Bus Depreciation Forecasting WASBO Workshop May 6, 2011 OSPI Student Transportation

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Bus DepreciationForecasting

WASBO WorkshopMay 6, 2011

OSPI Student

Transportation

Bus Depreciation Forecasting May 6, 2011

OSPI Student

Transportation

What’s happening with the depreciation system?

The Big Question:

Bus Depreciation Forecasting May 6, 2011

OSPI Student

Transportation

… but this forecast tool(or one like it)

will work regardless.

We Don’t Know…

Bus Depreciation Forecasting May 6, 2011

OSPI Student

Transportation

What happened to the previous Forecast Tool?

Answer: That sales tax thing

The little Question:

Bus Depreciation Forecasting May 6, 2011

OSPI Student

Transportation

Excel workbookswith cut-and-paste district data entry

The Solution:

Bus Depreciation Forecasting May 6, 2011

OSPI Student

Transportation

Depending on your fleet… often within a few dollars

(once you know the prices and interest rate)

How close is it?

Bus Depreciation Forecasting May 6, 2011

OSPI Student

Transportation

Depending???

what do you mean “depending”

Bus Depreciation Forecasting May 6, 2011

OSPI Student

Transportation

Type A22D buses reflected as A34D (23)Type A22DL buses reflected as A34DL (8)Type A22G buses reflected as A34G (21)Type A22GL buses reflected as A34GL (3)Plus … C77E (4) …. Out of 7800+

Assumptions

Bus Depreciation Forecasting May 6, 2011

OSPI Student

Transportation

Here’s one bus gridCategory D84D, September, 2010:

Bus Depreciation Forecasting May 6, 2011

Here’s one year…

Detail from Prior Slide

Bus Depreciation Forecasting May 6, 2011

OSPI Student

Transportation

But we will do the extra work once there’s a budget

That’s why there’s assumptions …

Bus Depreciation Forecasting May 6, 2011

OSPI Student

Transportation

Wherecan you get the files?

https://eds.ospi.k12.wa.us/BusDepreciation(public access)

Bus Depreciation Forecasting May 6, 2011

DistrictFleetForecast.xlsxOpen:

Bus Depreciation Forecasting May 6, 2011

Go to the FleetHistory sheet:

Bus Depreciation Forecasting May 6, 2011

FleetHistory Worksheet

Bus Depreciation Forecasting May 6, 2011

FleetData20April2011.xlsxOpen:

Bus Depreciation Forecasting May 6, 2011

Use the drop down list:

Bus Depreciation Forecasting May 6, 2011

Drag and Copy …

Bus Depreciation Forecasting May 6, 2011

Go Back to DistrictFleetForecast.xlsx

Bus Depreciation Forecasting May 6, 2011

OSPI Student

Transportation

… and paste…

Bus Depreciation Forecasting May 6, 2011

Go to the Summary sheet:

Bus Depreciation Forecasting May 6, 2011

Check your results:

Bus Depreciation Forecasting May 6, 2011

Compare to the website:

Bus Depreciation Forecasting May 6, 2011

So, not too bad …

Bus Depreciation Forecasting May 6, 2011

But what if you see something like this?

Bus Depreciation Forecasting May 6, 2011

OSPI Student

Transportation

1. Check your fleet against the assumptions2. Check for new buses not in FleetData3. Check for buses not on the website (they

don’t show if you have disposed of them)4. Call for help

Tracking Down Problems:

Bus Depreciation Forecasting May 6, 2011

OSPI Student

Transportation

Your Regional Transportation Coordinator

Where do I get help?

Bus Depreciation Forecasting May 6, 2011

www.k12.wa.us/tranportation

Click here

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OSPI Student

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… but how do I build a forecast scenario with future purchases?

So, it worked. That’s nice …

Bus Depreciation Forecasting May 6, 2011

In DistrictFleetForecast.xlsxGo to the FleetFuture sheet

Bus Depreciation Forecasting May 6, 2011

One Grid for each year out to 2025

Year in upper left

Bus Depreciation Forecasting May 6, 2011

Enter your proposed bus purchases …by category and expected delivery month

Bus Depreciation Forecasting May 6, 2011

Forecast shows on Summary sheet

Bus Depreciation Forecasting May 6, 2011

Keep Interest Rates and Inflation Adjusted

Bus Depreciation Forecasting May 6, 2011

Current assumptionson OSPI Bus System web page

Bus Depreciation Forecasting May 6, 2011

OSPI Student

Transportation

That’s it….

Thanks for all you do …

Any Questions?

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