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Bauer College of Business Thursday, March 25, 2010 Julie Jackson / Sheila Lum / Laura DeLeon Risk Management & Insurance Targa Resources, Inc. Agenda. Introductions / Background Overview of Targa’s Business Overview of ‘Lloyds of London’ Market Onshore Property Market - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
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Confidential
Bauer College of Business
Thursday, March 25, 2010
Julie Jackson / Sheila Lum / Laura DeLeon
Risk Management & Insurance
Targa Resources, Inc.
Confidential
2
Agenda
Introductions / Background
Overview of Targa’s Business
Overview of ‘Lloyds of London’ Market
Onshore Property Market
Offshore Property Market
Break
Sheila Lum / Laura DeLeon
D&O Liability Market
Excess Liability Market
Questions
Confidential
3
Overviewof
Targa’s Business
Confidential
April2004
Acquired Assetsfrom
ConocoPhillips($247 MM)
Formed Targa
Resources
April2003
History of Growth
Oct2005
AcquiredDynegy
MidstreamServices
($2,452 MM)
Successfully executing strategy to build a leading midstream energy company
MLP IPO of North Texas
Assets($956 MM)
Feb2007
Sold($117 MM)
Dec2004
Aug2005
BridgelineAcquired($100 MM)
First Drop Down
($705 MM)
Oct2007
Drop Down of
Downstream Assets
($530 MM)
Sep2009
4
Confidential
5
Overview of Targa’s Business
Targa is a leading provider of midstream natural gas and NGL services in the US
NG
L Lo
gist
ics
and
Mar
ketin
gN
atur
al G
as G
athe
ring
and
Pro
cess
ing
ConfidentialOverview of Targa Family Assets
Overall Leading gas gatherer and processor Leading NGL logistics and marketing
business
Targa Resources, Inc. (TRI) $3.4 billion of assets $4.5 billion of revenue
Targa Resources Partners LP (NGLS)
$2.2 billion of assets $4.1 billion of revenue
Natural Gas Gathering and
Processing Division 11,000 miles of natural gas pipelines 800 miles of NGL pipelines Gathering system encompassing
21,900 square miles Own interest in or operate 22 natural
gas processing plants Contracts predominantly percent of gas
and liquids or percent of liquids
NGL Logistics and Marketing Division Gross capacity to fractionate approximately 380 MBbl/d of
NGLs through interests in 3 fractionators, with approximately 900 MBbl of above ground storage and 65 MMBbl of below ground storage
Approximately 17 operating terminals, 21 pressurized NGL barges, 70 transport tractors, 100 tank trailers and 855 managed railcars
Predominantly fee-based business
_________________________
Note: All financial data as of December 31, 2009
6
Confidential
Primarily a physical settlement business which earns a margin from purchasing and selling NGL products from producers under contract
Also earn margins by purchasing and reselling NGL products in the spot and forward physical markets
2008 sales of 245 MBbl/d
Refinery Services Generally retain a portion of the resale price of NGL sales or receive a fixed minimum fee per
gallon Earn fees for locating and supplying NGL feedstocks to the refineries based on a percentage
of the cost or a minimum fee per gallon Wholesale propane marketing
Sell propane on a fixed or posted price at delivery and, in some circumstances, earn a margin on a net-back basis
The Downstream Business – Majority Fee-Based
LogisticsAssets
NGL Distribution and Marketing
WholesaleMarketing
7
Fractionation
Storage and Terminalling
Transportation and Distribution
♦ Majority under fee-based arrangements♦ 3 facilities with ~380 MBbl/d maximum gross capacity
♦Long-and short-term storage and terminalling services and throughput capability to affiliates and third party customers for a fee♦Storage wells with ~65 MMBbl of capacity and 17 terminal facilities; 800 miles of pipeline support fractionation, storage and terminalling
♦Fee-based transportation services to refineries and petrochemical companies throughout the U.S.♦Approximately 855 railcars leased and managed, 70 owned and leased transport tractors, 100 tank trailers, and 21 pressurized NGL barges
ConfidentialTarga Corporate Structure
100% Indirect Ownership
2.0% General Partner Interest
69.09% Limited Partner Interest
Public Unitholders47,924,750Common
Units
Targa Resources GP LLC1,387,360 General Partner Units
Incentive Distribution Rights
Targa Resources Investments Inc.
Targa Resources, Inc.
