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Central European Initiative (CEI) Workshop – “Economic importance of tourism and measurement of its impact in CEI member states”
17 – 18 October 2007, Dolenjske Toplice, Slovenia
Present and future of TSA in the EU
Christophe.Demunter@ec.europa.euTourism statistics
CEI Workshop - TSA17 – 18 October 2007
Present and future of TSA in the European Union 2
Outline of the presentation
Tourism:a fast growing economic sector
TSA implementation: state of affairs in the EU
TSA methodology: international initiatives
Eurostat activities in the field of TSA Update of the tourism statistics legislation
Two years project on TSA (2008-2009)
CEI Workshop - TSA17 – 18 October 2007
Present and future of TSA in the European Union 3
Growth of European tourism participationFrom 1998 to 2005, the number of long trips made has increased with 18% (aggregate based on BE, DK, DE, IE, EL, ES, FR, IT, LU, NL, AT, PT, FI, UK)
10098
105 106
109110
103
118
100
105
117
120
117
119120
123
90
95
100
105
110
115
120
125
130
1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
Evolution of total number of long holiday trips
Evolution of number of domestic long holiday trips
Evolution of number of outbound long holiday trips
CEI Workshop - TSA17 – 18 October 2007
Present and future of TSA in the European Union 4
Growth of European tourism participationShort holidays are the fastest growing segment of the tourism market, with slightly faster growth in domestic short breaks compared to short breaks abroad (aggregate based on BE, DK, DE, EL, ES, FR, IT, LU, PT, FI, UK)
0
5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
1 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
3 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Short domesticholidays
Short outbound holidays
Long outboundholidays
Long domestic holidays
1998
2005
All holidays 31%
Short holidays (1-3 nights) 47%
Long holidays (4+ nights) 18%
Domestic holidays 33%
Outbound holidays 26%
Short domestic holidays 47%
Short outbound holidays 42%
Long domestic holidays 15%
Long outbound holidays 23%
Increase of the number of trips over the period
1998-2005
CEI Workshop - TSA17 – 18 October 2007
Present and future of TSA in the European Union 5
Growth of nights spent in the EUThe number of tourism nights in accommodation establishments in the EU is growing faster than the overall economic activity
100
113
123121 121 121
111
115
117119
120
125
128
123
106
103101
123
108
104
102
100
105
110
115
120
125
130
1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
Nights spent in collective accommodation(residents and non-residents)GDP at constant prices
CEI Workshop - TSA17 – 18 October 2007
Present and future of TSA in the European Union 6
Growth of European tourism receiptsFrom 1998 to 2005, the tourism receipts have increased with 75%, compared to 57% GDP growth over the same period
100
140
160 162 162159
122
131
136
142144
157
108
121
130
167
175
105
111116
151
100
110
120
130
140
150
160
170
180
1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
Tourism receipts (Balance of Payments -travel item)GDP at current prices
CEI Workshop - TSA17 – 18 October 2007
Present and future of TSA in the European Union 7
TSA implementation in the EU: state of affairs
Mainly supported by ECgrants (DG ENTR):
TSA implemented in 11 Member States
Compilation work has started or is being prepared in another 6 Member States
Feasibility studies conducted in 2 Member States
No actions yet in 7 Member States (BG, EL, EE, LT, LU, RO, SK)
State of TSA I mplementation
BE TSA implemented
CZ Transnational co-operation with Hungary
DK Preparation for implementation
DE TSA implemented (Tables 1-6)
ES TSA implemented
FR TSA implemented (Not compliant with TSA RMF)
I E Compilation work has started
I T Compilation work has started
CY Compilation work has started
LV Feasibility study underway
HU Preparation for implementation
