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| 1 EO246 294090 3/15
A look at health-care reform and its impact on investors
Not FDIC Insured
May Lose Value
No Bank Guarantee
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The health-care system has serious challenges
• Costs have skyrocketed over the past decade• Significant financial pressures on government
entitlement programs• Aging baby boomers will further strain the
system
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Health-care costs have skyrocketed
Source: Kaiser Family Foundation, September 2014.
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
Health insurance premiums
191%
Workers’ earnings
54%Overall inflation
43%
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The aging of Americawill further strain the systemTotal U.S. population age 65+
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2014 projections.
Today
45 million
2060
92 million
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Fiscal pressures on the Medicare system
Source: 2014 Trustees Report.
2013 2030 2080
Workers per beneficiary are steadily declining
3.2 workers
2.3 workers2.0 workers
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Workers are paying more for their health careAverage annual health insurance premiums and worker contributions for family coverage, 2004–2014
$9,950
$16,83469% total premium increase
81% worker contribution
increase
Source: Kaiser/HRET Survey of Employer-Sponsored Health Benefits, 2004-2014
2004 2014
$2,661 $4,823
$7,289
$12,011
Worker con-tribution
Employer contribution
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Signed into law in March 2010, the ACA is fully up and running
2010• No pre-existing conditions• No lifetime limits on policies• Dependent coverage up to age 26
2012 • Supreme Court upholds individual mandate
2013 • New taxes introduced
2014
• Individual mandate begins• Premium tax credits available• Health insurance marketplace launched• Essential health benefits required in policies
2015 • Employer mandate begins
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Key elements of the legislation
• Expanded coverage• Mandates to maintain insurance coverage• Insurance reforms • New taxes to offset costs
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Provisions expand coveragefor individuals and families
• Medicaid expanded to cover lowest-income individuals
• Tax credits available for lower to moderate income individuals and families*
• Dependents covered to age 26• New requirements ensure a base level of
coverage– 60% of out-of-pocket costs and 10 essential health
benefits* Note that as of March 2014, according to the Kaiser Family Foundation, 19 states have decided not to expand their Medicaid programs while six states are still undecided. 26 states (including DC) have taken steps to expand their Medicaid programs.
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Financial incentives to obtain coverage
Individuals
Family of 4
$16,242
$33,455
$47,080
$97,000
FULL SUBSIDY TAX CREDITS NO SUBSIDY
Based on 2015 Federal Poverty Levels of $11,770 for individuals and $24,250 for a family of four. Not all states have decided to expand their Medicaid programs to subsidize health insurance for all residents. For example, prior to the Affordable Care Act (ACA), adults without dependent children were generally excluded from Medicaid coverage. As of March 2014, 26 states have decided to expand Medicaid according to the Kaiser Family Foundation.
$0 Full subsidy Tax credits No subsidy
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New health-care exchanges
PlanActuarial
valueTypical
deductibleTypical
coinsurance
Bronze 60% $5,000 30%
Silver 70 2,000 20
Gold 80 0 20
Platinum 90 0 10
Source: Kaiser Family Foundation, August 2013; figures for individual coverage.
Actuarial value is the percentage of total average costs the health plan will cover. For example, a health plan with an actuarial value of 80% will generally cover 80% of costs with the plan member responsible for the remaining 20% of the costs.
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Individuals face a penalty if they don’t have insurance
2014 2015 2016$0
$500
$1,000
$1,500
$2,000
$2,500 Individual
Family
The penalty is calculated based on a specified dollar amount or percentage of income, whichever is greater. The percentage of income begins at 1% in 2014 and then increases to 2% of income in 2015 and finally to 2.5% of income in 2016 and beyond.
