Coming Out of Nowhere. Cases in Congressional Campaigns, Second Edition: Riding the Wave Coming Out...

Coming Out of Nowhere

Cases in Congressional Campaigns, Second Edition: Riding the Wave

Coming Out of Nowhere

The State of Florida The Candidates The Campaign The Results

Cases in Congressional Campaigns, Second Edition: Riding the Wave

The State of Florida

Race/Ethnicity 76.6% White 15.4% Black 2.3% Asian 20.6% Hispanic

Occupation 39.3% Blue Collar

60.7% White Collar

Median Income $47.4k in state $51.4k in U.S.

Partisanship R +2, PVI

’08 Presidential Vote

Obama, +2.5%

Table 8.1 Party Affiliation of Florida Voters, 1986–2010

Cases in Congressional Campaigns, Second Edition: Riding the Wave

The Candidates: Democrat Kendrick Meek

Occupation

Law Enforcement

Political Experience

House of Representatives, 2003-11

Florida Senate, 1998-2002

Florida House of Representatives, 1994-1998

Cases in Congressional Campaigns, Second Edition: Riding the Wave

The Candidates: Republican Mark Rubio

Occupation Attorney

Political Experience

Speaker, Florida House of Representatives, 2007-09

Florida House of Representatives, 2000-09

Cases in Congressional Campaigns, Second Edition: Riding the Wave

The Candidates: Independent Charlie Crist

Occupation Attorney

Political Experience

Governor of Florida, 2007-11

Attorney General of Florida, 2003-07

Education Commissioner of Florida, 2001-03

Florida State Senate, 1992-98

Cases in Congressional Campaigns, Second Edition: Riding the Wave

Figure 8.1 Rubio vs. Crist vs. Meek Polling Averages, 2010

Table 8.2 Campaign Finance Data for Florida Senate Campaigns, 2004–2010

Table 8.3 Voter Characteristics and Senate Preferences in Florida, 2010

Table 8.4 Opinion of Political Conditions and Senate Preferences, 2010

Cases in Congressional Campaigns, Second Edition: Riding the Wave

The Campaign: Crist’s “Independence”

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Cases in Congressional Campaigns, Second Edition: Riding the Wave

The Campaign: Crist’s “Integrity”

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Cases in Congressional Campaigns, Second Edition: Riding the Wave

The Campaign: Crist’s “Vetoed”

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Cases in Congressional Campaigns, Second Edition: Riding the Wave

The Campaign: Crist’s “What Do We Really Know?”

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Cases in Congressional Campaigns, Second Edition: Riding the Wave

The Campaign: Crist’s “Crossroads”

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Cases in Congressional Campaigns, Second Edition: Riding the Wave

The Campaign: Crist’s “What’s Right”

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Cases in Congressional Campaigns, Second Edition: Riding the Wave

The Campaign: Crist’s “Cross the Line”

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Cases in Congressional Campaigns, Second Edition: Riding the Wave

The Campaign: Crist’s “Best of Both”

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Cases in Congressional Campaigns, Second Edition: Riding the Wave

The Campaign: Crist’s “Line in the Sand”

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Cases in Congressional Campaigns, Second Edition: Riding the Wave

The Campaign: Rubio’s “Dream”

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Cases in Congressional Campaigns, Second Edition: Riding the Wave

The Campaign: Rubio’s “Kids”

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Cases in Congressional Campaigns, Second Edition: Riding the Wave

The Campaign: Rubio’s “Most Important”

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Cases in Congressional Campaigns, Second Edition: Riding the Wave

The Campaign: Rubio’s “Accident”

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Cases in Congressional Campaigns, Second Edition: Riding the Wave

The Campaign: Rubio’s “We All Know”

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Cases in Congressional Campaigns, Second Edition: Riding the Wave

The Campaign: Rubio’s “Honremos”

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Cases in Congressional Campaigns, Second Edition: Riding the Wave

The Campaign: Rubio’s “Padres”

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Cases in Congressional Campaigns, Second Edition: Riding the Wave

The Campaign: Rubio’s “Backwards”

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Cases in Congressional Campaigns, Second Edition: Riding the Wave

The Campaign: Meek’s “My Life”

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Cases in Congressional Campaigns, Second Edition: Riding the Wave

The Campaign: Meek’s “Only One”

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The Results

Mark Rubio Charlie Crist Kendrick Meek0

500,000

1,000,000

1,500,000

2,000,000

2,500,000

3,000,000

2,645,743 1,607,549 1,092,936