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FinTech & the Financing of Entrepreneurs

3 Predictions for

Erik P.M. Vermeulen

1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2025

PC InternetSocial Media Platforms

Artificial Intelligence Blockchain

IoTRobotics

Quantum Computing

The Exponential Growth of Technology

InvestorsRegulators Entrepreneurs/ Companies

Who Wants to Know?

Degr

ee of

diffu

sion o

f the

tech

nolo

gica

l rev

olut

ion

TimeBig Bang

Previous Great Surge

Crash Institutional Recomposition

Next Big Bang

Next Great SurgeIrruption

Frenzy

Synergy

Majority

Installation Phase Deployment PhaseTurning Point

The “Carlota Perez” Model

Option I - The “Golden Age” of FinTech

Chris Dixon

“Each revolution begins with a financial bubble that propels the (irrationally) rapid installation of the new technology. Then

there’s a crash, followed by a recovery and then a long period of productive growth as

the new technology is “deployed” throughout other industries as well as

society more broadly.”

Option II - The FinTech “Bubble”

We live in an age of multiple, overlapping technological revolutions

We live in an age of multiple, overlapping technological revolutions

Understanding the “tech” revolution is “impossible”

0

25

50

75

100

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 (YTD)

“Crowdfunding Stories” (number & evolution)

What is crowdfunding?

Guidelines

Experience

Campaigns

Equity Crowdfunding ?

Prediction I: Consumers in “driver’s seat!

Connectivity

Choice

Convenience

Consumers are willing to give up “a lot” for “tech convenience”

Prediction II: The future will be one of platforms & ecosystems

Future Bank“Platform Owner”

Integrated Companies

Connected Companies

ride-sharing delivery services

payment

AcquisitionsInvestors

Investments

Partnerships

Prediction III: Gov 2.0 - It’s all about the platform

Tim O’Reilly

1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2025

PC InternetSocial Media Platforms

Artificial Intelligence Blockchain

IoTRobotics

Quantum Computing

Regulatory Systems (usually facts-based)

The Need for “Regulatory Co-Creation”

Traditional WorldUncertain “Digital” World

Past ExperiencePlatformCo-creation

Collaboration

Using “touch points” / sensors

=

Solution Solution

Regulatory SandboxesAustralia

Brunei

Hong KongIndonesiaMalaysia

NetherlandsSingapore

SwitzerlandThailand

United Kingdom

Regulatory

Sandbox

Canada

Abu Dhabi

Bahrain

Mauritius

-150

-100

-50

0

50

100

150

200

2014 2015 2016

India

GermanySingapore

SwitzerlandUnited Kingdom

Netherlands

United States

Hong Kong

Ireland

China

Russia

%

Israel

YoY %-Growth of “First-time” VC-Backed Fintech Companies

Slowdown in Fintech?

Increasing investment

activity?

-150

-100

-50

0

50

100

150

200

2014 2015 2016

%

“Experimental” Co-creation

“No Action”

YoY %-Growth of “First-time” VC-Backed Fintech Companies

In the digital age, the only real choice is whether to participate in the project of co-creating the future

or not!

Join the conversation!

erikpmvermeulen@erikpmvermeulenmedium.com/@erikpmvermeulen

e.p.m.vermeulen@tilburguniversity.edu

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