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Anwar Sadat Chair for Peace and DevelopmentAnwar Sadat Chair for Peace and Development
University of MarylandUniversity of Maryland
20112011
Annual Arab Public Opinion SurveyAnnual Arab Public Opinion SurveySurvey conducted October 2011 inSurvey conducted October 2011 in
Egypt, Jordan, Lebanon, Morocco and UAEEgypt, Jordan, Lebanon, Morocco and UAE
Sample size: 3000Sample size: 3000
Margin of error: +/Margin of error: +/-- 1.8%1.8%
ProfessorProfessor ShibleyShibley TelhamiTelhami, Principal Investigator, Principal Investigator
MikeMike LebsonLebson, Evan Lewis and Abe, Evan Lewis and Abe MedoffMedoffassisted in preparation of this studyassisted in preparation of this study
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Key FindingsKey Findings
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Key FindingsKey Findings
*Note that these polls measure trends but not necessarily likelyvoting behavior. There is little information on the central issueof likely voters and little precedence. At the local level, Egyptians
vote often on the basis of family/clan loyalty, personality, or otherfactors that trump ideology.
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Key FindingsKey Findings
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Samples and Polling DatesSamples and Polling DatesCountry Sample
Size
Marginof
Error
Start
Date
End
Date
Egypt 750 +/
3.7% 10/22 10/30
UAE 500 +/ 4.5% 10/20 10/31
Morocco 750 +/ 3.7% 10/20 10/31
Lebanon 500 +/ 4.5% 10/20 10/27
Jordan 500 +/ 4.5% 10/20 10/30
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Polling CitiesPolling CitiesCOUNTRY CITIES
Egypt Giza,Cairo,
Qaliubiya,
Alexandria,
Al
Minia
(UpperEgypt),AlIsmailiyah (SuezCanal)
UAE Dubai,AbuDhabi,Sharjah
Morocco Casablanca,Rabat
Lebanon Beirut,Aley,
Metn,
Baabda,
Tripoli,
Shouf
Jordan Amman,Irbid,Zarqa
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Arab AwakeningArab Awakening
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ArabAwakening
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ArabAwakening
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ArabAwakening
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ArabAwakening
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ArabAwakening
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ArabAwakening
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ArabAwakening
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ArabAwakening
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Egyptian ElectionsEgyptian Elections
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EgyptianElections
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EgyptianElections
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EgyptianElections
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EgyptianElections
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EgyptianElections
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EgyptianElections
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United StatesUnited States
& the Middle East& the Middle East
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48
38
8
2
48
36
11
4
UnitedStates&theMiddleEastGenerallyspeaking,isyourattitudetowardtheUnitedStates
Veryfavorable
Somewhat
favorable
Somewhat
unfavorable
Veryunfavorable
2011
38
21
22
4
2010 2009
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UnitedStates&theMiddleEastHow
would
you
describe
your
views
of
President
Barack
Obama
of
the
United
States?
2011 2010
Positive
Neutral
Negative
2009
43
13
34
62
18
19
24
32
39
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UnitedStates&theMiddleEastWhich
of
the
following
is
closest
to
your
views
in
describing
US
PresidentBarackObama?
FavorablepersonalviewofhimandI
amhopefulabouthisforeignpolicy
Favorablepersonalviewofhim,butI
don'tthinktheAmericansystemwill
allowhimtohaveasuccessfulforeign
policy
UnfavorableviewofhimandIam
pessimisticabouthisforeignpolicy
2011 2010
8
41
36
3
35
55
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UnitedStates&theMiddleEastHow
would
you
describe
your
attitudes
toward
the
Obama
AdministrationpolicyintheMiddleEast?
Hopeful
Neitherhopeful
nordiscouraged
Discouraged
2011 2010
52
19
20
65
20
14
15
31
47
2009
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UnitedStates&theMiddleEastWhat
TWO
steps
by
the
United
States
would
improve
your
views
of
the
UnitedStatesthemost?