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Changes affecting business owners
0 25 50 100May be eligible for tax credits to offset
premium costs
Must offer coverage or
face penalty in 2016
Must offer coverage or
face penalty in 2015
Number of full-time employees
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There are two types of penalties facing employers
Scenario Penalty
Employer offers no health-care coverage
$2,000 per full-time employee over a threshold of 30 employees
Employer coverage doesn’t cover at least 60% of expenses or employees pay more than 9.5% of their income on coverage
$3,000 per full-time employee receiving a federal tax credit for purchasing coverage via an insurance exchange*
* Total employer fine cannot exceed $2,000 per full-time employee based on the total amount of full-time employees minus 30.
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Fundamental changes to insurance
• Guaranteed issue: Applicant cannot be denied coverage because of a pre-existing condition
• Community rating: Cost determination for premiums is significantly limited in scope (age, tobacco use, geographic location)
• No lifetime or annual limits on coverage
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New taxes to offset costs
• Increase in the individual portion of the Medicare payroll tax on wages from 1.45% to 2.35%
• New Medicare investment income tax of 3.8%– Will affect interest, dividends, capital gains, rental
income– Distributions from retirement accounts are
excluded– Interest from municipal bonds not affected
• Targeted at individuals with more than $200K income (couples with $250K income)
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$50KMuni income
Married couple with income over $250K: How does the new 3.8% surtax work?
$150KSalary
$50KIRA income
$100K
Cap gain
Not subject to 3.8% surtax
$250K income threshold (MAGI)
$50K cap gain subject to surtax
$50K cap gain not subject to surtax
Simplified, hypothetical example designed to illustrate how the new Medicare net investment income surtax is applied. Beginning in 2013, the surtax applies to individuals with MAGI over $200,000 and married couples filing joint tax returns with MAGI over $250,000. MAGI defined as Adjusted Gross Income (AGI) plus net foreign income exclusion amount.
Not subject to the surtax but is included in determining the $200K/$250K income threshold
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How may you be impacted by health-care reform?
Higher income taxpayers
May be subject to new health-care-related taxes
Pre-retirees Those with health issues may benefit from obtaining individual insurance prior to Medicare eligibility without being denied or charged higher premiums
Retirees Deductibles and co-payments for certain preventative services eliminated; less out-of-pocket expenses for prescription drugs; possibility of supplemental coverage premiums increasing with cuts to Medicare Advantage
Business owners
Review existing employee coverage and make decision about offering health-care benefits in the future
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Considerations for investors facing higher taxes
• Look for ways to reduce taxable income– Retirement plan contributions, use of flexible
spending accounts (FSAs), deferring compensation if possible
• Consider municipal bonds for a greater portion of your fixed-income assets
• Utilize Roth accounts for tax diversification and to create a tax-free source of income in retirement
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At higher tax rates, municipal bonds are more attractive
Maximum tax bracket
2015
3% 5.30%
4% 7.07
5% 8.83
Equivalent yield of a taxable bond
For 2015, assumed tax rate is 43.4%, reflecting the new Medicare investment income surtax of 3.8%. Bond investments are subject to interest-rate risk, which means the prices of the fund’s bond investments are likely to fall if interest rates rise. Bond investments also are subject to credit risk, which is the risk that the issuer of the bond may default on payment of interest or principal. Interest-rate risk is generally greater for longer-term bonds, and credit risk is generally greater for below-investment-grade bonds, which may be considered speculative. Unlike bonds, funds that invest in bonds have ongoing fees and expenses. While all bonds have risks, municipal bonds may have a higher level of credit risk as compared to government bonds and CDs.
Mu
nic
ipal
bon
d y
ield
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Closing thoughts
• Health-care reform represents the most sweeping changes to our nation’s health-care system in decades
• Consult with your financial advisor and tax professional to discuss strategies for your specific situation
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A BALANCED APPROACH
A WORLD OF INVESTING
A COMMITMENT TO EXCELLENCE
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This information is not meant as tax or legal advice. Please consultyour legal or tax advisor before making any decisions.
Putnam Retail Management putnam.com
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