Targa Resources Partners LP(“NGLS” or “Partnership”)
The Downstream Business Logistics Assets
NGL Distribution and Marketing
Wholesale Marketing
TRI (Only) Natural Gas Gathering and Processing
Permian Basin of West Texas
Southeast New Mexico and
Louisiana Gulf Coast
Natural Gas Gatheringand Processing
North Texas
Louisiana
San Angelo, Texas
8
ManagementMerrill LynchWarburg Pincus LLC
73.6% IndirectOwnership Interest *
19.9% IndirectOwnership Interest *
6.5% IndirectOwnership Interest *
28.91% Limited Partner Interest20,055,846 Common Units
* Ownership percentages are presented on a fully-diluted basis
8
ConfidentialTarga Resources, Inc. Summary Highlights
9
($ in millions)
RevenueIncome from OperationsNet Income
ASSETS
Cash and Cash EquivalentsOther Current AssetsPP&E, netOther Assets
TOTAL ASSETS
Current Liabilities (excl. ST debt)Total DebtOther Liabilities
TOTAL LIABILITIES
Minority / Non-controlling Interest 815.1 Stockholder's Equity
TOTAL LIABILITIES &STOCKHOLDER'S EQUITY 3,435.5
178.1
1,941.1
926.9 567.5
2,548.1 142.4
3,435.5
542.4 1,220.6
YE 2009
4,536.5 217.4
85.4
3,790.0
LIABILITIES & STOCKHOLDER'S EQUITY
2,430.1 174.1 97.5
494.4 252.4 492.6
949.6
2,119.3
3,648.6
2,482.4
579.6 492.4
1,564.9 1,411.0 99.3 145.8
3,648.6 3,790.0
455.0 925.7
1,084.4 2,617.4
YE 2007
7,269.7 280.5
68.6
362.8 177.9
YE 2008
7,998.9 235.0 150.0
Confidential
10
Overviewof
Lloyd’s of London
ConfidentialHistory
“From its first beginnings in Edward Lloyd’s Coffee House in 1688, Lloyd’s has been a pioneer in insurance.
Starting with its roots in marine insurance, Lloyd’s has grown over 300 years to become the world’s leading market for specialist insurance.”
Confidential
Owned by its members and unlisted, Lloyd’s is actually a marketplace rather than a company, describing itself as “a society of members which underwrite insurance (each for their own account) as members of syndicates.”
Syndicate comes from the French word syndicat which means trade union (syndic meaning administrator), from the Latin word syndicus which in turn comes from the Greek word σύνδικος (syndikos) which means caretaker of an issue, compare to ombudsman or representative.
A group of individuals or companies formed to transact some specific business, or to promote a common interest; a self-coordinating group.
12
A Market of ‘Syndicates’ ….
ConfidentialFrom Coffee House…to Lloyd’s Present Time
1689- Ships and goods insured by wealthy individuals acting on a personal basis.- Lloyd’s Coffee House: First recorded February 1689
1800-1850s- Development of the concept of “Lloyd’s member”: an official title for the business
man who participate in practice of selling insurance within the Lloyd’s Market.
1904 – 1960s- Introduction of automobile, aircraft, and space equipment liability insurance.
1996- Reconstruction and Renewal – Asbestos and Pollution Claims
- Corporate members introduced.- Equitas reinsures liabilities from 1992 and prior years.
2001- Lloyd’s regulated by the FSA (UK Financial Services Authority )
2002- Governance structure amended - Lloyds Franchise Board
ConfidentialInteresting Insurance Policies Issued
One of the most famous … the $3.2 million policy for Tina Turner’s Legs…
Just about ANYTHING …. can be insured by the Lloyd’s Market!!
Or how about the legs of David Beckham…
…or the voice of Bruce Springsteen!!
ConfidentialInternal View of Current Lloyd’s Building
ConfidentialThe Lutine Bell
The Lutine Bell, weighing 106 pounds and measuring 18 inches in diameter, issynonymous with the name of Lloyd’s. Traditionally it has been rung to heraldimportant announcements – one stroke for bad news and two for good.
The Lutine Bell is currently located in the center of the Market in the Lloyd’s building.
Due to a crack that has developed on the main section of the bell, it is now only rung to commemorate large disasters such as the collapse of the Twin Towers and the
death of Royal Family Members.
ConfidentialImage of the Titanic ‘Slip’
Confidential
In what year did the Lutine Bell ring once (for bad news) related to the Titanic?
(A) 1910
(B) 1911
(C) 1912
(D) 1914
Quick Quiz!!!
ConfidentialA Possible Lloyd’s of New York?
Want to establish International Insurance Exchange modeled on Lloyd’s
Initial “Study” phase
Attempted ~ 30 years ago
Richard Ward, Lloyd’s Chief Executive comments:
“It’s a challenging time to be setting up an insurance entity, considering the downward pressure on rates and oversupply in the market, far too early to say if Lloyd’s would participate in the ultimate project, whatever form it might take.”
“Lloyd’s is at the center of the insurance market and London is the preeminent city for insurance. There’s no other place like it. The strength of London is the “cluster effect” -- 50,000 people working in insurance around the Lloyd’s building.”
“Lloyd’s generated an investment return of £1.8 billion in 2009, but was unlikely to repeat that performance in the current climate. Further, results were bolstered by the release of reserves from prior years, he said, something that cannot be counted on in 2010”.
Potential Competition from Wall Street
19
Reported by: David Jolly, New York Times, Thursday, March 25, 2010
Confidential
20
Overall Market Observations
ConfidentialFirst Decade of New Millennium in Review
2000 Y2K – scare
Presidential election decided by “hanging Chads”
• Non-event for insurance market
2001 -2002
9/11
Enron melt down
IPOD is launched
• $22.8 billion insurance disaster
• US Terrorism Coverage becomes a challenge
• D & O market ‘hardens’ and highlights need for Side “A” Only coverage
2003 Launch of Iraqi War
Space Shuttle Columbia tragedy
• Rates start reducing from 2001 peaks
2004 Hurricane Ivan
12/26 Tsunami strikes Indonesia
Super Bowl Wardrobe Malfunction
Face Book launched
Martha Stewart to prison
• $8.1 Billion insured loss and underwriters start trying to limit OEE coverage following Named Windstorm
Courtesy of R. Blades, John L. Wortham & Son, LLP
ConfidentialFirst Decade of New Millennium in Review
2005 Hurricane Katrina
Hurricane Rita
London Transit Bombings
YouTube launched !