IsraelPalestine
peace
agreement
WithdrawalfromIraq
StoppingaidtoIsrael
Withdrawalfrom
Arabian
Peninsula
Pushingmoretospreaddemocracy
Moreeconomicaidtotheregion
Stoppingaid
to
Arab
governments
2011
8
11
12
26
29
42
55
2010
1
13
8
43
33
47
53
2
7
6
52
53
24
39
2009
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UnitedStates&theMiddleEastWhen
you
look
back
at
the
past
year
of
the
Obama
Administration, which
oneofthefollowingpoliciesareyoumostdisappointed with?
Palestine/Israel
Iraq
Attitudestoward
Islam
Afghanistan
Humanrights
Spreadingdemocracy
Economicassistance
2011 2010
2
5
5
9
12
14
46
1
1
1
4
4
26
64
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UnitedStates&theMiddleEastWhen
you
look
back
at
the
past
year
of
the
Obama
Administration, which
oneofthefollowingpoliciesareyoumostpleased with?
Palestine/Israel
Iraq
Attitudestoward
Islam
Afghanistan
Humanrights
Spreadingdemocracy
Economicassistance
2011 2010
17
9
14
2
7
8
4
11
4
5
1
22
3
Lessthan
1%
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UnitedStates&theMiddleEastWhich
TWO
of
the
following
factors
do
you
believe
are
most
important
in
drivingAmericanpolicyintheMiddleEast?
ProtectingIsrael
Controllingoil
WeakeningtheMuslimworld
Preventingspreadofnuclearweapons
Fighting
terrorism
Spreadinghumanrights
Promotingdemocracy
Preservingregionalandglobaldominance
Promotingpeaceandstability
2011
5
5
7
8
8
29
32
44
53
2010 2009
4
4
13
5
6
36
34
50
47
5
4
12
4
8
25
38
52
39
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ArabArab--Israeli ConflictIsraeli Conflict
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ArabIsraeliConflictWhichofthefollowingstatementsisclosertoyourview?
Preparedfor
peace
if
Israel
is
willingtoreturnall1967territories
includingEastJerusalem,andArab
governmentsshouldputmore
effortintothis
EvenifIsraelreturnsall1967
territories,Arabsshould
continuetofight
PreparedforpeaceifIsraeliswilling
toreturnall1967territories
includingEastJerusalem,butIsrael
willnevergiveuptheseterritories
easily
20092011
23
43
24
24
45
29
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ArabIsraeliConflictWhich
of
the
following
statements
is
closest
to
your
view
about
the
prospectsoflastingpeacebetweenIsraelandthePalestinians?
Dontbelieveitwill
everhappen
Inevitable,butitwill
takemoretime
Willhappeninthe
nextfiveyears
20092011
53
29
10
49
41
6
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1
59
12
27
3
54
9
21
Whatdo
you
believe
is
the
likely
outcome
if
the
prospects
of
atwo
state
solutioninthePalestinianIsraeliconflictcollapse?
Stateofintenseconflict
foryears
to
come
ArabIsraeliConflict
Statusquo
will
continue
Onestatesolutionin
whichIsraelis
and
Palestiniansareequal
Palestinianswill
eventuallysurrender
toIsraeli
power
2011 2009
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Asolution
to
the
Palestinian
Israeli
conflict
that
leads
to
the
establishment
of
aPalestinian
stateintheWestBankandGaza,withEastJerusalemasitscapital,willhappenonly:
Throughserious
negotiations
ArabIsraeliConflict
Bybeingimposedby
the
UN
Throughanother
ArabIsraeliwar
Itwill
never
happen
Bybeingimposedby
theUnitedStates
2011 2010
16
20
15
24
20
16
14
11
18
40
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ArabIsraeliConflictWhen
you
look
at
the
Israeli
Palestinian
conflict,
which
of
the
following
issuesisthemostcentraltoyou,assumingthattheymayallbe important:
Establishmentof
afully
independentcontiguous
PalestinianstateinWBG
Arabsovereigntyover
EastJerusalem
RightofPalestinian
refugeestoreturntotheir
homes
2011 2010
37
28
29
20
32
45
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ArabIsraeli
Conflict
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Arab
Israeli
Conflict
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ArabIsraeliConflictWhichofthefollowingstatementsisclosertoyourview: (EGYPTONLY)
Iampreparedforajustand
comprehensivepeace
with
Israel
ifIsraelreturnsalltheterritories
occupied,andArabgovernments
shouldmakemoreefforts
Iampreparedforajustand
comprehensivepeacewithIsrael
ifIsraelreturnsalltheterritories
occupied,buttheywon'tgiveup
territorypeacefully
EveniftheIsraelisreturnallof
theterritoriesoccupiedin1967
peacefully,theArabsshould
continueto
fight
Israel
2011 2009
19
47
19
28
41
28
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IranIran
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IranDo
you
believe
that
Iran
is
merely
conducting
research
for
peaceful
purposes,
or
tryingtodevelopnuclearweapons?
