Know First•Be First•Profit First - Keynote by Craig Rispin, Business Futurist & Innovation...

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Craig Rispin CSP

“Craig we’ve seen more change in the last 3 years

than in the last 30.”

Technology Changes Exponentially

People Think Linearly

We’re Living in a World of Exponential Change

Where iPhones are More Valuable Than Oil

And 73 Companies are Valued at More Than

$1Billion

That Haven’t Even Gone Public Yet

73 Companies Valued More Than $1B

How Much Change Have You Seen In Your Industry

In The Last Few Years?

Did You Know - That in 2018?

Video Discussion

Discuss with a Partner:

What Did You Find Most Interesting in the Video?

“If change is happening on

the outside faster than on

the inside -the end is in

sight.”

-Jack Welch

As Some Opportunities Sunset...

U.S. Consumer Media Consumption Share

Other Opportunities Emerge...

Just Think Where We Were Just

5, 10 or 15 Years Ago

5 Years Ago - No iPad Yet

10 Years Ago No iPhone Yet

15 Years Ago - The Dot Com Bubble

We’ve Made It Back - Took 15 Years

Are We in Another Tech Bubble?

What Will Your Customer of the Future

Look Like?

What’s the First and Last Thing She Does Everyday?

And Her Baby?

Is a Digital Native from Birth...

And Sally’s Granny?

Life Changing Device at 99 Years

And Sally’s Company?

Requires New Hires to Update Linkedin.com Profiles on Their First Day

She’s Tracking Her FitnessRe-Imagination of Health Awareness…

THEN…

Awareness Campaigns /Physician Visits

NOW…(Nike+ / Jawbone UP)

Always-On Tracking + Syncing + Analytics / Quantified Self

47

And That’s Today...In 5 Years What Will Customers Be Like?

Google X Project Contact Lens

Customers in 5 Years Forecast:Data Driven - Real Time Information on Vendors Transparency Abounds

Expert Seeking - Looking for Experts to Simplify and Advise, Provide Clear Solutions

Legislated Access - Most Forms of Comms to Customers Controlled by Customers by Law

Brand Un-Loyalty - Loyalty Continues to Evaporate as New Brands Grow Rapidly

Digital Customers Like Digital Solutions

(and Personalised Service Too)

High-Tech/High-TouchCustomers

What was Sci-Fi Just a Few Years Ago...

Is Sci-Reality Today...

Has Another Sci-Fi Film Inspired the Next

Inventors?

People

Business Technology

Life SciencesWork/Life Shift A

cceleration

Age Gap

Education Re-Engineering

Global Mobility

Free Agency

End ofRetirement

Emerging Models

OutrageousOutsourcing

MarketingMegatrend

InnovationImperative

Machine Learning

Cloud Computing

SecurityScare

Coworking &Collaboration

Massively Mobile

Internet ofThings

Big Data

Life Sciences:The 40 Year Opportunity...

“40 years ago, if I told you...”

Edible Chip - Proteus Biomedical

Individuals Can Now Do... What Companies Used to Do

Companies Can Now Do... What Countries Used to Do

Massively Mobile

How Big is Mobile Today?

7B People in the World

6.8B Mobile Subscribers

1.5B 3G/LTE Subscribers

1.9 Billion Mobiles Sold in 2014

97%Phones per 100 Citizens

How Many Mobile Internet Devices in Your House?

I’ve Got a New Mobile Connected IR Scanner

to Show You...(Full Disclosure - I’m an Investor)

This is Leading Many Organisations to Have a

‘Mobile First Policy’...

Smart TVs

Wearables

The Future of Mobile is Massive!

This is Leading Many Organisations to Have a

‘Mobile First Policy’...

The Internet of Things:50 Billion Devices

by 2020?

MWC IoT: 50 Billion Is Only the Beginning!

What Year Does the Number of Devices on

the Internet Exceed Number of People?