• Most expensive Insurance disaster of all time - $45.3 Billion
• Oil Insurance Limited (OIL) loss exceeds $1 Billion CSL limit for all members for the first time
• $6.2 Billion insured loss
• OIL exceeds $1 Billion CSL again
2006 Rates up post-2005 Hurricanes
Pluto no longer a planet
Twitter launched
US Population reaches 300 Million
• Underwriters earn a record profit of $31.7 Billion. Only 2nd year of underwriting profit since 1978!
Courtesy of R. Blades, John L. Wortham & Son, LLP
ConfidentialFirst Decade of New Millennium in Review
2007 Another benign year for CAT losses
Baseball Steroids scandal highlighted in Mitchell report
Apple Iphone launched
• Underwriters earned a 19.3 billion profit; however cumulative underwriting deficit from 1975 to 2008 is still $442 Billion
2008 $700 Billion US Government bailout as result of financial crises
Hurricane Ike strikes Houston
Michael Phelps won 8 Gold Medals
Elliot Spitzer resigns as NY governor
• Largest insurance “Capital event” of last 20 years as surplus was impacted 16.2% at one point
• $12.5 Billion insured losses
2009 Fewest Atlantic/GOM hurricanes since 1997
Bernard Madoff - $50 billion ponzi scheme
Miracle on Hudson - U.S. Air
HIN1 - Swine Flu declared a global Pandemic
• US insurers net income rose to $16.2 billion through 3rd quarter 2009
• Lloyds underwriters earn a record profit of $5.81 Billion
Courtesy of R. Blades, John L. Wortham & Son, LLP
Confidential
24
Factors Impacting Insurance Markets – Late 2008
Excluding hurricanes, the average property claim size increased from $6.3 million in 2002 to $22.2 million in 2007.
Financial storm caused significant impact on the insurance market due to loss of investment income.
Underwriters’ balance sheets have been negatively impacted, causing insurers to reduce available capacity.
New capital was not flowing into the market in a similar fashion following other catastrophes and/or hard markets.
The full effect of the government’s “bail out” of AIG still being determined as senior AIG underwriters change firms and AIG endeavors to maintain market share on certain lines of coverage – branding change of name to Chartis.
Underwriters who relied on investment income to offset underwriting losses strove to achieve a true profit on underwriting.
Confidential
25
Insurer Solvency Concerns – 2009 a ‘key year’
The decline in the financial markets impacted the country’s insurance underwriters.
As some of these insurance companies faced liquidity challenges (or even potential insolvency,) it was imperative that risk managers monitor and evaluate the viability of the carriers that participate in their insurance programs.
Financial products – Credit Derivative Swaps / Mortgage Backed Securities Those insurers involved in these ‘products’ got caught up in the downward spiral
AIG, Swiss Re, Hartford, XL and others – Largest Insurers AIG deemed ‘Too Big to Fail’ – U.S. Govt ‘Bail Out’ under TARP
Targa Insurer minimum A.M. Best Rating: A- VII
Monitor insurance programs
Long-tail vs. short-tail risk programs
D&O Policies
Primary coverage vs. high excess coverage
What are the alternatives? Cost? Coverage?
Have a ‘back-up’ plan
ConfidentialBrief Market Observations - 2009
Rates increased for CAT exposures following:
– Hurricane Ike in 2008 which was 4th largest insurance event in history
– Economic downturn impacting balance sheets
Underwriters were concerned about replenishing capital following CAT loss
Underwriters strived to obtain an underwriting profit
Named Windstorm capacity severely contracted especially offshore
Numerous assureds reduced or eliminated Offshore Named Windstorm limit
Underwriters’ profits are up:
– Benign hurricane season
– Investment returns improve
Courtesy of R. Blades, John L. Wortham & Son, LLP
ConfidentialBrief Market Observations - 2010
All assureds are looking to reduce premium / cost of risk
Underwriters are under pressure from management and reinsurers to “hold the line” or provide only a nominal reduction
Assured and brokers are striving for significant rate reduction in order to return to pre-Hurricane IKE rates or better!
Will underwriters make Offshore named windstorm coverage more attractive to assureds?
What is the most advantageous time to enter the market?
Surplus has increased / investments improving
New Entrants
“Tug of war” over the right rate, retention and Named Windstorm limit will continue!
Courtesy of R. Blades, John L. Wortham & Son, LLP
Confidential
28
Loss Deterioration Over Time
Confidential
29
Energy Losses vs. Total Premium Income
Confidential
Confidential
Confidential
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34
Onshore Energy Market
Confidential
35
Targa Key Gulf Coast Facility Locations
Confidential
36
Venice Main Office Post-Katrina’s Visit
Confidential
37
Venice Main Office Post-Katrina’s Visit
Confidential
3838
Today….