Peacefulpurposes
Nuclearweapons
2011 2009
52
33
59
28
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25
64
40
53
IranThere
is
international
pressure
on
Iran
to
curtail
its
nuclearprogram. Whatisyouropinion?
Iranhastherightto
itsnuclearprogram
Iranshouldbe
pressuredtostopits
nuclearprogram
2011 2009
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IranIf
Iran
acquires
nuclear
weapons,
which
of
the
following
is
the
likely
outcomefortheMiddleEastregion?
Morepositive
Wouldnotmatter
Morenegative
2011
35
25
25
2009
46
19
28
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2009
IranNameTWOcountriesthatyouthinkposethebiggestthreattoyou.
2011
Israel
UnitedStates
Iran 18
59
71
12
76
88
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Global PerspectiveGlobal Perspective
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GlobalPerspectiveIn
aworld
where
there
is
only
one
superpower,
which
of
the
following
countrieswouldyouprefertobethatsuperpower?
France
China
Germany
Britain
Russia
UnitedStates
Pakistan
2011
5
7
7
10
12
15
23
2009
7
8
3
23
7
25
14
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GlobalPerspectiveWhichworldleader(outsideyourowncountry)doyouadmiremost?
RecepErdogan
HugoChavez
MahmoudAhmadinajad
HassanNasrallah
FidelCastro
NicolasSarkozy
JacquesChirac
SheikhM.binZayed
SheikhM.binRashed
SaddamHussein
2011
3
3
3
4
4
5
5
6
7
13
13
22
KingAbdullahAlSaud
BarackObama
2010
4
1
1
2
5
7
14
2
1
14
8
22
2009
3
1
5
2
10
6
26
4
6
6
4
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Ifyou
had
to
live
in
one
of
the
following
countries,
which
one
wouldyouprefermost?
France
China
Germany
Britain
Russia
UnitedStates
Pakistan
2011
2
4
10
11
15
22
28
2009
1
4
5
9
10
25
36
GlobalPerspective
l b l i
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GlobalPerspective
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IdentityIdentity
Id tit
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3
23
20
55
10
14
16
58
Whenyour
government
makes
decisions,
do
you
think
it
should
base
its
decisionsmostlyon whatisbestfor
Muslims
Identity
Yourcountry
Arabs
Theworld
2011 2009
Id tit
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Whichofthefollowingisyourmostimportantidentity?
Muslim
Identity
Citizenof
your
country
Arab
Citizenofthe
world 1
33
27
38
9
26
31
33
2011 2009
Id tit
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Whichofthefollowingisyoursecondmostimportantidentity?
Identity
Muslim
Citizenofyour
country
Arab
Citizenofthe
world 2
24
41
30
11
24
26
27
2011 2009
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MediaMedia
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Media
Media
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MediaWhats
your
primary
source
for
international
news?
Television
Radio
Newspapers/
Magazines
Internet
3
9
8
80
5
14
20
58
2011 2009
Media
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MediaWhen
you
watch
international
news,
which
of
the
following
networks
news
broadcastsdoyouwatchmostoften?
AlJazeera
LBC
MBC
Al
Arabiya
5
11
3
38
1
4
5
58
7
12
14
43
2011 2010 2009
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