2006

Personal Health Monitoring

Patient Monitoring Device...

Ultra-Sensitive Electrical Biosensor Unlocks Potential for Instant Diagnostic Devices

Source: University of California, Santa Barbara April 17, 2012

V2V (M2M): Connected Cars

V2V: Will Be Mandated in All New Vehicles by

2017

Big Data:Data Scientists & Visualizations

Meet David McCandless:

What’s This a Chart of?

It’s the Facebook Breakup Chart

Do You Hadoop?

Machine Learning

Final Jeopardy?

3D Printing is Booming

Outrageous Outsourcing

fiverr.com

Reaching Global Executives:12Megatrends in B2B Marketing

sked to rate the value of various marketing activities on a five-point scale, meetings/conferences and research/surveys top the list.

Today B2B providers view a broad array of sponsored programmes, such as conferences and white papers, as a valuable means of capturing attention and persuading decision makers.

This is not to say that traditional advertising has lost its appeal. Instead, the conclusion is that organisations seeking to promote their businesses are increasingly relying on a range of channels, including print.

Specifically, these cross-channel programmes

user communities) and passive (print) promotional channels.

The way forward is clearly a heavier reliance on creating a programme of thought leadership that takes advantage of multiple-entry-point messaging.

The shift to 360º thought leadership

1. How important are the following non-traditional categories of marketing activity to your organisation? (Mean score out of 5)

Meetings/conferences

Research/surveys

White papers, executive summaries, articles3.76

3.85

3.61

1M E G A T R E N D O N E

A

Thought Leadership Defined

The term was first coined in 1994, by Joel Kurtzman, editor-in-chief of the magazine, Strategy+Business

“Thought leaders are individuals or organisations that are recognised by peers, customers and industry experts as someone who deeply understand the business they are in, the needs of their customers, and the broader marketplace in which they operate.”

“Thought leaders have a distinctively original idea, a unique point of view or an insight.”

Thought Leadership Marketing –Tops for Marketers & Buyers

� 9'of'the'top'11'effective'ways'of'getting'a'����������� ������� of'involve'Thought'Leadership'Marketing

How would you rate the effectiveness of the following marketing vehicles in getting your attention? Mean Rating (N~344)

Speech or presentation at a conference or trade showCase studies describing successful customer solution implementations

Article in the business or trade pressInvitation to a Webinar, seminar, or workshop

Sporting or cultural event sponsorshipOnline advertisement

Vendor's blogTV or print advertisement

Phone call from a sales representative from the service firmEmail from a sales representative from the service firm

Direct mail brochureConference sponsorship

Electronic newsletter from the service firmWhite paper offered on the Internet

Search engine hits when doing research or surfing the WebAnalyst firm recommendation (such as Gartner/IDC/Forrester)

Speech or presentation at a conference or trade showCase studies describing successful customer solution implementations

Article in the business or trade pressInvitation to a Webinar, seminar, or workshop

Sporting or cultural event sponsorshipOnline advertisement

Vendor's blogTV or print advertisement

Phone call from a sales representative from the service firmEmail from a sales representative from the service firm

Direct mail brochureConference sponsorship

Electronic newsletter from the service firmWhite paper offered on the Internet

Search engine hits when doing research or surfing the WebAnalyst firm recommendation (such as Gartner/IDC/Forrester)

2.02.22.32.32.32.3

2.52.82.9

3.13.23.33.43.4

3.73.7

Source: ITSMA, How Customers Choose Study, North America, 2007

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75%

Case Study of CFPCreated His Thought Leader Master Message:“Will Your Money Last as Long as You Will?”Researched Longevity Conferences, Dates, Organiser Details, # of Delegates Using ElanceDetermined There Were 50 Conferences per Year, with an Average of 350 Delegates - 17,500 LeadsUsed Fiverr to Create PowerPoint Template and Presentation Flyer LayoutHired On-Demand VA Service to Market and Answer Requests to Speak

Thought'Leadership'Marketing'Toolkit

Did You Know -There are 10 Types

of Innovation?

