A 3D Future

april 2013@michelebkim

A 3D FUTURETHE THIRD MANUFACTURING REVOLUTION

FORECASTING THE FUTURE

SCI-FI PREDICTIONS THAT EXIST TODAY“The only way of discovering the limits of the possible is to

venture a little way past them into the impossible.”

- Arthur C. Clarke

SCI-FI PREDICTIONS THAT EXIST TODAY

TUPAC AT 2012 COACHELLAR2D2 DISPLAYS HOLOGRAPHIC

SCI-FI PREDICTIONS THAT EXIST TODAY

GOOGLE GLASSESTERMINATOR

TRANSMETROPOLITAN

SCI-FI PREDICTIONS THAT EXIST TODAY

UNIVERSAL TRANSLATOR GOOGLE TRANSLATE

SCI-FI PREDICTIONS THAT EXIST TODAY

ROBOTSBAXTER

SCI-FI PREDICTIONS THAT EXIST TODAY

BACK TO THE FUTURE HOVER

SCI-FI PREDICTIONS THAT EXIST TODAY

Jean Grey Telekinesis XWave

SCI-FI PREDICTIONS THAT EXIST TODAY

Professor X Mind controlled robotic arm

SCI-FI PREDICTIONS THAT EXIST TODAY

LIGHT SABER LASER SWORD

SCI-FI PREDICTIONS THAT EXIST TODAY

3D PRINTER REPLICATOR

3D PRINTING IS IN IT’S INFANCY

AND LIKE WITH ANYTHING NEW,

TRULY DISRUPTIVE, OR SOMETHING PEOPLE

DON’T UNDERSTAND, THERE WILL BE HATERS

“This telephone has too many shortcomings to be seriously considered as a means of communication.”

Internal MemoWestern Union,1876

“I think there is a world market for maybe five computers.”

Thomas Watson Chairman of IBM, 1943

“There is no reason why anyone would want a computer in their home.”

Ken Olsen Digital Equipment 1977

BUT FOR THOSE NERDS WHO DARE

TO DREAM…

“We are not even close to finishing the basic dream of what the PC can be.”

Bill Gates

SO WHAT ABOUT 3D PRINTERS?

PERCEPTION

What are they?Too large to be practical.

Too expensive.

A toy for nerds.

3D Printers are good for making 3D printers (or other useless

things.)

Might be interesting in

the future.

REALITY

Additive manufacturing

tool

Comes 8x8 to industrial

Cost of an iPhone

Will shape

industries

It saves lives It’s happening

now

Choose a design:Open source designs3D Scan to ModelDesign your ownDownload design

Choose material:Currently over 30 materials availableIncluding:Sterling SilverStainless SteelLeatherSandstoneMaterial that mimic human cells

Print:Process called “Additive Manufacturing”Finish

1

2

3

HOW IT WORKS

$499!Starting as low as…

NOT JUST FOR NERDS

“THE FUTURE IS ALREADY HERE. IT IS JUST NOT VERY EVENLY DISTRIBUTED”- William Gibson, Sci-Fi writer

WE’VE ALREADY PRINTED A SHIT TON OF COOL THINGS.

GADGETS & GIZMOS A PLENTYFully function instruments and camera

parts.

People are already innovating on design and function.

To the right a 3D printing “Pen” 3Doodler raised more than $2M on Kickstarter.

Below, a 3D Printing “Vending Machine”

Brands are starting to play

Staples sells home printers in storesAmazon 3D store and online market

Google Sketchup 3D WarehouseMakerbot storefront

PERFECTLY FORMED TO YOUR BODYDITA VON TEESEFASHION

The piece’s intricate lace-like texture was created with precision by lasers (in a process known as Laser Sintering) and would have

been impossible to realize any other way.Recycle Clothes into New designs

WEAPONSParts for Assault Rifles. Blueprints for parts have

already been downloaded hundreds of thousands of times

The gun was assembled from separate printed components made from ABS plastic - only the firing pin was made from metal

AUTOMOBILES & PLANES

Urbee can drive from SF to NY on $10 of gas.