All plants along coast damaged by storms now have new Modular buildings Office, MCC, I&E, anything with instrumentation/electrical components
Elevated over 17 feet above Mean Sea Level (MSL) at bottom of frame Designed to withstand 150 MPH wind speed
Confidential
39
Some Loss Statistics…
Insured Catastrophe (Cat) losses in 2008 exceeded all Cat losses in 2006 and 2007 combined.
In the U.S. large claim activity included:
Midwest floods - $725MM
Wildfires in Southern California - $500MM
Various property and business interruption energy, steel and mining occurrences
1,600 tornados (through September, 2008) compared to about 1,000 annually in a normal year
Hurricane Ike projected between $13 billion to $21 billion
16 named windstorms occurred in 2008 (4th highest since 1944) making it the 10th year out of the last 14 to have above normal storm activity.
2010 not looking too good
1Q10 insured Cat losses - Haitian & Chilean Earthquakes
Already at $7 - $10 billion
Confidential
40
Example of ‘Subscription’ Market Property Program
Stand-Alone Terrorism
Deductible: $1MM PD; 30 Days BI
Lloyd’s & Other Companies100% of $200MM
$200 MM
Onshore Property Program Physical Damage / Business Interruption
Various Deductibles
Lloyd’s & OtherCompanies
10% of$200MM Primary
Lloyd’s of London7.5% of
$50MM Primary
Lloyd’s & OtherCompanies
7.5% of$50MM xs $50MM
Lloyd’s & OtherCompanies
13% of$100MM xs $100MM
Primary
Lloyd’s & OtherCompanies
77.5% of$100MM Primary
Domestics5% of
$100MM Primary
Domestics77% of
$100MM xs $100MM
Lloyd’s of London33% of
$200MM xs $200MM
Domestics67% of
$200MM xs $200MM
$400 MM
$200 MM
$100 MMPrimary
$50 MMPrimary
$199,451.25
$787,71010% of primary$200MM
$1,156,816.50
$5,836,250
$7,980,227.75 *
* Premium Protector: 100% part of $3MM primary$550,000 addt’l annual premium
Excludes Named
Windstorm
Includes $12.5MM Offshore
Contingent B.I.
Coverage
Various Deductibles, including Wind of 2% with $1MM min. and $10MM max.
A “PATCHWORK QUILT”
Confidential
41
Pro-Forma View of Renewal Structure
Stand-Alone Terrorism
Deductible: $1MM PD; 30 Days BI
Lloyd’s & Other Companies100% of $200MM
$200 MM
Onshore Property Program Physical Damage / Business Interruption
Various Deductibles
Lloyd’s & OtherCompanies
10% of$200MM Primary
Lloyd’s of London7.5% of
$50MM Primary
Lloyd’s & OtherCompanies
7.5% of$50MM xs $50MM
Lloyd’s & OtherCompanies
13% of$100MM xs $100MM
Primary
Lloyd’s & OtherCompanies
77.5% of$100MM Primary
Domestics5% of
$100MM Primary
Domestics77% of
$100MM xs $100MM
Lloyd’s of London33% of
$200MM xs $200MM
Domestics67% of
$200MM xs $200MM
$400 MM
$200 MM
$100 MMPrimary
$50 MMPrimary
$199,451.25
$787,71010% of primary$200MM
$1,156,816.50
$5,836,250
$7,980,227.75 *
* Premium Protector: 100% part of $3MM primary$550,000 addt’l annual premium
Excludes Named
Windstorm
May include $10MM Offshore
Contingent B.I.
CoverageWith
potentially 25-50%
Self-InsuredVarious Deductibles, including Wind of 2% with $1MM min. and $10MM max.