Commerce Has Been Constantly ShiftingSince the Dawn of

History

For the first time in its history, Australia finds itself located in the right place at the right time - in the Asian region in the Asian century.

Are We Ignoring a Massive Opportunity

on Our Doorstep?

Individuals Can Now Do... What Companies Used to Do

Companies Can Now Do... What Countries Used to Do

What Will You Do?

Every Industry in Every Country has

Seen Massive Change

Many of Us Still Operate a Business Model

Invented in the 1600s

Innovation Imperative:The Ultimate Survival Tool

What is Innovation?

“Innovation is creativity applied for a

commercial gain.”

“The term innovation means a new way of doing something. It may refer to

incremental, radical, and revolutionary changes in thinking, products, processes,

or organisations.”

Max Mckeown - Financial Times

Take a Broader View on Innovation...

10 Types of Innovation

Business Model

Networks& Alliances

HumanCapital

CoreProcesses

EnablingProcess

ChannelManagement

ServiceOffering

ProductSystems

Product &Performance

BrandPromise

CoreProcesses

CustomerExperience

What’s Stopping Innovation?

Exploitation vs Exploration

Exploitation:

Ongoing execution of learned successful behaviours - business as usual.

Exploration:

Search for new ideas and behaviors to revitalise business.

Tom Peters (of In Search of Excellence)

Says Innovation is Easy You’re Just Hanging Out with the

Wrong People!

Tom Peters: Innovation is Easy!

Open Innovation “Cake”

Five Ingredients:

Permission

Time

Space

Education

Process

#1 Apple

“Craig fail quickly!”

#2 Google

“Craig manage the innovation funnel.”

Idea GenerationIdea Assessment and Evaluation

Development Commercialization

The Innovation Funnel:For every 1,000 new ideas, 100 have potential, 10 get developed,

and 1 becomes a success!

The Innovation Funnel

Southwest Airlines

Blended Winglet

Innovation=Cost Savings Too!

First Airlin

e with

Website

Jet Engine Pressure

Cleaning Saves 1.9% on Fuel Costs

Ideas and Creativity are the Raw Materials of Innovation

But Few People Have Ever Attended a Creative Thinking or Innovation Course

Brainstorming is the One Method Most Mentioned

But There are Many, Many More Thinking Systems:

Edward de Bono’s 6 Thinking Hats, Lateral ThinkingMetaphorical Thinking, SCAMPER, TRIZ

Bake Your Innovation Cake

Preheat the Oven

Gather Your Ingredients

Measure & Mix

Bake

Icing

Preheat

Preheat - TED.com

Gather

Gather - Idea Jam

Measure & Mix

Gather - Obama’s CTO

Bake

Bake - Rapid Prototyping

Starwood’s aloft Hotel Brand

Icing

The Icing?Implementation

Open Innovationvs.

Traditional R&D

10 Types of Innovation

Business Model

Networks& Alliances

HumanCapital

CoreProcesses

EnablingProcess

ChannelManagement

ServiceOffering

ProductSystem

Product &Performance

BrandPromise

CoreProcesses

CustomerExperience

Innovation Imperative

Do You Agree Innovation is Critical to the Future Success of Your Organisation?

Do You Have a Formal Innovation Program?

Do You Work Your Innovation Program Monthly?

How About Weekly?

Up

Why Innovate Now?

Because in an accelerating world -

doing nothing is riskier than innovating!

“It’s all about who gets to the future first.”

Kevin Roberts, CEO of Saatchi & Saatchi

Collaboration & Coworking

“Collaborate or perish!”

Deloitte was asked by Google Australia to quantify the value of greater workplace collaboration, and the number is big:

$46 billion per year – the value of faster-growing, profitable businesses with collaboration at their core

$9.3 billion per year – additional value if companies make the most of opportunities to collaborate more.

