-2000)

“Occupational changes during the 20th century”, Bureau of Labor Statistics, 2006

Clerical workers in the US (1900-2000)

“Occupational changes during the 20th century”, Bureau of Labor Statistics, 2006

“We are entering a new phase in

human history - one in which

fewer and fewer workers will be

needed to produce the goods and

services for the global

population.”

Jeremy Rifkin, 1995

“Occupational changes during the 20th century”, Bureau of Labor Statistics, 2006

“Occupational changes during the 20th century”, Bureau of Labor Statistics, 2006

That’s the past, what about the future?

One factory has "reduced

employee strength from

110,000 to 50,000 thanks to the

introduction of robots", a

government official told the

South China Morning Post.

Epilogue

Epilogue

“So, now what?”

“What do I see

in our future?

I see pitchforks.”

Nick Hanauer, VC Investor

“You build it, you run it.”

Werner Vogels, Amazon CTO

Get past irrational fear of technologicial expansion

Recognize the robots around us

In your thinking, separate “Jobs” from “Work”

Stop measuring progress via employment rate

Be mindful of the effects of new technology

Get involved with projects that improve people’s lives

Consider working on “the big problems” facing us all

Think of the problem as autonomic & balancing

Think of the problem as autonomic & balancing

Think of the problem as autonomic & balancing

“One thing I've learned over these

last 30 or 40 years is that

people make history.”

Jeremy Rifkin

“One thing I've learned over these

last 30 or 40 years is that

people make history.”

Jeremy Rifkin

“One thing I've learned over these

last 30 or 40 years is that

people make history.”

Jeremy Rifkin

“One thing I've learned over these

last 30 or 40 years is that

people make history.”

Jeremy Rifkin

Coming to Terms with our

Autonomic Future

Mike Amundsen

API Academy / CA Technologies

@mamund

http://g.mamund.com/2016-12-apidays/

Recommended