…..EVEN MORE “PATCHWORK”
$10MM Per Occurrence Retention for WindstormPotentially Un-aggregated Windstorm (Provides
full coverage for Each and Every Storm)
Potentially Annual Aggregate Windstorm (Any Loss Erodes Coverage Limit)
Potentially self-insure
Confidential
Layer K$10MM CBI
Separate LimitAmlin
Order 7.5%
Targa Onshore Property Program - April 16, 2009-2010
$25MM
$400MM
Base Retentions: $1MM PD; except $10MM Named Windstorm & Storm SurgeEarthquake 2% $1MM min/ $10MM max – BI 45 days All Losses (60 days for 2nd and Subsequent Storms)
Note: AEGIS $50MM xs $50MM requires 60 day waiting period for all Windstorm losses
Layer A$50MM
Ascot et al Order 51%(42% CBI)
Layer B$50MM xs $50MM
MAP Order 7.5%
Layer C$50MM xs
$50MMAEGIS NJOrder 20%
Layer E $25MM(includes CBI for Ironshore)
Amlin & Ironshore Order 15%
$100MM
Layer D$50MM xs
$50MMAllianz/
AIG/Validus
Order 18.5%
Layer G$25MM xs $50MM
Ironshore Order 12.5%
Layer Q$25MM xs $50MM
AES Order 4.5%(Excl. NWS)
Layer R$25MM xs $50MM
Jubilee Order 3%
Layer H$25MM xs $75MM
Argenta/Glacier/AES Order 20%
Layer I100MMMExcluding
NamedWindstorm(Risk Only)
Catlin/OmegaOrder 12%
Layer S$100MMLexingtonBermuda Order 12%
Layer M$300MM xs $100MMLondon Order 11.5%
Layer N$300MM xs $100MMDomestic Order 71% Layer O
$100MM xs $100MMGlacier Re Order 7.5%
Layer P$200MM xs $200MM
Brit/Jubilee Order 7.5%
Layer L
Swiss ReOrder 10%(Including
Offshore CBI)
IncludingWindstormto $100MM
1) Offshore CBI Sublimit of $10MM – Only 79% complete. 2) Two layers not complete as respects NWS coverage:
a. Primary $10MM: 88% (Self-Insuring 12%)b. $2.5MM xs $10MM: 94.67% (Self-Insuring 5.33%)
Layer F (1)$25MM xs $25MM
Max Re & Montpelier Order 15%
Layer F (2)$25MM xs $25MM
NWS OnlyCatlin/Omega
Order 7%
Layer V$12.5MM xs $12.5MM
Montpelier Order 5.333%
NWS Only
Layer U$15MM xs $10MM
Chaucer Order 6.667%
NWS Only
Layer J$75MM xs
$25MMBarbicanOrder 5%Windstorm
Only
Layer T$25MM xs $50MM
NWS OnlyAdvent Order 11.5%
Layer W$25MM xs $75MM
NWS OnlyBerkley Order 7%
Targa’s 4/09 Renewal Structure – Very Painful!!
Confidential
45m
100m
400m
75m
Deductibles
Layer APrimary 45m (incl Premium Protection)
(45m NWS e&e)Ascot – 10%; Aegis – 5%; Apollo – 5%; Heritage – 5%; Markel – 1.50%;
Cathedral – 5%;Beazley – 10%; Kiln – 2.50%; Torus – 3.50%; QBP – 1%; HCC – 5%
TOTAL – 53.50%
Layer F
Primary 75m
(75m NWS e&e)Lexington Bda – 10%
(sub approval)Ironshore – 20%
Hiscox – 3% (3% NWS ded)
TOTAL – 33%
Layer H
400m
Swiss Re – 10%
TOTAL – 10%
Full ‘Quota-Share’
Layer G
325m xs 75m(pipelines s/l 75m)
Aegis – 5%Argenta – 7.50%
TOTAL – 12.50%
Layer E
355m xs 45m(pipelines s/l 75m)
Liberty – 10%
TOTAL – 10%
Layer C
300m xs 100m
Ascot – 10%
TOTAL – 10%
Layer B
55m xs 45m (55m NWS e&e)
MAP – 7.50%; Hardy – 3%; WRB – 3%; Ironshore – 10%;Torus – 3.50%; Montpelier Re – 7.50%
TOTAL – 34.50%
TOTAL – 87.50%
TO GO – 12.50%
TOTAL – 67%TO GO – 33%
TOTAL – 42.50%
TO GO – 57.50%
TOTAL – 96.50%
TO GO – 3.50%
(100m NWS e&e)
(55m NWS e&e)
(25m NWS e&e)
Current Renewal Structure – Much Better!!
‘Risk’ Only
Sample View : Fewer ‘Layers’ – Larger % Lines by Insurers
Confidential
44
Hurricane Hardening / Elevation Loss Mitigation
100% 100%
LocationsPD Gross
100%
PD Net (after
deductible)(MM)
BI Net(MM)
Total ClaimPD/BI(MM)
Spend on Improvements
100%(MM)
Claim Value Mitigated
(MM) 100%
PD Gross100%
PD Net (after deductible)
(MM)BI Net(MM)
Total ClaimPD/BI(MM)
SE Louisiana 100%
Total for Katrina Like Event
288.63$ 66.53$ 61.31$ 127.84$ 5.00$ 84.39$ (117.61)$ (29.17)$ (57.73)$ (86.60)$
SW Louisiana & Texas Gulf Coast
100%
Total for Ike Like Event
61.22$ 44.25$ 12.79$ 57.04$ 6.61$ 35.03$ (34.77)$ (23.67)$ (4.51)$ (28.18)$
TOTAL if both storms (unlikely)
349.85$ 110.78$ 74.10$ 184.88$ 11.61$ 119.42$ (152.38)$ (52.85)$ (62.24)$ (114.79)$
Net to Targa's Interest
ACTUAL HURRICANE KATRINA CLAIM(w/original actual
Katrina ownership %)
Mitigation of claim resulting from Hardening
Improvements(AS-IF No Change in
Ownership %)
MITIGATION IMPACTNet to Targa's Interest
HURRICANE IKE FORECAST
AS OF 02-09-09
Mitigation of claim resulting from Hardening
Improvements
Confidential
45
Offshore Energy Market
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46
Storm Severity Damage Analysis
Source: Watkins Syndicate
Excerpt: Willis Energy Market Review – March 2009
Confidential
47
Hurricane Losses Difficult to Predict
Excerpt: Willis Energy Market Review – March 2009
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48
Some Additional Loss Statistics…
A record number of 6 consecutive storms hit the U.S. in 2008 (Dolly through Ike).