Companies that prioritise collaboration:

5X more likely to experience a considerable increase in employment

2X as likely to be profitable

2X as likely to outgrow competitors

1/2 of Australian businesses have no collaboration strategy

Successful Collaboration Ultimately Can Change The Core Strategy And Social Purpose Of

The Business Enterprise

Michael Porter, et al

But...

Transformational Collaboration Requires A Commitment To

Build And Sustain Relationships Over The Longer Term

Executives Must Possess A System-level Understanding Of

Societal And Environmental Changes That Are Transforming

The Global Economy

Trust Economy

1 Billion Names are Googled

Every Day

There Are No More Blind

Dates...

...Especially in Business

SEO is Dead (or Dying)Paid Placement &Social Proof Rules

Online Reputation Managment

(ORM)

Emerging Business Models

Warby Parker

Naturebox.com

Uber.com

You’re holding a handbook for visionaries, game changers, and challengers striving to defy outmoded business models and design tomorrow’s enterprises. It’s a book for the…

written byAlexander Osterwalder & Yves Pigneur

co-created byAn amazing crowd of 470 practitioners from 45 countries

designed byAlan Smith, The Movement

} 18

KRKey Resources

KPKey Partners

KAKey Activities

C$ Cost Structure

}19

CSCustomer Segments

CRCustomer Relationships

VPValue Propositions

CHChannels

R$Revenue Streams

ACHIEVING ORGANIZATIONAL AMBIDEXTERITY USING MANAGEMENT CONTROL SYSTEMS

315

WHAT IS ORGANIZATIONAL AMBIDEXTERITY?The pursuit of two different modes of learning:

1. Exploitation = using current resources and capabilities in an efficient and reliable fashion to head in the same direction

2. Exploration = searching for , acquiring and developing new resources and capabilities to go in a new direction

Organizational ambidexterity refers to the ability of an organization to both explore and exploit - to compete in mature technologies and markets

where efficiency, control, and incremental improvement are prized and to also compete in new technologies and markets where flexibility,

autonomy, and experimentation are needed.

EXPLOITATION EXPLORATION

Follow the rules and drive out the variance and slack. Break the rules and promote variance and slack.

Focus on serving existing customers and their needs. Serve new customers with new needs.

Manage and refine existing competences. Develop and lead new competences.

Optimize the organization for existing rules. Develop new organization system with new rules.

Make money now. Make money later.

AMBIDEXTERITY

WHY IS IT IMPORTANT?Firms, teams and individuals that attain an appropriate balance between exploration and exploitation will achieve superior performance over time.

‘Balance’ does not mean 50% exploitation and 50% exploration. It depends on your industry velocity (rate and direction of change)

Exploitation Exploration

Long

term

per

form

ance

Low

Hig

h

Mode of Learning

TWO APPROACHESStructural ambidexterity

– involves splitting exploitation and exploration into different organizational units (i.e., separate divisions, departments or teams)

Contextual ambidexterity

– the capacity to attain appropriate levels of exploitation and exploration behaviors in the same R&D organizational unit

(McCarthy & Gordon, 2011: 241)

CONTEXTUAL AMBIDEXTERITY

Involves creating an organizational context that inspires, guides and rewards people to pursue both exploitation and exploration behaviors.

But how do you create the context to allow yourself and others to juggle, toggle and be ambidextrous?

ANSWER = MANAGEMENT CONTROL SYSTEMS

The systems (rules, rewards, policies, practices, and tech) that managers use to direct and adjust the behaviors of employees to ensure organizational relevance, greatness and survival.

SIMONS ‘FOUR LEVERS OF CONTROL’

Control System Behavior Focus Outcome

Beliefs systems Communicate values and goals. Establish purpose and the activities to be performed.

Boundary systems Specify and enforce rules of the game. Define the activities to be avoided.