MT Feasibility Study
NL TSA implemented
AT TSA implemented
PL TSA implemented
PT TSA implemented
SI TSA implemented
FI TSA implemented (tables 1-7)
SE TSA implemented (Independent from TSA RMF methodology)
UK Compilation work has started
CEI Workshop - TSA17 – 18 October 2007
Present and future of TSA in the European Union 8
TSA implementation in the EU: problems
Completeness: many TSA don’t cover all tables and/or all variables
Comparability: Often not compliant with TSA methodology (TSA-RMF, EIM) Use of non-comparable and non-harmonised estimation methods
Share of the tourism sector in total GDP
3.2%
11.8%
6.7%5.4%
9.1%
2.3%3.8%
6.7%
2.7%
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
DE (2000)
ES (2002)
FR (2002)
IT (2002)
AT (2003)
PL (2001)
SI (2000)
FI (2001)
SE (2001)
CEI Workshop - TSA17 – 18 October 2007
Present and future of TSA in the European Union 9
TSA methodology: international initiatives
Tourism Satellite Accounts – Recommended Methodological Framework (TSA-RMF) [2000] Jointly elaborated by UNWTO, OECD and Eurostat Under revision:
Currently on the UNWTO website for comments (until 5 Nov)
Will be submitted to the UN Statistical Committee in Feb 2008
European Implementation Manual on TSA [2002]
3 manuals on TSA elaborated by the UNWTO [2008-2009] : a producer manual, a user manual and an educators' manual
Best practices guide elaborated by Eurostat [2009] : “cookbook” for European TSA compilers (see further)
CEI Workshop - TSA17 – 18 October 2007
Present and future of TSA in the European Union 10
Eurostat activities in the field of TSA: update of the tourism statistics legislation
Current legal basis: Directive 95/57/EC [1995]
Capacity data (collective accommodation establishments)
Occupancy data (collective accommodation establishments)
Tourism demand data (household surveys, border surveys)
Some minor updates in the past decade:
To include changes in the tourism markets
To cover the enlarged European Union (2004 and 2006)
Major update is indispensable to be up-to-date with changing user needs and changes in the tourism market
CEI Workshop - TSA17 – 18 October 2007
Present and future of TSA in the European Union 11
New tourism statistics legislation: main objectives of the revision
Adapt to new or changed user needs• update list of variables • change data collection frequency• improved timeliness
Further harmonisation of variables & methods• improvement of comparability and completeness
Tourism Satellite Accounts (TSA)• probably too immature to be fully included in the Regulation• But …include basic elements necessary for TSA compilation
CEI Workshop - TSA17 – 18 October 2007
Present and future of TSA in the European Union 12
New tourism statistics legislation: timing
Long-term project…
2005-2008: discussions in Task Forces & Working Groups
1st half of 2008: agreement at ESS level (SPC), Commission proposal to the EP and the Council
2008-2009: co-decision procedure
By end of 2009: publication of the Regulation on Tourism Statistics in the Official Journal of the EU
2010: first reference year
In the course of 2010 and 2011: first data transmission to Eurostat
Note: this is the ‘optimistic’ scenario…
CEI Workshop - TSA17 – 18 October 2007
Present and future of TSA in the European Union 13
New tourism statistics legislation issues with relevance for TSA
Better coverage of private accommodation
To complete the supply side information on collective accommodation with demand side estimates
Both private rental accommodation and private non-rental accommodation
More complete estimates of total visitor flows from one country into another country
CEI Workshop - TSA17 – 18 October 2007
Present and future of TSA in the European Union 14
Trips and nights by type of accommodation
Trips by type of accommodation
Hotels33%
Other collect. accom.
13%
Private accom.
54%
Nights by type of accommodation
Hotels28%
Other collect. accom.
13%
Private accom.