9 out of 11 most expensive hurricanes have occurred since 2004 per Insurance Information Institute (III).
Hurricane Ike loss amount far exceeded underwriters’ forecast based on their models, which were updated post 2005 hurricanes
Even though it was only a category 2 hurricane, the radius of hurricane force winds was 115 miles or 10 miles wider than Hurricane Katrina which was a category 3 at landfall, but also had category 4 surge.
Risk Management Solutions (RMS) originally estimated Ike losses to be $7 billion to $12 billion, which was revised to $13 billion to $21 billion
Lloyd’s has updated their Realistic Disaster Scenario (RDS) for offshore Gulf of Mexico named windstorm that include extending the wind field for the “dirty side” of a hurricane
Underwriters have no choice but to assume an ‘Ike’ type storm will hit at least every 3 out of 5 years to make a profit (some may assume annually)
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49
Offshore Market Issues Last Year – Early 2009
Reinsurance underwriters are re-evaluating how much catastrophe protection to offer to direct underwriters:
Seek to differentiate between those direct underwriters who change their approach to coastal and/or offshore exposures
Some Reinsurers are exiting this class of business
End of the year treaty renewals are still being finalized and are expected to be up between 30% - 40%
Note: Chief Executive of Munich Re promised reinsurance rates “will now rise painfully”.
Certain underwriters will not be able to renew their reinsurance at acceptable levels and may elect to withdraw from GOM business or write a much smaller net line.
Certain onshore underwriters are contemplating the non-renewal of midstream accounts as they represent a disproportional amount of their hurricane claims.
Reinsurers and direct underwriters will tighten up Operator’s Extra Expense extensions of coverage (extended redrill, making well safe, resulting P&A expenses) which represent a large portion of the Ike offshore claims.
Underwriters are going to require a higher ‘Rate on Line’ (premium to limit provided) for both offshore and coastal exposures.
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Targa’s 2009 Offshore Property Renewal
In a nutshell – IT WAS UGLY ….. VERY UGLY!!!
In our face to face meetings in London, every Offshore Underwriter had the same message….. ”I am saving what little capacity I have for my existing insureds for renewal.”
“Of my existing insureds, I am dropping those that I don’t have a ‘relationship’ with.”
“If I lose money again this year, my capital will not continue to support me.”
“I am basically having to write my capacity on a NET basis – Reinsurance too expensive and too high of a retention.”
“Buy it, don’t buy it – I’m indifferent.”
Damages from Ike offshore show that very large losses can occur
$40mm+ Property Damage loss from Ike on neighboring pipeline
Past losses not an indication of the future (mutually exclusive)
Common sense asks …. “Where’s the value over the long-term????”
$12MM per Occurrence Retention -- ~ 3% of Scheduled Offshore Values
~ $7MM Annual Premium
$20MM Limits
Year over year…..
Targa’s options / decision:
Purchase the commercial market insurance
Consider alternative options to the commercial property insurance market
Relied on other commercial options and take the risk (self-insure)
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51
2010 Offshore Property Expectations
Market is ‘softening’ more than anybody thought even at end of 2009
Rate on Line is down to ~ 15 – 20% (vs. 25 – 30% last year)
Underwriters know they need to sell their purchased Windstorm capacity
Targa will consider after Onshore Property renewal completed
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52
Sheila Lum
Risk Analyst
ConfidentialWhat it means to be a CPCU…
“CPCU” or Chartered Property Casualty Underwriter An insurance professional who has earned the CPCU designation CPCU’s are considered the ‘standard setters’ of the insurance
industry In order to achieve this prestigious designation, insurance
professionals must meet certain requirements in the following areas:
Education: CPCUs pass national exams on topics including insurance law, accounting, risk
management, and ethics. CPCUs continually update their base of insurance expertise by participating in technical and professional development workshops and seminars.
Ethics: CPCUs promise to abide by a Code of Professional Ethics, placing their clients’ needs
before their own.
Experience: CPCUs must meet an experience requirement of 2 years to become a CPCU and have
proven insurance expertise and knowledge.
ConfidentialCPCU Courses
The following courses are required to earn the CPCU designation:
Five (5) “Foundation” courses: CPCU 510 Foundations of Risk Management, Insurance, and Professionalism CPCU 520 Insurance Operations, Regulation, and Statutory Accounting CPCU 530 The Legal Environment of Insurance CPCU 540 Finance for Risk Management and Insurance Professionals CPCU 560 Financial Services Institutions
Three courses in either the “Commercial” or “Personal” concentration:
Commercial Concentration CPCU 551 Commercial Property Risk Management and Insurance CPCU 552 Commercial Liability Risk Management and Insurance CPCU 553 Survey of Personal Risk Management, Insurance, and Financial Planning
Personal Concentration CPCU 555 Personal Risk Management and Property-Liability Insurance CPCU 556 Personal Financial Planning CPCU 557 Survey of Commercial Risk Management and Insurance
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Onshore Property
Offshore Property
Builders Risk
General Liability
Excess Liability
Fiduciary Liability
Directors & Officers Liability
Crime
Terrorism
Hull & Machinery
Ocean Cargo
Protection & Indemnity
Hull War Risks P&I
Non-Owned Aircraft
Commercial Auto
Workers’ Compensation & Employers Liability
Surety Bonds
Types of Commercial Insurance
ConfidentialInsurance Coverage Descriptions
Onshore Property – covers 1st party damage to or loss of buildings, personal property, business income caused by fire, lightning, smoke, water damage and other perils not specifically excluded under the policy.