GE and China are developing parts for jets and planes to reduce costs.

BUILDINGS

Intricate designsReduce waste and labor

Flexible, customCan print entire zones

Electronics

Battery smaller than a gran of sand which means high powered tiny robots and mini medical implants. Motion sensor glovesButton sensors

IDENTICAL IMPLANTSTeeth, jaws, splints, prosthetics and parts of skulls that are perfect duplicates of patient’s are being

implanted saving lives!

BIOPRINTINGLIVING CELLS

We’re even printing human stem cells,

meat, human organs, urethras, and entire body parts and even

DNA.

Pictures: Ear, DNA, steak, human stem cells, lung

“[Our lab uses] a desktop inkjet printer, but instead of using ink, we're using cells.”

“Any sufficiently advanced technology is indistinguishable from magic.” -

Arthur C. Clarke

SORCERY. ALCHEMY. SCIENCE.

CURRENT LIMITATIONS

40

Quality, Materials, Speed, Cost, Time

The 3rd power law of 3-D printing: Everything from cost and time to amount of material increases to the third power.

BUT REALLY, 3D HAS ALREADY DONE SO MUCH...

WHAT ABOUT THE FUTURE?

Intellectual Property

Human Capital

Consumption Behavior

Laws and Regulations

Health & Medicine

Goods Capital

Manufacturing

Environmental Impact

& as brand builderswhat about our clients?

The average life expectancy of a Fortune 500 firm has dropped

from 75 years in 1937 to 5 years today.

Put on your thinking caps.

OVERVIEW OF 3D

45

Design:Impossibly intricate(The more intricate, the less cost. Flipping traditional design strategy in manufacturing.)

CustomizableEfficientEasy access to online community of designs, or simply 3D scan (Kinect ps4)

Materials:From ceramic to human stem cells

B2B- B2C structure:Direct to consumer?Peer to peer?Store layouts?A printer in every home?Specialty hubs?

Legal:Intellectual property theft Regulations need evolving

Designers:Artistic & technical skill become high value

Environment:Recyclable Less wasteEncourages re-useAuto/plane less emissions

Bio:Guilt free meat?Possibly a “disease free” world

Business:Spurs rapid prototyping & innovation

“Musicians used to make money selling music. Now Apple makes money selling

music.”

KILL INDUSTRIES

If people will one day be able to print everything they need, that means the designs and raw material will be what is valuable. With information piracy

rampant, how will companies protect their designs?

5 min Work in groups/partners to kill as many industries as possible. Write as many as you can think of with an explanation for

how.

How will 3D printers one day shape and kill industries?

What are all the things we use daily that we can 3D

print one day?

Will people even need stores?

SAVE THE WORLD

Can we place 3D printers in developing countries to provide

printed aid, or glasses, etc.

5 minWork with a different partner/group to think of as many ways as possible 3D

printing can do good in the world. Come up with as much as you can.

What are all the beautiful possibilities of 3D printing?

How will this reduce environmental impact?

Are we going to print our bacon? Is that better for the

world?

INVENT SOMETHING

In the way Etsy and Kickstarter has empowered thousands to chase their

dreams and make whatever makes them happy, what kind of cool/strange/weird

things will come out of 3d printing?

5 minIndividually or with a partner, come up with a cool idea, invention, business, process, way of doing things that might be possible with

3D printing. Draw if you want to.

How will 3D printing help spur entrepreneurship?

What are things you’d like to invent or prototype using a 3d

printer?

THE FUTURE IS[CRAZY]

THE FUTURE IS[WEIRD]

THE FUTURE IS[SCARY]

THE FUTURE IS[EXCITING]

AND ONLY LIMITED TO OUR IMAGINATIONS

“[Every Steve Jobs Quote Ever.]”

