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Captain Frank W. Garcia Jr.Captain Frank W. Garcia Jr.Acting Director Information SystemsActing Director Information Systems
Deputy Under Secretary of Defense (Science & Technology)Deputy Under Secretary of Defense (Science & Technology)
Screening Categories for CBRNE ModelsOFCM Workshop
Dec 5, 2001
Overview
• Background• CBRNE Model selection criteria• Keeping it simple
Background
• Desert Shield/Storm
• Multiple models, missions and databases• Kamisaya- Chemical Weapons
• OSD Memo - HPAC, VLSTRACK, D2PC
• Organization Changes – CB VV&A Authority:– DEPSECDEF– Under Secretary of Defense for Acquisition, Technology & Logistics– (Assistant to SECDEF for Nuclear, Chemical and Biological Programs)– Deputy Assistant to the SECDEF for Chem/Bio Defense– CB Modeling & Simulation Advisory Council (MSAC)
• CB MSAC Working Group– Technically oriented integrated product teams (IPTs)
NBC Hazard Model Components
Decay, Deposition Processes
Selection Criteria
• Mission Driven– Organize, Train and Equip
– Strike, Defensive and storage
• Convergent acquisition• Transportability• Interoperability• Interwoven w/
– Doctrine, Organization, Training, Materiel, Leadership, Personnel, and Facilities
Mission Considerations
• Strike/Counter Proliferation - minimize collateral damage– Strike WMD facilities
• Defensive/Force Protection - consequence management and recovery– Theater Missile Defense intercepts
– Military Operations in Urban Terrain• Flow through complex structure• Facility modeling
• Facility Readiness– Chemical Storage
– Nuclear stockpile
– Nuclear Reactors
Representative CBW Model Utility
CBWTHREATEVENTS
Defend CivilianPopulation
CombatantWarning and
Protection
ConsequenceManagement
Threatsfrom CBWweapons
Civil Defense Prompt
assessment Terror resp
AttackWarning
Analysis C3I systems
CP targets Forensics Civil Defense
planning
Disruptionof CBW
Materials
Chem Demil Accidents Waste storage
CP effects Weapons
security Decon
WMDforensics
CP effects Weapons
safety
Disruptionof CB Matl(civ systems)
Terror resp. Emer. Resp. CIP revovery
Enemy SOFPlanning
Security anal. Collateral
damage
WMDForensics
Logisticssupport
Security
Defensive Hardware Design, Development, and Acquisition
CONOPS development
Current Models
Defensive Strike/CP Facility EAPChemical VLS Track HPAC D2PCBiological VLS Track HPAC Local*Radiological HPAC HPAC ARAC/HPACNuclear HPAC/ARAC HPAC/ARAC ARAC/HPACExplosive (high) HPAC HPAC HPAC
Backup
JEM - Developmental Strategy
• Block 1 (as outlined by OSD) IOC 2005: – Provide common use hazard prediction model
• Integrate capabilities of current DoD Counterforce, Passive Defense, and Hazard/Incident models within a common architecture
– Technologies in support of this block are at Technology Readiness Level of 7
• Block 2 will develop and integrate:– Urban effects model (e.g., UDM, MIDAS-AT, ?)– High altitude missile intercept (e.g., PEGEM) – Technologies in support of this block are currently at Technology Readiness Level of
5-6
• Block 3 will develop and integrate: – Flow through complex structures – Flow through building interiors– Technologies in support of this block are currently at Technology Readiness Level of
3
JEM - Mission
• Deliver the Common Use DoD NBC Hazard Prediction Model– Enhance situational awareness of the battlespace
• Including Civil Support for Homeland Security IF Lead Federal Agency so indicates. Otherwise DoD will follow Lead Federal Agency designations.
– Provide real-time hazard information to influence current operations
– Maintain Ground, Air and Maritime Operational Tempo
– Support JV2010 - JV2020• Information Superiority • Dominant Maneuver• Rapid Decisive Operations• Assured Access• Full Dimension Protection
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