Offshore Property - covers damage to offshore assets such as platforms or pipelines.
Builders Risk – covers a building and labor in the course of construction, including building materials and supplies while on or away from the building site.
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General Liability - covers 3rd party liability loss exposures, including its premises, operations and products.
Excess Liability - provides additional liability limits for claims that are covered by specified underlying coverage such as general liability, automobile, and professional liability policies.
Fiduciary Liability – covers the fiduciaries of an employee benefit plan against liability claims alleging breach of duties or errors in judgment and other wrongful acts involving their discretionary judgment.
Insurance Coverage Descriptions (cont.)
ConfidentialInsurance Coverage Descriptions (cont.)
Directors & Officers Liability – covers a corporation’s directors and officers against their alleged wrongful acts and provides reimbursement to the corporation for any sum paid to indemnify directors and officers. Can also cover the company itself if entity coverage is purchased.
Crime - covers loss of property through criminal activity -- from employee dishonesty to burglary and robbery, computer fraud, and forgery.
Terrorism – covers property owners for their potential losses and liabilities that might occur due to terrorists activities, domestic and/or foreign.
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Hull & Machinery - covers physical damage to vessels, including their machinery and fuel, but not their cargo.
Ocean Cargo – covers loss to cargo onboard vessel.
Protection & Indemnity – covers shipowners against various liability claims due to operating the insured vessel.
P&I War Risks – covers liability due to acts of war and war-like operations specifically described in the policy.
Insurance Coverage Descriptions (cont.)
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Non-Owned Aircraft – covers 3rd party liability for bodily injury and property damage arising out of the use of a non-owned aircraft.
Business Auto – covers bodily injury and property damage if an insured vehicle is involved in an accident.
Workers’ Compensation & Employers Liability – provides coverage for benefits the insured employer is obligated to pay under workers compensations laws and also covers the employer if an injured employee sues for negligence in protecting the worker.
Insurance Coverage Descriptions (cont.)
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Surety Bond- is a guaranty from one party (the Surety) that a second party (the principal) will fulfill their obligations to third party (the Obligee)
Principal: the one performing the work or fulfilling the obligation
Obligee: the one for whom the principal is obligated to perform
Surety: the company that is making the guarantee on behalf of the principal to the Obligee
Differences between Surety Bonds and Insurance
Surety Bonds have three (3) parties to the contract
The principal is liable to the surety for losses paid by the surety
In theory, the surety should not sustain losses on surety contracts
Bankruptcy of the Principal is the key risk to the Surety company
The coverage period is indefinite
Insurance Coverage Descriptions (cont.)
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Laura DeLeon
Risk Analyst
ConfidentialNature of Risk
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ConfidentialClasses of Risk
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ConfidentialBasic Risk
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ConfidentialCertificate of Insurance – ‘Fronted GL Policy’
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ConfidentialCertificate of Insurance – ‘Self-Insured’ GL
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ConfidentialRecent Auto Accident – Targa Truck
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ConfidentialThird-Party Driver at Fault
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Truck that caused the accident
ConfidentialTarga’s Truck – A Total Loss
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Alternatives to Commercial Insurance
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‘Cat’ Bonds
Utilizes the Capital Markets via Institutional Investors
Can cover any ‘Cat’ perils specified
Can be for 1 – 3 year term
Typically set as a ‘parametric trigger’
Minimum wind speed trigger (e.g., Category 3 Hurricane or higher)
Eye of storm must pass within a set ‘box’ or ‘circle’ to trigger payout
Unlike traditional insurance, proof of damage sustained is not required
Bonds can cost out at a ‘rate on line’ of 20%+ of limit purchased
Very expensive to put together
Risk to purchaser – extensive damage but bond not triggered
Example: Hurricane Ike
Ike’s wind speed was a Category 2, although storm surge was a Category 4
Significant damage – Onshore and Offshore
If Category 3 wind speed had been a required trigger – would not have paid out
Would have spent probably $6MM in premium and still had ??? $$ in potentially uninsured damage and business interruption
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Targa Resources: Storm tracker map showing 50 mile and 100 mile radius
ACE ‘StormTracker’ Option
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OIL Insurance Ltd – an Oil & Gas Property Mutual
Form of ‘mutualization’ for Property Risks
Limit purchased – up to $250MM
Attachment point – minimum of $20MM
Provides $750MM Aggregate to All Insureds
Provides Property Damage Coverage Only
Coverage very restrictive – not as broad as London markets
Only covers repairs to ‘mechanical completion’
Does not cover ‘expediting expenses’
Various other restrictions
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Marsh – Berkshire Hathaway ‘Triple C’ Product
Another Form of Mutualization for Property Risks
Similar to OIL Insurance Company
Limit purchased – up to $100MM
Attachment point – minimum of $25MM
5 Year Minimum Time Horizon
Provides $500MM Annual Aggregate to All Insureds
20% Retrospective Penalty Premium
Up front costs to join the ‘group’
Key questions:
Who will I be in the ‘pool’ with?
