The Future of Media & ICT (Bilisim Zervis 2009)

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The PDF with my presentation at the Turkish Cebit, Bilisim Zervisi, on the Future of Media & ICT. Topics: Top trends: fixed to mobile. Top-down to social. Consumers to users. Physical to digital. eBooks Plus: the convergence of media, telecom, advertising, social networking, content & media. Why telecoms and mobile operators must get involved with content and advertising. Media is a now Service - and only then becomes product. Read more at www.mediafuturist.com A Turkish review of my speech is here: http://bit.ly/Nar4z (no idea what it says, though).

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Media 2.0 - The Future of the Media, Content &

Entertainment Industries

‣ Futurist‣ Strategist‣ Author & Blogger

www.mediafuturist.comtwitter.com/gleonhard

From Consumers to Users

From Fixed to MobileFrom Physical to Digital

From Top-Down to SocialFrom One-Way to Interactive

How will this c

hange YOUR business?

Next: the Mobile becomes ‘The Internet’

Convergence

TV

Internet Mobile

Telecom

Media

Advertising

Why Telecoms & Mobile Operators must get involved

• SMS and MMS will be greatly reduced by increasing social network activities, fueled by data flat rates for mobile devices

• Users will increasingly use Internet-based tools to make phone & video calls

• Google becomes a major communications player: GTalk, Wave, Google Voice...

• Mobile phone applications on open platforms are bypassing the operators entirely

It used to be...

“Option”“Extra”

Default

Soon:

The new ‘Normal’

The New Premium

AccessEmbodiment

Experience

Take note: Content is first a Service &

an Experience - and only then

(maybe) a Product.

How I read now

Don’t repeat the mistakes of the music industry:DRM will not work (but will drastically reduce adoption)Open formats and cross-platform standards are crucial

Prices should be 20-50% of the physical producteBooks are a Service not a Product

New formats and $ models need to be created (e.g. chapter compilations)

Bundles, flat-rates and subscriptions will be crucial

So will eBooks be pirated?

Protection is

in the

Business

Model

Content ‘Piracy’ issues•Piracy is a business problem •Piracy is often also a driver of new business•We don’t compete with ‘Free’ - we compete on Service and Added Values!

From Stuff to Bits

Enormous Value Shifts

3.75

7.5

11.25

15

Traditional, Offline Content RevenuesRevenues of Offline Content Formats & Models simply moved OnlinePotential Revenues of Web-Native Content Formats & Models

Sales, Distribution & Marketing CostsContent Ceration Costs

Thanks to Flickr.com/alextorrenegra

Content is only ~20% of the Cost

New

Ecosystem

Expensive Cheaper Flat-Rated Flat-Rated

The Mission: reinvent how to get the $$

Source: Universal McCann

The Success Formula: Content + Context + Connectivity +

Community + Convenience

The Mobile ‘Consumption’

of Digital Goods is the #1 Growth Story of the next

Decade

Irresistible: ‘All you can eat’

Every abundance creates new scarcities - and these are what

you can sell

Social Media beats eMail,

Video beats Search

The Future: Engaging the user is crucial

Free gets you to a place where you can get paid.Quote by Fred Wilson, Union Square Ventures www.avc.com

‘Feels Like Free’ Content >> Paid Services

Media as a Service (MaaS)

MaaSBundling

Flat-RatesFreemium

User-GeneratedNew Partnerships

Social Nets + Content

Opportunities

•email me at gerd@mediafuturist.com• twitter.com/gleonhard•Facebook: gleonhard•more presentations at

www.mediafuturist.com

Thanks for listening!

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