Diagnostic systems Determine and support targets. Perform the correct activities well.

Interactive systems Promote learning and exploration. Perform new activities.

325

EXPLOITATION

Growth vs Control

Innovation vs Efficiency

EXPLORATION Strategy

Risks to beAvoided

Boundary Systems

Critical Perf.Variables

Diagnostic Systems

Core Values

Belief Systems

StrategicUncertainties

Interactive Systems

LEVERS, TENSIONS & AMBIDEXTROUS BEHAVIORS

“The balancing of exploitation and exploration tensions is much like riding a bike – it requires a continuous and irregular shifting of control system use over time."

(McCarthy & Gordon, 2011: 255)

ORGANIZATIONAL AMBIDEXTERITY

Craig Rispin CSP

Watch the Age Gap!

Highest birth rate everrecorded - 1961(3.5 per woman)

The “echo boom” - reflectedthe fertility years of

the Boomers

1971 birth numbersreach 276,361 -

not beaten until 2007

$8675$/,$½6�*(1(5$7,21$/�352),/()(57,/,7<�5$7(6��%$%,(6�3(5�:20$1�Australia 1960: 3.5 Today: 2.0Current OECD Avg: 1.6 Current World Avg: 2.6

/,)(�(;3(&7$1&<�$7�%,57+1910: Male - 55.2 Female - 58.8Today: Male - 79.4 Female - 83.8

0(',$1�$*(�2)�3$5(176��1(:�%,57+6�1980: Fathers - 29.4 Mothers - 26.6Today: Fathers - 33.1 Mothers - 30.7

0(',$1�$*(�),567�0$55,$*(1980: Male - 24.2 Female - 22.1Today: Male - 29.6 Female - 27.7

- Liberal / National - LaborKey:Scul Lyons Menz Curtin Chifley Menzies Holt Gorton McM Whit Fraser Hawke Keating Howard Rudd

Gillard

Australian Prime Ministers:

1930 ’35 ’45 ’55 ’65 ’75 ’85 ’95 ’051940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010

50 000

100 000

150 000

200 000

250 000

300 000

350 000

%8,/'(56

%220(56

*(1(5$7,21�;

*(1(5$7,21�<

*(1(5$7,21�=

*(1(5$7,21

�$/3+$

Born before 19463.02 million% of pop: 14%% of the workforce Today: 2% 2020: 0%

Born 1946-19645.28 million% of pop: 24%% of the workforce Today: 36% 2020: 15%

Born 1965-19794.64 million% of pop: 21%% of the workforce Today: 44% 2020: 36%

Born 1980-19944.65 million% of pop: 21%% of the workforce Today: 18% 2020: 35%

Born 1995-20094.22 million% of pop: 19%% of the workforce Today: 0% 2020: 12%

Post WWII baby boom

War babies

Lowest birth rate ever recorded - 2001 (1.7)

CURRENT POPULATIONBY YEAR OF BIRTH

Generation Alpha -a new generation and

a new baby boom

What Steve Jobs Taught Me About Watching

the Age Gap...

Profiles Research InstituteInitiate conversations concerning the generation gap at all levels of the organization.

Educate managers and employees on the different generations present in the workplace.

Match the different generations within your company with your customer base.

Reward employees based on productivity and performance, not tenure.

Educate and train employees to know how to best approach and communicate with employees from different generations.

Offer appealing benefits that apply to employees of all ages.

Profiles Research Institute

Train managers and leaders on how to lead teams with men and women from different generations.

Present various forms of training and tuition reimbursement for employees of all ages.

Establish a mentorship program where employees from older generations teach the employees from younger generations and vice versa.

Encourage and establish multigenerational teams.

Speed & Size

Cray-1 US$8 million80 MegaFLOPS

Up

Speed & Size

US$400

218 GigaFLOPS

Up

Millimetre-Scale Computer

Final Jeopardy?