Steve Jobs

THANK YOU.

linksGuitar- Guardian http://www.guardian.co.uk/technology/2012/jun/15/3d-printing-revolutionising-guitar-making

Additive Manufacturing – The Engineer http://www.theengineer.co.uk/in-depth/the-big-story/the-rise-of-additive-manufacturing/1002560.article

Make Eyewear http://www.makeeyewear.com/

3D Couture - Paris Fashion Week http://www.pddnet.com/news/2013/01/wearable-stratasys-and-materialise-3d-printed-pieces-hit-paris-fashion-week

3D Gun site gets license to make and sell Firearms http://venturebeat.com/2013/03/17/defense-distributed-federal-license/

Defense Distributed Master Plan http://defensedistributed.com/proofgun-2/

3D printer could test gun-control efforts – Washington Post http://www.washingtonpost.com/local/weapons-made-with-3-d-printers-could-test-gun-control-efforts/2013/02/18/9ad8b45e-779b-11e2-95e4-6148e45d7adb_story.html

1899 view of 2000 http://publicdomainreview.org/2012/06/30/france-in-the-year-2000-1899-1910/

Figurines http://laughingsquid.com/3d-printer-photo-booth-makes-figurines-instead-of-photos/

3D Skull – Mashable http://mashable.com/2013/03/07/3d-printed-skull/

3D Printing Clothes at Home http://www.psfk.com/2013/03/3d-printed-clothes.html http://jhharris.prosite.com/104313/973830/work/design-for-2050-clothing-printer

Camera Gear –Thingiverse http://www.thingiverse.com/7777773/collections/camera-gear/page:1

3D Bike http://www.engadget.com/2011/03/09/eadss-airbike-is-a-3d-printed-nylon-bicycle-actually-looks-rat/

3D Car http://www.smartplanet.com/blog/bulletin/plastic-3d-printed-car-ready-for-the-streets/14330

Dreambox Vending Machine http://mashable.com/2013/03/07/dreambox-3d-printing-vending-machine/

Modern Meadow Printing Meat http://www.core77.com/blog/digital_fabrication/modern_meadow_ceo_on_the_merits_of_3d_printed_meat_24475.asp

First 3D printed human liver http://www.newscientist.com/article/dn23419-3d-printer-makes-tiniest-human-liver-ever.html?cmpid=RSS%7CNSNS%7C2012-GLOBAL%7Conline-news

3D Printed Ear http://www.livescience.com/27280-3d-printed-ear-created.html

3D Printed Organs http://www.designboom.com/technology/3d-printed-organs-from-regenerative-living-cells/

Where to download design files http://www.solidoodle.com/how-to-2/where-to-download-3d-files/

Pirate site for 3D Designs http://thepiratebay.se/blog/203

Printing a Human Kidney – TED http://www.ted.com/talks/anthony_atala_printing_a_human_kidney.html

3D Flute - Engadget http://www.engadget.com/2010/12/29/3d-printed-concert-flute-rapidly-prototypes-sound-video/

3D print 2012 Year in Review http://www.3ders.org/articles/20121220-3d-printing-in-2012-year-in-review.html

3D Printing Revolution Infographic http://holykaw.alltop.com/3d-printing-how-long-til-the-revolution-infographic

Ponoko Making System http://www.ponoko.com/3d-printing

Planningness Bud Caddell http://vimeo.com/42811532

Fortune 500 Turnover http://www.kauffman.org/uploadedFiles/fortune_500_turnover.pdf

3D printer mimic human-like tissue http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2013/04/05/3d-printed-cells-tissue-human_n_3021600.html

http://blog.makezine.com/volume/make-ultimate-guide-to-3d-printing/

http://www.businessinsider.com/next-phase-3d-printing-in-china-2013-4

http://www.engadget.com/2013/04/22/inside-3d-printing-conference-and-expo/

http://www.bklyndesigns.com/#attend

http://blog.makezine.com/2013/04/25/make-visits-the-inaugural-inside-3d-printing-conference-expo/

http://sketchup.google.com/3dwarehouse/

http://www.mediabistro.com/inside3dprinting/

http://www.cassandradaily.com/tech/close-encounters-of-the-3d-kind/

http://gizmodo.com/5994293/3d-printed-headphones-you-can-build-from-the-ground-up

http://boingboing.net/2013/06/10/how-3d-printing-will-rebuild-r.html