How much of the available $500MM Annual Aggregate received if losses?
Any additional ‘capital contribution costs’ to join?
Product got ‘scrapped’ in mid ‘09 due to lack of interest
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Directors & Officers Liability Market
ConfidentialA D&O Underwriter’s ‘Worst Nightmare’…..
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ConfidentialD&O Liability – Summary of Coverages
Side – A Coverage
Provides coverage for Insured Individuals IF the Organization is UNABLE to provide Indemnification
Indemnity is typically provided for under the organizations By-Laws Most common trigger of Side-A is ‘Bankruptcy’ of the Organization
Side – B Coverage
Provides coverage for Insured Individuals when the Organization is ABLE to provide Indemnification
Insurer reimburses the Organization for costs it expends to defend and indemnify the D’s & O’s Most common coverage part utilized
Side – C Coverage (aka ‘Entity’ Coverage)
For Publicly Traded Companies: Provides coverage for the Organization itself for Securities Claims Only
For Private and Non-Profit Companies: Provides coverage, with some limitation, to the Organization itself
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ConfidentialKey D&O Underwriting Factors – Examples…
Stock Analysis Stock Chart Analysis – 2 year ‘look-back’
Does stock perform in line with ‘peers’? Have there been any large volume ‘drops’ or ‘jumps’ in the stock over the past year? Reason?
Does the company give ‘earnings guidance’? Current valuation in comparison to historic and peers
Price/Earnings Ratio Price to Book Value EBITDA Multiple
If stock dropped, we there ‘Insider Selling’ before the stock drop?
Financial Analysis Does company have necessary ‘Cash on Hand’ and ‘Free Cash Flow’
Meet Debt / Other Corporate Obligations over next 3 years? Cash flow – steady or volatile? Use of cash flow?
Amount available - Existing Credit Facility Trending of Revenues / Gross Margins / Net Income – Outlook
Corporate Governance Make-up of Board / Management Team – Independence & Quality Any related Third-Party Transactions? Management Salary in line with Competitors? CEO / CFO have prior public experience? Any recent changes to Senior Management or the Board of Directors?
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ConfidentialTarga NGLS v. Peer MLP’s – 2 year ‘look-back’
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Targa’s D&O Renewal Expectations
Many insurer’s Combined Ratios (losses plus expenses) are well below 100%, so still making a profit
Several new ‘entrants’ adding capacity to the market, which drives competition and keeps rates steady
AEGIS (industry mutual) provides ‘primary’ coverage on TRPLP tower – initially talking about increases, but expectation is to get reductions.
So far still no Financial Industry (FI) impacts crossing over into Energy Book
Targa expectations are minimum 10% reduction!!!
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Excess Liability Market
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Targa’s Excess Liability Renewal – 2009 was Tough!!
Targa’s first $15mm and $100mm xs $35mm -- Industry Mutuals AEGIS Energy Insurance Mutual
Significant industry liability losses in 2007/2008 CA Wildfires (through entire coverage tower of CA Utility)
Significant loss of investment income – lost ~ 1/5th of Policyholder Surplus
Much of those investment losses have been recovered Some have not -- pulled out of equities and into ‘safer’ investments = lower recovery
2009 Renewal was very difficult in October 2009
Kept coverage with AEGIS – no General Aggregate key reason Reduced limit for ‘midstream’ accounts by ~60% – from $35mm to $15mm Increased retentions from $1 – 3mm to $3 – 5mm ‘Per Occurrence’ Propane Claim Issues (industry, not Targa specific) Annual Aggregate Limit for Wildfires Increased premium costs > 40% even with significant reduction in limits Filled in new $20mm ‘gap’ with Aspen Syndicate (Lloyds) - ~$800k NEW Spend Required
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U.S. Excess Liability Market – Then to Now…
…A year ago, all the key indicators were in place that the market would continue to ‘harden’ into 2010….
Decline in most insurers’ Policyholder Surplus Collapse in Liquidity Excess Capital Disappeared Catastrophic Investment Losses Increased Costs in Reinsurance
Several reasons why this market is actually moving into a ‘soft’ market… Cat losses not a severe as prior years Fewer insurers experienced combined ratios > 100% Reinsurance costs did not rise as much as anticipated Many ‘buyers’ exposures were lower (revenues, throughput) due to economy Better than expected investment returns Additional capacity entered the market on top of an existing over-abundance of capacity Insurers want to maintain market share creates downward pressure on prices
Willis Energy Market Review 2010
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Targa’s Excess Liability Renewal – 2010 Expectations
AEGIS may impose a General Aggregate on the $15mm limit – key issue
Key competitors may be lower on premium
Goal is to achieve 5 – 10% overall reduction
A lot depends on AEGIS’ position
Reductions likely in upper layers (excess of $100mm)
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