59%
CEI Workshop - TSA17 – 18 October 2007
Present and future of TSA in the European Union 15
New tourism statistics legislation issues with relevance for TSA (2)
Inclusion of same-day visitors
(under discussion)
Estimated to represent up to 40% of total tourism added value (domestic and inbound)
Currently not included in European tourism statistics
Estimates from the demand side (household, inbound or border surveys) are under consideration
More complete estimates of total visitor flows from one country into another country
Task Force at Eurostat in December 2007
CEI Workshop - TSA17 – 18 October 2007
Present and future of TSA in the European Union 16
New tourism statistics legislation issues with relevance for TSA (3)
Better coverage of data on expenditure
Information on expenditure for the individual and not for the entire travel party
Breakdown by Transport Accommodation Other
Better estimates for tourist expenditure that can be used as direct input or indirect auxiliary parameters for TSA
CEI Workshop - TSA17 – 18 October 2007
Present and future of TSA in the European Union 17
New tourism statistics legislation issues with relevance for TSA (4)
More detailed information about the destination
Breakdown between number or nights spent nationally and nights spent abroad on outbound trips
More comprehensive coverage of trips
All tourism trips, regardless of the length of stay, the purpose or the destination, will be part of the scope of the data collection for the forthcoming Regulation
CEI Workshop - TSA17 – 18 October 2007
Present and future of TSA in the European Union 18
New tourism statistics legislation issues with relevance for TSA (5)
Transmission of micro-data (demand side)
More detailed analysis will be possible
More flexibility to ad hoc user requests
Via Eurostat, NSIs will be able to exchange information with partner countries
e.g. estimates of same-day trips by residents e.g. estimates of expenditure by residents
Limitations: EU demand side statistics do not capture inbound tourism trips by non EU residents, but …
CEI Workshop - TSA17 – 18 October 2007
Present and future of TSA in the European Union 19
… a dominating position of intra-EU tourism
Nights spent in collective accommodation in the EU - 2005(share of residents, share of other EU Member States’ residents, share of non-EU residents) - 2005
Other EU residents31,3%
Non EU residents9,3%
Residents of the Member State
59,3%
Holiday trips (4 nights or more) by EU residents - 2005(share of domestic holiday trips, holiday trips within the European Union and holiday trips outside the European Union) - 2005
Domestic holiday trips59%
Holiday tripsoutside the EU
13%
Holiday trips to other EU Member States
28%
CEI Workshop - TSA17 – 18 October 2007
Present and future of TSA in the European Union 20
Eurostat’s TSA project (2008-2009) objectives
Focal points:
Comparative assessment of the methodologies applied and of the results achieved
Collection and exchange of best practices in compiling Tourism Satellite Accounts
Direct methodological support for the Member States
Identification of key TSA figures
CEI Workshop - TSA17 – 18 October 2007
Present and future of TSA in the European Union 21
Eurostat’s TSA project (2008-2009) objectives (2)
Actions:
1. Assessment of the state of the art concerning the implementation of TSA in the Member States of the EU
Stock-taking of the work done
Assessment of the methodologies used and of their compliance with the international standards in terms of comparability and completeness
Problems encountered, possible obstacles to start the work, …
2. Directory of best practices which are relevant for other countries compiling TSAs, focusing on
Best use of existing statistical sources in the Member States
Estimation methods for missing data
CEI Workshop - TSA17 – 18 October 2007
Present and future of TSA in the European Union 22
Eurostat’s TSA project (2008-2009) objectives (3)
Actions (continued):
3. Organization of the exchange of best practices and experience in compiling TSA
Individual consultancy missions
Multi-country workshops
4. Development of key figures for an intermediate update of basic TSA information
Provide information on the evolution of the tourism sector in
the various Member States in those intermediate periods for
which a comprehensive TSA is not being compiled
CEI Workshop - TSA17 – 18 October 2007
Present and future of TSA in the European Union 23
Eurostat’s TSA project (2008-2009) timetable
Phase 1: Jan 2008 – Oct 2008
– Country-specific progress reports [May 2008]
– Comparative analysis report on TSA implementation in the EU Member States [June 2008]
– Draft best practices guide [June 2008]
– Workshop [Sep/Oct 2008]
CEI Workshop - TSA17 – 18 October 2007
Present and future of TSA in the European Union 24
Eurostat’s TSA project (2008-2009) timetable (2)
Phase 2: Oct 2008 - Aug 2008
– Technical assistance missions [Oct 2008 – March 2009]
– Best practices guide [May 2009]
– 2nd workshop [June/July 2009]
– Key TSA figures report [May 2009]
CEI Workshop - TSA17 – 18 October 2007
Present and future of TSA in the European Union 25
Further information
Contact Eurostat Unit F6 - Information Society and Tourism Statistics
Christophe Demunter (@ec.europa.eu)
Ulrich Spörel (@ec.europa.eu) – TSA project
Data All data is available on the Eurostat website, including
estimates of employment in tourism (from LFS) – http://ec.europa.eu/eurostat
Dedicated section on Tourism Statistics – http://epp.eurostat.ec.europa.eu/pls/portal/url/page/PGP_DS_TOURISM/PGE_DS_TOURISM_01
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